File No. 893.01/68
Minister Reinsch to the Secretary of State
Peking, January 19, 1916, 9 p.m.
The Yunnan revolt has not spread but retains the character of a local opposition of a few military leaders against Yuan personally. Yangtze ports and Canton report everything quiet. There is sporadic agitation by radicals but no serious organized opposition. The moderates everywhere desire no commotion at this time.
It is probable that the change in the form of state will soon be announced together with a specific declaration of policy, including immediate convocation of a constitutional convention, creation of a representative assembly and a cabinet, immediate liberal provision for public education and taxation reform. No further titles of nobility are to be awarded. Those already given are to be treated as military honors. Progressive element in the cabinet is in full control of policy of this Government.
Neutral Ministers agree that recognition upon announcement of the change is warranted by actual authority of Government and made advisable as avoiding possible irresponsible plotting which at present could not result in constructive organization but only in bloodshed and disturbance.
Should no material change occur and should I not receive further instructions I shall carry out your instructions of December 21st, 3 p.m.3 after the change has been announced.
All the European Legations fear that should the state of uncertainty be prolonged and serious unrest result, Japan would again intervene.