694.001/12–850

Memorandum by the Consultant to the Secretary (Dulles) to the Secretary of State

top secret

I am attaching a memorandum on Japan prepared with the concurrence of Mr. Allison and Colonel Babcock.

John Foster Dulles
[Attachment]

Japan

top secret

Japan is, with Germany, one of the two great assets that the Soviet power seeks for exploitation in aid of its aggressive policies. It is important, if practicable, to prevent that. However, recent developments in Korea make it doubtful whether Japan can be relied upon to form a dependable part of the non-communist world. It is important to seek to resolve that doubt in our favor.

Accepting this as a premise, the following course of action is suggested:

1. There should be a prompt effort definitely to commit Japan, spiritually and politically, to the cause of the free world. In this respect, time is of the essence. The United States still possesses prestige in Japan and the full political and military implications of the Korean defeat are not yet apparent. There is probably more chance of mobilizing Japanese public opinion and getting a Japanese commitment now than in a month or two. Delay and inaction may count heavily against us.

2. It cannot be known now what precise pattern of action is best calculated to achieve the desired result. That can only be determined by survey on the spot.

Such a survey may disclose that there is no reasonable chance of success. If so, the quicker this is known, the better, as it will have an important bearing upon our policy and our dispositions elsewhere.

If Japan is willing on certain terms to accept commitment to our cause, then these terms should be ascertained to see whether the price is practical and worth paying.

Any such commitment by Japan would probably involve, in general, a basic decision by the U.S. to seek to maintain and defend the island chain of Japan, Ryukyus, Formosa, and the Philippines and, in particular, a certain commitment to Japan in terms of sea and air power; certain economic assurances and a prompt restoration of Japanese sovereignty through a treaty of peace or a declaration of peace.

The question of whether Japan would deal alone with the United States in respect to peace or would insist upon other of the Allies [Page 1360] coming along and if so, which, and their attitude toward Chinese Communist participation would have to be ascertained.

It may be necessary to have a Pacific Pact, initially of Japan, Australia, New Zealand, the Philippines, the United States, and perhaps Indonesia.

3. It is no longer practical to work out from here what is, to us, the best arrangement and to take the time that would be necessary to clear this with the various departments concerned, State, Defense, Attorney-General, Commerce, Treasury, etc., before dealing with Japan. The only practical procedure is to send to Japan a mission, which, bearing in mind U.S. capabilities and objectives, legal, economic, and military, would ascertain what, if any, arrangement were feasible.

Such a mission should, of course, to the extent practical, first exchange views here with the representatives of other friendly governments, so that their viewpoint would also be in the mind of the mission. But just as it is impractical now to reach an advance agreement among our different U.S. departments, so it is impractical now to reach a full advance agreement with our Allies.

4. The mission should have broad Presidential authority, with the cooperation of General MacArthur, to negotiate ad referendum the broad lines of an arrangement, if it seemed to it that something acceptable was possible. The mission should include persons who are familiar with, and would responsibly take into account the attitudes of, the different departments of government, particularly State and Defense, and also the attitudes of our Allies, so as to afford a good chance that any arrangement made would be finally accepted.