File No. 861.00/1658½

The British Embassy to the Department of State

[A copy of the following paraphrase of a telegram was left at the Department by the Counselor of the British Embassy on April 27, 1918:]

The British Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs (Balfour) to the Ambassador at Washington (Reading)

The most recent reports from our representative at Moscow indicate that the attitude of the Bolshevists on the question of intervention has undergone a marked change. If we can accept the assurances given by Trotsky and Mr. Lockhart’s interpretation of Trotsky’s views, the government at Moscow is no longer unwilling to see action by an Allied force in Russia operating through Vladivostok and under Japanese command, subject to the provision that the integrity and independence of Russia are properly guaranteed. The principal difficulty from the Russian viewpoint now therefore seems to be that it is impossible for the Bolshevist government to take any open steps against Germany until they have sufficient strength to enable them to make some kind of resistance against the German armies: that without help from the Allies it is impossible for them to be strong enough for this: that the Allies wish for an invitation before helping them and that an invitation from the Bolshevists would constitute an overt action against Germany on their part. The immediate problem therefore is to discover some means of circumventing this deadlock.

The second problem is to reach an understanding with Japan relative to the operations in which it will be necessary for them to play the principal part and as to the strength of the forces which should be employed. We are of opinion that the aim of the military operations should not be less than that of driving out the Central powers from Russian territory. As regards the numbers of troops to be put in the field, the Russian military authorities consider that, in view of the support which would no doubt be afforded by the elements in Russia hostile to Germany and of the decreasing power of the enemy, an army of from 250,000 to 300,000 men would suffice.

It is, however, clear that until the policy of intervention has been completely accepted by the United States, we can do nothing with the Japanese Government. It is unnecessary for me again to indicate the arguments in favour of intervention with which you are familiar, but since our last communication the statements of the Bolshevist authorities have been far more in favour of intervention than before, and we have also information which appears to indicate that the desire for peace which is now strong in Austria might be made still stronger if it was found that the eastern frontiers of Austria have not been made secure by the collapse of Russia.