The Iranian Oil Shortfall, January 1979–January 1981


211. Memorandum From Henry Owen of the National Security Council Staff to President Carter

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Staff Material, Special Projects File, Box 32, Henry Owen, Summit: Tokyo. Confidential. Sent for action. Initialed by Carter and Brzezinski.


212. Paper Prepared by the National Security Council Staff

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Subject File, Box 48, Oil, 3–6/79. Confidential. The paper is attached to a June 1 note to Brzezinski in which Poats wrote: “Here is a hurried response to your request for a paper for the President on the new politics of oil. Please let me know whether you want it further developed.” Poats added that Gary Sick concurred.


213. Memorandum by the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Brzezinski)

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Subject File, Box 48, Oil, 3–6/79. Secret.


214. Memorandum From the Executive Secretary of the Department of State (Tarnoff) to Secretary of State Vance

Source: National Archives, RG 59, Executive Secretariat Files: Lot 84D241, Box 3, President’s Breakfasts, 5/1/79–8/31/80. Secret; Nodis.


215. Telegram From the Department of State to the Embassy in Saudi Arabia

Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy Files, D790260–0365. Secret; Immediate; Exdis. Drafted by Twinam and Rosen; cleared by Katz, Solomon, Owen, and Schlesinger and in NEA, ARA, EA, EB/ORF, EUR/RPE, and AF/EPS; and approved by Cooper. Repeated Immediate to Quito, Abu Dhabi, Algiers, Baghdad, Caracas, Doha, Jakarta, Ottawa, London, Bonn, Rome, and Brussels for the Embassy and USEEC.


216. Information Memorandum From the Assistant Secretary of Energy for International Affairs (Bergold) to Secretary of Energy Schlesinger

Source: Library of Congress, Manuscript Division, Schlesinger Papers, Box 1, Japan. Secret. Drafted by Treat on June 8. A typed notation at the end of the memorandum reads: “Original given to JRS directly by John Treat,” and a handwritten note on the first page reads: “JRS has seen.”


217. Memorandum From the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Brzezinski) to President Carter

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Subject File, Box 48, Oil, 3–6/79. Confidential.


218. Summary of Conclusions of Presidential Review Committee Meeting

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Staff Material, International Economics File, Box 32, Rutherford Poats File, Summit: Tokyo. Confidential. The meeting was held in the Cabinet Room of the White House.


219. Telegram From the Department of State to the Embassies in the United Kingdom and France

Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy Files, D790269–1104. Confidential; Immediate. Drafted by Bullen, cleared by Katz and Schotta and in DOE/IA and EUR/RPE, and approved by Rosen. Repeated Immediate to Copenhagen, Ottawa, Bonn, Rome, Tokyo, The Hague, and Brussels.


220. Telegram From the Department of State to Selected Diplomatic Posts

Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy Files, D790325–0282. Confidential; Niact; Immediate. Drafted by Thomas A. Forbord (E), cleared by Owen and in S, and approved by Cooper. Sent to Kuwait, Jidda, Jakarta, Lagos, Doha, Caracas, Quito, Tokyo, and Abu Dhabi.


221. Minutes of the Tokyo Economic Summit Meeting

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Staff Material, International Economics File, Box 31, Rutherford Poats File, Summit: Tokyo, 6/28–30/79. Secret; Nodis. Drafted by Hormats who signed at the end of the list of participants. The full text of the minutes and other documentation on the Summit is scheduled for publication in Foreign Relations, 1977–1980, volume III, Foreign Economic Policy. President Carter’s personal account of the Summit is in White House Diary, pp. 335–337.


222. Memorandum From the Executive Secretary of the Department of State (Tarnoff) to the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Brzezinski)

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Country File, Box 49, Mexico, 5–6/79. Confidential.


223. Telegram From the Department of State to the Consulate General in Alexandria, Egypt

Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy Files, D790307–0300. Confidential; Niact; Immediate; Exdis. Drafted by Twinam; cleared in NEA, EB, S/S, and by Gary Sick of the NSC Staff; and approved by Cooper. Repeated Immediate to Riyadh, Amman, and Jidda.


224. Memorandum From Henry Owen of the National Security Council Staff to the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Brzezinski)

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Subject File, Box 48, Oil, 7/79. Confidential. Sent for information.


225. Memorandum From Henry Owen of the National Security Council Staff to President Carter

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Country File, Box 67, Saudi Arabia, 4–7/79. Confidential. Sent for information. Brzezinski wrote “Agree,” and initialed at the top of the page.


226. Memorandum From Henry Owen of the National Security Council Staff to President Carter

Source: Carter Library, Staff Office Files, Domestic Policy Staff, Box 324, Eizenstat, World Crude Oil Market. No classification marking. Sent for information. Attached to the memorandum is a July 12 note from Owen to Eizenstat that reads: “Curt Hessler tells me you’re considering this. If you recommend it to the President, I’d be grateful if you’d let him know I strongly agree with you—either by sending him the attached or by incorporating my views in your memo.”


227. Telegram From the Mission to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development to the Department of State

Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy Files, D790346–0118. Confidential; Noforn; Exdis. Repeated to Brussels for USEC and Ambassador Hinton.


228. Telegram From the Department of State to the Embassy in West Germany

Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy Files, D790358–0253. Confidential; Priority; Exdis. Drafted by D. Hickey (DOE/IA); cleared by Bergold, Schlesinger, Poats, and Rosen and in EUR/CE; and approved by Cooper. Repeated to Brussels for USEEC and to Paris for USOECD.


229. Telegram From the Department of State to Selected Diplomatic Posts

Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy Files, [no film number]. Confidential; Immediate. Drafted by Twinam; cleared by Hormats, Vest, and Deputy Assistant Secretary of Energy for International Resources Peter Borre; and approved by Cooper. Sent to all the OECD capitals, Kuwait, Jidda, Abu Dhabi, Manama, and Muscat, and repeated to Tokyo and Tehran.


230. Memorandum From Secretary of Energy Schlesinger to President Carter

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Staff Material, Middle East File, Box 68, Subject Files, Middle East: Security, 7–8/79. Top Secret. Brzezinski forwarded this memorandum to Vance and Brown on September 11 and wrote: “Attached for your information is a memorandum written by Jim Schlesinger just prior to his departure. The President has seen it. This copy is for your personal information and should be very closely held.”


231. Memorandum From Henry Owen of the National Security Council Staff to President Carter

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Subject File, Box 48, Oil, 8–12/79. No classification marking. Sent for information.


232. Telegram From the Department of State to Selected Diplomatic Posts

Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy Files, D790396–0559. Confidential. Drafted by Todd; cleared by Katz, Calingaert, Rosen, and Twinam and in DOE/IA, EA/J, EUR/RPE, AF/W, and ARA/AND; and approved by Cooper. Sent to all OECD capitals, USOECD Paris, USEEC Brussels, Jidda, Kuwait, Tripoli, Baghdad, Abu Dhabi, Algiers, Doha, Tehran, Caracas, Lagos, Jakarta, Libreville, Quito, Helsinki, Lisbon, Reykjavik, and Belgrade.


233. Memorandum From the Director of the Policy Planning Staff (Lake), the Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Economic and Business Affairs (Hormats), and the Assistant Secretary of State for International Organization Affairs (Maynes) to Secretary of State Vance

Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy Files, P790149–2411. Confidential. Drafted by Lissakers and sent through Cooper. A stamped notation indicates Vance saw it.


234. Telegram From the Department of State to All Diplomatic and Consular Posts

Source: National Archives, RG 59, Central Foreign Policy Files, D790421–1109. Limited Official Use. Drafted by Alan P. Larson (EB/ORF/FSE) and D. Dolan (EB/ORF/FSE); cleared by Katz, Rosen, and Calingaert and in DOE/IA, NEA, ARA, EA, AF/EPS, and EUR/RPE; and approved by Cooper.


235. Memorandum From Secretary of Energy Duncan and Henry Owen of the National Security Council Staff to President Carter

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Agency File, Box 8, Energy Department, 8–10/79. Confidential.


236. Memorandum of Conversation

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Subject File, Box 37, Memoranda of Conversation: President, 7/79–9/79. Confidential. Drafted by Erb on October 3. The meeting was held in the Cabinet Room of the White House. The full text of this memorandum of conversation is scheduled for publication in Foreign Relations, 1977–1980, volume XXIII, Mexico, Cuba, and the Caribbean. President López Portillo was in Washington for an official visit September 28–29.


237. Memorandum of Conversation

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Subject File, Box 37, Memoranda of Conversation: President, 7/79–9/79. Confidential. Drafted by Erb on October 3. The meeting was held in the Cabinet Room of the White House. The full text of this memorandum of conversation is scheduled for publication in Foreign Relations, 1977–1980, volume XXIII, Mexico, Cuba, and the Caribbean.


238. Letter From President Carter to Crown Prince Fahd of Saudi Arabia

Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, President’s Correspondence with Foreign Leaders File, Box 16, Saudi Arabia: Crown Prince and First Deputy Prime Minister Fahd ibn Abd Al-Aziz Al Saud, 2/77–5/80. No classification marking. An undated covering memorandum from Brzezinski to the President recommended that he send the letter to Fahd.


239. Memorandum From the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Brzezinski) to Director of Central Intelligence Turner

[Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Agency File, Box 3, Central Intelligence Agency, 9–12/79. Secret; Sensitive. 1 page not declassified.]


240. Memorandum From Director of Central Intelligence Turner to the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Brzezinski)

[Source: National Security Council, INT/Subject Files, F–R/I026, OPEC. Secret; Sensitive. 2 pages not declassified.]