a. The Pakistanis have indicated to us a capability and
willingness to increase the flow of arms to the Afghan insurgents. I
propose that we plan on a total program of $50 million rather than
$30 million as has previously been planned. This amount would be
divided equally [less than 1 line not
declassified]. Funds for our portion would be made
available from [less than 1 line not
declassified] but this may require another 1981
supplemental [less than 1 line not
declassified].
b. The Pakistanis have approached us to provide a limited number of
SA–7s and RPG–7s for their own
defensive use in the border areas. This is a reasonable and logical
item of support for our program to the Afghan insurgents [3 lines not declassified]. This program could
cost up to $6 million over some period of time. Availability of the
SA–7s is such, however, that it
will take some time to provide that much support. I propose asking
the Saudis to fund this program jointly. (Attached is a formal
SCC proposal for this aspect of
the program.)
c. The Pakistanis have approached the Saudis to provide $2 million to
support the families of Mujaheddin now resident in Pakistan. The
point here is that some of the fighters cannot go off to Afghanistan
because they must work to support their families. The Saudis feel
very strongly that this portion of the program is at least as
important as the provision of the arms themselves. They propose to
fund it separately. I recommend we offer to fund it jointly and
merge it with the other two programs above. This would help to
continue the fine team effort we have had with the Saudis thus far.
It would also ensure against the Pakistanis in any way playing one
of us and one of our programs against the other. (S)
Attachment
Memorandum Prepared in the Central Intelligence
Agency for Members of the Special Coordination
Committee4
SUBJECT
- Covert Action Options for Pakistan
1. INITIATIVE: The initiative for this
proposal originates within CIA in
response to a Pakistani request. It arises from Pakistani concern
about future Soviet incursions into Pakistan in retaliation for
Pakistani support to the Afghan insurgents.
[Page 1021]
2. ISSUE FOR DECISION: The issue for decision
is whether CIA should supply
Pakistan with weapons to counter possible [less
than 1 line not declassified] incursions into Pakistan.
Since the Presidential Finding of 28 December 1979,5 [1 line not
declassified] approximately $10 million worth of weapons
and materiel to the Afghan insurgents. An additional $20 million
worth of equipment will have been distributed by September 1980.
There is good evidence that this materiel is being effectively used
by the insurgents.
The Pakistanis are concerned about [less than 1
line not declassified] incursions into Pakistan in
retaliation for this aid program. [4 lines not
declassified] The Pakistanis are not intimidated by the
[less than 1 line not declassified]
threat but wish to be prepared to meet it. To this end they have
asked for assistance in acquiring for their own purposes some of the
types of anti-armor and anti-air weaponry which have been passed to
the Afghan insurgents. The Pakistanis intend to place these weapons
along the Afghanistan border at spots most vulnerable [less than 1 line not declassified].
3. ACTION OPTIONS: Our first preference is to
supply the Pakistanis with Soviet-made weapons. If these are not
available from [less than 1 line not
declassified] the world arms market, we would then supply
them with weapons of some other country. Lastly, we would provide
U.S. weapons if necessary. We are requesting authority to acquire
and deliver the weapons, either unilaterally, or through other
countries, [less than 1 line not
declassified] and to offer procurement advice if the Pakistanis
wish to act on their own or through other countries. This is in
order to retain as much flexibility as possible in terms of
channels, funding, and advice in supplying the weapons. These
weapons would be deployed in Pakistan for defensive purposes
only.
We are making one proposal containing three aspects:
A. Provide Pakistan with about 100 Soviet SA–7 Missiles and 20 Launchers and
100 Soviet RPG–7 Anti-armor launchers and appropriate
ammunition.
B. To the extent that Soviet weapons are not available, provide
Pakistan with foreign manufactured weapons of similar
capability.
C. To the extent that neither Soviet nor equivalent foreign
weapons are obtainable, provide Pakistan with U.S.-manufactured
weapons with similar capabilities to the SA–7 and RPG–7, such as Redeye
missiles and Dragon Anti-armor weapons.
RISK: Moderate COST: $6 million
4. COMMENTS: The Pakistanis believe that the
target of Soviet incursions would be Afghan refugee camps, Pakistani
frontier forces
[Page 1022]
outposts
and Pakistan SIGINT installations. This is where they would deploy
these weapons for defensive purposes.
Consideration has been given to supplying Pakistan through the
Defense Department’s Foreign Military Sales Program, but the
Pakistanis do not want to overtly purchase this material because of
[1 line not declassified] and probable
adverse domestic Pakistan reaction. (This paper does not consider
possible overt options which would in any event be complicated by
the Symington Amendment to the International Security Assistance and
Arms Control Act.) Having turned down a $400 million U.S. offer for
the putative reason that it was inadequate in the face of the Soviet
threat, President Zia will find it difficult or impossible to
publicly justify a small purchase which could generate the same
threat. Zia is aware of and endorses this request with the
understanding that the matter be handled via intelligence channels
as part of the Afghan support program and not as open U.S. aid which
would be publicly announced. Ambassador Hummel supports this proposal as a one-time effort
to assist the Pakistanis in defending the border. He also noted the
importance of keeping the matter secret.
5. FINDING: The option outlined above requires
a Presidential Finding, and will require reporting to Congressional
Oversight Committees—in accordance with Section 662 of the Foreign
Assistance Act of 1961, as amended. A draft Presidential Finding is
attached. Also attached is a Scope Paper to indicate what CIA will do if the activity is
approved.6
6. SOURCE OF FUNDS: Saudi Arabia will
contribute half the cost of these weapons ($3 million) as part of
their matching funds program for Afghan support. No money is in the
Agency budget for this purpose. If this program is approved [1 line not declassified].