226. Memorandum Prepared by Boggs, January 51
SUBJECT
- Discussion at the 473rd Meeting of the National Security Council, Thursday, January 5, 1961
Present at the 473rd NSC Meeting were the President of the United States, presiding; the Vice President of the United States; the Secretary of State; the Secretary of Defense; and the Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization. Also present at the Meeting and participating in the Council actions below were the Secretary of the Treasury and the Director, Bureau of the Budget. Also attending the Meeting were the Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff; the Director of Central Intelligence; the Chairman, Atomic Energy Commission; the Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs (Merchant); Assistant Secretary of State Gerard C. Smith; the Deputy Secretary of Defense (Douglas); Assistant Secretary of Defense John N. Irwin, II; the Secretary of the Army; the Assistant to the President; the Special Assistants to the President for National Security Affairs, for Science and Technology, and for Foreign Economic Policy; Mr. Huntington Sheldon, Central Intelligence Agency; the White House Staff Secretary; the Assistant White House Staff Secretary; the Executive Secretary, NSC; and the Deputy Executive Secretary, NSC.
There follows a summary of the discussion at the Meeting and the main points taken.
1. NATIONAL SECURITY COUNCIL INTELLIGENCE DIRECTIVES
Mr. Gray said he wished to bring up first a matter which was not on the formal agenda. The Joint Study Group on Foreign Intelligence Activities, composed of representatives of the Director of Central Intelli [Typeset Page 645] gence, the Secretaries of State and Defense, the Director, Bureau of the Budget, and the Special Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs, had submitted its report and was now preparing a list of recommendations on which the Principals had agreed, as well as a list of recommendations which had not been concurred in. A question had arisen whether a revision of the NSCID’s would be necessary as their provisions affect the authority of the Secretary of Defense in the intelligence field. At the present time, the NSCID’s refer to the Military Services, not to the Secretary of Defense. The suggestion had been made that the Secretary of Defense be given authority by amendment of the NSCID’s to proceed with reorganization of military intelligence within the Department of Defense.
[Facsimile Page 2]Secretary Gates said this matter would affect the next Secretary of Defense. The first issue involved in the report of the Joint Study Group was the one Mr. Gray had mentioned, namely, the question of amending the NSCID’s. Another issue, however, was also involved, namely membership on the U.S. Intelligence Board. The report by the Joint Study Group recommended that the Secretary of Defense and the Joint Chiefs of Staff rather than the Military Services be represented on the USIB. Secretary Gates was in favor of this recommendation but understood the Military Services were opposed. Mr. Dulles said he was also opposed to this recommendation. Secretary Gates said this matter affected the NSCID’s since the organization of the USIB was covered in the NSCID’s.
The President said he had been told that about [text not declassified] was being spent for the intelligence function in the Department of Defense. He believed we were not good administrators if we could not perform this function at less expense. He also believed that we were not doing everything that could be done to implement the concept of integrated strategic planning unless military intelligence could be placed under the Joint Chiefs of Staff. He was unable to understand why the antiquated system of separate intelligence organizations for each Military Service was retained.
Mr. Dulles pointed out that the Military Services at the present time had the personnel, the competence, and the background in intelligence. Until this situation was changed, he would rather deal with representatives of the Military Services, who know intelligence, than with the representative of the Secretary of Defense, who would not have the experience, the personnel, and the background judgment required. When organizational changes were made so that the representative of the Secretary of Defense had competent collectors and analysts working for him, then Mr. Dulles would not disagree with the recommendation for a change in the membership of the USIB, but at present, he repeated, the change suggested would merely result in putting on USIB representatives with inadequate intelligence support.
[Typeset Page 646]The President believed that the Services should collect battlefield intelligence but did not see the necessity for strategic intelligence in the Services. He wondered what intelligence officers in the Services could do to get information from the center of the USSR and correlate it with intelligence on the rest of the world. He said when he supported the establishment of the Central Intelligence Agency in 1947, he did it on the basis that the function of strategic intelligence should be in CIA and that duplication should be eliminated. General Lemnitzer felt that the acquisition of technical intelligence, e.g. information about enemy nuclear submarines, required officials who know [Facsimile Page 3] nuclear submarines. The Services would be very much concerned if they were not represented on USIB. The President believed that the information referred to by General Lemnitzer was battlefield intelligence, whereas the discovery of the shipyards where nuclear submarines are being constructed was the business of CIA. He did not see why four intelligence services should attempt to find out where the submarines were made. He believed it was the function of CIA to acquire strategic intelligence. General Lemnitzer believed that each Military Service was working on a different intelligence target.
Mr. Gray pointed out that a substantive discussion of the material in the Joint Study Group report seemed to be underway. The President said that perhaps the membership of USIB could not be changed at once but that a different type of intelligence board could be organized once military intelligence within the Department of Defense was reorganized. Secretary Gates did not agree that the membership of USIB could not be changed immediately. A Defense representative on the Board could do his homework in the Pentagon and bring the Defense position to the Board in the same way a Defense representative on the Planning Board reports the Defense position. The President felt that changes in the membership of USIB must be correlated with changes in the military intelligence organization. Mr. Gates said that thus far intelligence has not been affected by reorganization of the Department of Defense. Mr. Dulles said when changes were made in the organization of military intelligence, there would be a reason for changing the membership of USIB, since there would then be one high-ranking official who knows intelligence representing the Department of Defense. The President said that there would in any case remain the need for technical intelligence gathered in connection with the normal deployment of forces.
Mr. Dulles said the figure of [text not declassified] had been mentioned occasionally as the sum spent by this government on intelligence activities. He wished to point out, however, that this figure included support of the radar station at Thule, support of SAMOS, etc., all of which were really early warning functions.
[Typeset Page 647]The President said he had read a summary of the report by the Joint Study Group. He felt that up to now we had not accomplished all it was possible to accomplish in integrating all our intelligence activities. Secretary Gates said there was no review in the Department of Defense of intelligence requirements. General Lemnitzer said the JCS agreed on the need for Defense review of intelligence requirements.
[Facsimile Page 4]Secretary Gates believed the policy question before the Council now was, how far would this Administration wish to go in reorganizing intelligence during its last two weeks in office. The President said he felt a directive on agreed matters could be issued and that he could pass on to his successor his views on other intelligence questions. Mr. Dulles said he would like to see the matter of the pictorial center worked out soon.
The President then remarked that soon after Pearl Harbor, he was engaged in an operation which required him to have certain information which he was unable to obtain from the Navy, i.e. the strength the Navy had left in the Pacific. The President also noted that the U.S. fought the first year of the war in Europe entirely on the basis of British intelligence. Subsequently, each Military Service developed its own intelligence organization. He thought this situation made little sense in managerial terms. He had suffered an eight-year defeat on this question but would leave a legacy of ashes for his successor.
Mr. Gray said language would be prepared to permit agreed recommendations from the report of the Joint Study Group to be put into effect.
The President pointed out that in military history a single man usually dominates the intelligence service of a country at any given time. He felt that a strong central position with respect to intelligence was necessary. The Joint Chiefs of Staff should not be required to consult individually each of the Services, as well as CIA, in formulating their strategic plans; they should have their own intelligence service.
The National Security Council:
a. Discussed the question raised by the Secretary of Defense as to revising the National Security Council Intelligence Directives in the light of the recommendations relating to the military intelligence organization within the Department of Defense and to the membership of the U.S. Intelligence Board, submitted on December 15, 1960, by a Joint Study Group on Foreign Intelligence Activities, composed of representatives of the Director of Central Intelligence, the Secretaries of State and Defense, the Director, Bureau of the Budget, and the Special Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs.
b. Agreed that the Secretary of Defense should submit his recommendations for appropriate revisions in the NSCID’s [Facsimile Page 5] directive to the [Typeset Page 648] authority of the Secretary of Defense over the military intelligence organization within the Department of Defense in consonance with the Defense reorganization Act of 1958.
c. Noted that the recommendations of the Secretary of Defense pursuant to b above, together with the views of the Principals of the Joint Study Group regarding the Group’s report which are being consolidated by the Director of Central Intelligence, would be considered at the next NSC meeting on January 12, 1961.
NOTE: The actions in b and c above, as approved by the President, subsequently transmitted to the Secretary of Defense and the Director of Central Intelligence.
[Here follows discussion of U.S. Policy on the Panama Canal and an intelligence briefing on developments in Cuba, the Congo, Ethiopia, Algeria, Laos, and China. The briefing was treated as two items.]
[Facsimile Page 6]5. POSSIBLE DEFICIENCIES IN THE U.S. POSTURE FOR LIMITED MILITARY OPERATIONS
(Memo for NSC from Executive Secretary, subject: “Capabilities of Forces for Limited Military Operations”, dated June 18, 1958; NSC Action No. 1934; Memo for NSC from Executive Secretary, subject: “U.S. and Allied Capabilities for Limited Military Operations to 1 July 1962”, dated September 28, 1960; NSC Action No. 2317–c; Memo for NSC from Executive Secretary, subject: “Possible Deficiencies in the U.S. Posture for Limited Military Operations”, dated December 30, 1960)
Mr. Gray explained the background of this subject to the Council and called upon General Lemnitzer to make a presentation. (A copy of Mr. Gray’s Briefing Note is filed in the Minutes of the Meeting and another copy is attached to this Memorandum).
General Lemnitzer recalled the study on limited war (transmitted to the Council on September 28, 1960) which had dealt with hypothetical situations in five areas—Berlin, the Taiwan Strait, Iran, Southeast Asia, and Korea. Contingency plans of some magnitude had been prepared for possible operations in these key areas. [Facsimile Page 7] The JCS had prepared a report on possible deficiencies in the U.S. posture for limited military operations, pursuant to NSC Action 2317. The JCS report had first made certain overall comments on studies of this nature: (1) limited war studies are not a valid basis for programming or decision-making; (2) the adequacy of forces to cope with any one limited war situation depends on prompt action to initiate partial mobilization, augment existing lift capabilities, expand the war production base, and waive financial limitations; (3) the U.S. overall capability for general war would not be unacceptably degraded by participating in one of these limited operations. In fact, it could be argued that one limited war [Typeset Page 649] situation would increase U.S. readiness for general war because of the measures which would be taken to meet the limited situation; (4) any weakness in the U.S. posture is due to acceptance of calculated risks pertaining to the balance of forces and their supporting elements; (5) the early use of relatively small military forces in limited war situations would be more effective than the subsequent use of much larger forces; (6) many factors others than the purely military factors affect our limited war posture.
General Lemnitzer then summarized the comments by the JCS on the specific possible deficiencies in our limited war posture. With respect to airlift, a resumption of hostilities on the scale of Korea would result in a shortage during the first twenty days but after that airlift would be adequate. Two actions to improve airlift had been taken since the date of the limited war study: (1) funds for purchasing additional C–130’s had been made available; and (2) additional allocations had been made to the Civil Reserve Air Fleet. General Lemnitzer pointed out that terminal facilities constituted an extremely important factor in airlift. With respect to sea lift, the JCS had concluded that our capabilities were generally adequate, although there might be some shortage in the first sixty days of hostilities.
Turning to military logistics base plans, General Lemnitzer noted that specific guidance had been issued last March but there had not been time for its full implementation. If this guidance is implemented, our capability to support limited war situations should be improved in the near future without degrading general war readiness. The Army has problems connected with the availability of units, the modernization of equipment, and the maintenance of readiness for general war. The Navy is unable to fulfill certain mobilization plan objectives connected with modern conventional weapons and ammunition. The Air Force is generally ready for limited war operations, having distributed its assets around [Facsimile Page 8] the world near possible limited war areas, with the striking force, of course, remaining in the U.S. The Marines have problems with reserves and with reconstituting reserve stocks.
General Lemnitzer then summarized the JCS comments on Southeast Asia. Limited operations there, he said, were handicapped by logistical limitations stemming from lack of communications, lack of transportation, and lack of port and terminal facilities. Furthermore, the existing facilities were extremely vulnerable to disruption and are inadequate to support sustained operations. These limitations, however, have been offset to some degree by countermeasures. The Pacific Command has recently been augmented by an airborne battle group and an aircraft carrier. Equipment has been pre-stocked in the Pacific area. Periodic mobility training exercises are planned. The Air Force modernization program will improve our limited war capability in the [Typeset Page 650] Pacific. We now have authority for overflights in the Pacific area. Other corrective action which is, or could be, taken will enable us to use additional bases and improve strategic signal communications and strengthen over-the-beach supply methods.
In concluding, General Lemnitzer said that most of the problems adverted to in the limited war study were not new. Additional funding would alleviate many of the deficiencies pointed out in the study but in the light of total requirements, not all of the deficiencies could be remedied at once.
The President said this was the kind of report he could understand. Secretary Herter said the JCS report was very encouraging, especially as regards airlift. However, Secretary Herter felt he must take exception to Paragraph 9 on Page 6 of the JCS report. This paragraph indicated that indecision and lack of clear-cut policies could contribute to starting a conflict we desired to avoid and then went on to say “a pertinent example is the recent conflict of judgment between the Department of Defense and the Department of State concerning the proper implementation of U.S. policy in Laos.” General Lemnitzer said this paragraph appeared in the JCS report because the JCS thought that last August when Kong Le rebelled, the U.S. should have built up the Phoumi forces. At that time the State Department embarked on a course of building up Souvanna Phouma. This issue was not settled and as a result Kong Le had several months in which to build up his forces. Secretary Herter replied that the Phouma government became the recognized government of Laos and therefore the government with which the U.S. had to deal. Moreover, our allies supported Souvanna Phouma and were opposed to Phoumi. We had been successful in continuing military assistance to Phoumi even when he was a rebel against the recognized government. Moreover, we had worked constantly to shift power from Souvanna Phouma to Phoumi and had finally succeeded. If the U.S. had armed Phoumi last August, it would have been arming rebels against the recognized government.
[Facsimile Page 9]The President said the word “indecision” must be eliminated from the JCS report. No agency of the government had the right to say that another agency was indecisive and did not know what it was doing. It was proper to say that the problems were such that decisions could not be made immediately but dereliction of duty should not be imputed to another agency. The President said that even now we did not know what we could do about Laos because of the attitude of our allies. The Joint Chiefs of Staff were correct from the military point of view in stating that it was better to use small forces promptly than to use larger forces later but the question of when small forces can be used involved a political judgment.
General Lemnitzer said the JCS had experienced for some time a feeling of frustration about Laos. The President asked to whom the [Typeset Page 651] JCS report was made. Secretary Gates said the report was made to him and would be a part of the NSC files. The President said the criticism in the report of another government department must be removed.
Mr. Gray noted that the JCS report spoke of allied cooperation in sea lift but made no mention of such cooperation in airlift. General Lemnitzer said it had been proved in the Congo that the U.S. has the only real airlift capability. The President agreed that we should plan on allied assistance in sea lift. He said that if we could not get cooperation from our allies, we were foolish in attempting to establish a collective defense posture in peace time.
Secretary Gates said he had not, during his tour of duty in the Pentagon, noted any deficiencies in our limited war capabilities. The JCS had never pointed out any deficiencies to him. The President said he would like to see two divisions redeployed from Europe to the U.S. He believed these divisions were too much on the front line in Europe. He said that the Secretary of State should brief the Secretary of State-designate on the situation in NATO and on the desirability of inducing the European countries to do their full share with respect to the support of ground forces.
Mr. Gray referred to a draft Record of Action which had been distributed at the meeting. Mr. Stans felt the word “improving” was rather weak in the light of the JCS report. It was impossible to improve starting from “0”. Mr. Douglas agreed. The President suggested that a word should be used to indicate that our limited war capabilities were good now but were still improving. Mr. McCone proposed that the word “substantial” be used for this purpose. [Facsimile Page 10] The President said our estimate of the situation was that a balanced military program did not require a radical allocation of additional resources to limited war but that some additional improvements would be made in our capabilities for limited war.
Mr. Stans said that Paragraph c of the draft Record of Action might give a misleading impression. He believed the phrase “without degrading our capabilities for general war” should be inserted in this sub-paragraph.
The President suggested that General Lemnitzer’s summary of the report should be retained in the official minutes of the National Security Council.
Secretary Herter inquired about progress on the limited war study directed by NSC Action 2317–b. Secretary Gates said this study was underway but that problems had arisen in connection with formulating the assumptions on which to base the study.
The National Security Council:
a. Noted and discussed the memorandum from the Deputy Secretary of Defense on the subject and the report attached thereto from the [Typeset Page 652] Joint Chiefs of Staff (transmitted by the reference memorandum of December 30, 1960); as summarized at the meeting by the Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff.
b. Agreed that U.S. capabilities to conduct limited war are substantial and will show a further improvement on the basis of the FY 1962 budget as submitted and other actions taken since the completion in July 1960 of the Limited War Study. Agreed that a balanced military program does not require a radical allocation of additional resources to limited war capabilities.
c. Noted further that planned logistics support capability is, or will be, adequate to meet any one or combination of contingencies without degrading to an unacceptable degree U.S. overall capability for general war, provided in sum they do not exceed the general order of magnitude contained in the Korean contingency plan.
d. Noted that President’s directive that the summary by the Chairman, JCS, of the report by the Joint Chiefs of Staff (enclosed with the reference memorandum of December 30, 1960) be included in the official files of this NSC meeting.
NOTE: The above actions, as approved by the President, subsequently transmitted to the Secretary of Defense and the Chairman, JCS.
[Facsimile Page 11]6. MISSILES AND MILITARY SPACE PROGRAMS
(NSC Actions Nos. 1433, 1484, 1615–c, 1653, 1690, 1733, 1765, 1800, 1846, 1956, NOTE following 2013, 2081, 2118, 2168, 2207, 2208, 2238–b–(9), 2300–g, and 2315; Memo for NSC from Deputy Executive Secretary, same subject, dated December 14, 1960; NSC 6021; Memos for NSC from Executive Secretary, same subject, dated December 30, 1960, and January 4, 1961)
Mr. Gray briefed the Council on this subject (A copy of Mr. Gray’s Briefing Note is filed in the Minutes of the Meeting and another is attached to this Memorandum). The President asked how many POLARIS submarines would be operational by mid-1964. Secretary Gates said he believed fifteen would be operational by then and added that almost all of those now approved would be operational by the end of 1964. The President felt that with 540 MINUTEMEN missiles, 320 POLARIS missiles (3/5 of which would be on station) plus ATLAS, TITAN, and our IRBMS, we would be in a good missile position in 1964. At that time we should certainly have enough missiles to destroy the USSR in the event we are attacked. Secretary Gates said he had never at any time been worried about the situation after 1963. In fact, the farther into the future we look, the better off we will be. General Lemnitzer pointed out that in addition to the forces mentioned by the President, a great bomber force would be available. The President said he understood we also had 23,000 megatons. Mr. Gray then pointed [Typeset Page 653] out that the Joint Chiefs of Staff had some problems with the adoption of NSC 6021. He was not clear whether these problems were substantive or procedural. General Lemnitzer said that some statements incorporated in NSC 6021 were actually statements made in 1955. Accordingly, if these statements are now adopted and sent out for implementation, the impression would be fostered that we are just beginning to implement the policy contained therein. The President felt that a policy adopted some years ago could be repeated in a later policy paper if it had been reviewed.
Secretary Gates then read Paragraph 2 of NSC 6021 and pointed out that it could be considered out of date at this time since it referred to the early development of the IRBM program. The President said we might need to note that some of the missiles referred to in this 1955 paragraph were now operational.
Mr. Douglas was not sure that the end of Paragraph 3, which referred to a statement by Khrushchev at the Paris meeting, was entirely accurate. Secretary Gates added that the statement in NSC 6021 appeared to be broader than the statement Khrushchev had actually made. The President disagreed, saying that at the Paris [Facsimile Page 12] meeting De Gaulle had stated that a Soviet satellite had passed over France seventeen times and might, for all he (De Gaulle) knew, be taking pictures. Khrushchev had replied that he did not care how many satellites took pictures over the USSR. Mr. Gray recalled that the language at the top of Page 3 of NSC 6021 had come from two NSC actions which the Departments of State and Defense had checked against the records last spring. The President had approved that Record of Actions at that time because it had turned out to be a correct statement. The President said he realized, of course, that Khrushchev, if it suited his purposes, would deny saying what he did say.
Secretary Herter said he had certain editorial revisions to suggest in NSC 6021. Mr. Gray said the paper could be referred back to the Planning Board for revision in the light of the discussion.
The President asked whether the Council would meet only one more time during this Administration. Mr. Gray said there would be a long meeting next Thursday. The President agreed and added that no NSC meeting should be scheduled on the 19th.
In response to a question from the President, Mr. Dulles said he had not held a personal briefing for the President-elect during the last three or four weeks. The President asked whether the President-elect had conveyed any distress or disagreement with U.S. policy to the Department of State, particularly as regards Cuba. Secretary Herter said the President-elect had taken no position on our policy and, indeed, had not been asked to take such a position. The Department of State had confined itself to informing the President-elect of developments.
[Typeset Page 654]The National Security Council:
a. Concurred in the recommendation of the Deputy Secretary of Defense (transmitted by the reference memorandum of December 30, 1960) that NSC Action No. 2207 be revised to provide:
“An operational force objective which specifies the achievement of 540 MINUTEMAN operational missiles by mid-calendar year 1964.”
b. Concurred in the recommendation of the Deputy Secretary of Defense (transmitted by the reference memorandum of December 30, 1960) that NSC Action No. 2315 be revised to provide:
[Facsimile Page 13]“a. A total of 19 POLARIS submarines authorized for construction (5 included in the FY 1962 budget submission).
“b. Long lead time planning and procurement actions authorized to permit the construction of 5 additional POLARIS submarines (included in the FY 1962 budget submission).”
c. Discussed the draft statement of policy on the subject contained in NSC 6021, in the light of the views of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, transmitted by the reference memorandum of January 4, 1961; and referred it to the NSC Planning Board for revision in the light of the discussion at this meeting.
NOTE: The actions in a and b above, as approved by the President, subsequently transmitted to the Secretary of Defense.
- Discussion at 473d National Security Council meeting on intelligence directives. Top Secret. 13 pp. Eisenhower Library, Whitman File, NSC Records.↩