63. Memorandum From Acting Secretary of State Dam to President Reagan1
Washington, April 29,
1983
SUBJECT
- My Meeting with Dobrynin—April 28, 1983
Ambassador Dobrynin came in
April 282 to pass on Moscow’s answers to the various
questions on START-related issues
which the Secretary posed in their April 14 meeting.3 Ed
Rowny was present. The following is a preliminary report.
In response to our first question concerning Soviet flexibility in their
proposed ceiling of 1800 strategic nuclear delivery vehicles, Dobrynin stated the 1800 figure
was the minimum possible to meet Soviet security requirements and was
itself contingent on no increase in U.S. Forward-Based Systems (This
apparently means traditional FBS such
as aircraft carriers and those nuclear delivery systems based outside
the U.S. within range of the Soviet Union such as our proposed Pershing
II and GLCM deployments). In this
regard, he posed two questions—whether, to the extent we want them to go
below 1800, were we prepared to
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“resolve” this FBS question and
whether we were ready to drop our insistence on including the Soviet
Backfire as a strategic bomber.
In answering our second question about their willingness to drop their
call for a ban on cruise missiles, Dobrynin noted that although a complete ban on all
long-range cruise missiles was still the best solution, the Soviet Union
was nonetheless prepared to discuss limitations on Air-Launched Cruise
Missiles (ALCMs). The Soviets would
continue to insist, however, on prohibiting Sea-Launched and
Ground-Launched Cruise Missiles (SLCMs
and GLCMs). ALCM warheads, moreover, would have to be counted along
with those of ballistic missiles into any overall warhead ceiling.
Our third question dealt with how many Soviet heavy and medium ICBMs might be reduced under the Soviets’
own START proposal. Dobrynin’s answer was equivocal,
stating the “basic part” of Soviet reductions would consist of ICBMs. The specific missiles and systems
to be dismantled “could be determined by each side in the framework of
additional limitations foreseen in the agreement.”
In sum, the Soviet response was mixed. On the 1800 missile and bomber
ceiling, we received a negative answer, one in which Dobrynin reiterated familiar,
tough Soviet positions on FBS and
Backfire. On heavy/medium ICBM
reductions, the Soviet response was ambiguous, suggestive of some
eventual reductions, but offering us no specific numbers. On ALCMs, however, Dobrynin’s response did
represent a modest and specific move beyond their current position in
Geneva toward us. Although the Soviet willingness to drop their
insistence on a complete ban on ALCMs
and to discuss limitations along the lines we have proposed essentially
gets us back to only a SALT II
position, it is a step they have not taken previously during the past
year of negotiations in Geneva. This suggests they wish to continue this
dialogue.
We will be assessing Dobrynin’s statement over the coming days and will be
making further recommendations on how we might best proceed in this
discussion.
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Attachment
Non-Paper Prepared in the Soviet Foreign
Ministry4
In the discussion of April 14 with the American side, several
questions were touched upon, connected with the negotiations about
the limitation and reduction of strategic arms.
Our estimates of the situation in the negotiations has already been
conveyed to the American side and our approach has been underlined.
The questions put by the American side in connection with the (April
14) discussion have been discussed in detail by the Delegations of
the Soviet Union and the USA in the
course of three rounds of negotiations in Geneva.
Taken together the Soviet proposals present the possibility of
guaranteeing a genuinely just and effective solution to the problems
of limiting strategic arms. We are convinced that with the strict
observance of the principles of equality and equal security, which
excludes the acquisition of any one-sided advantage, we could limit
the race in nuclear arms, achieving a real lowering of the levels of
nuclear forces between our countries in accordance with requisite
support of parity between them in strategic arms.
The Soviet Union is for moving ahead on the basis of an uninterrupted
process of step-by-step lowering of the nuclear levels between the
Soviet Union and the USA to the
very lowest possible level.
How far and how fast it is possible to move along this path depends
on the United States.
It is well known that the United States has near the Soviet Union
many nuclear means forward based, which have a fundamental influence
on the quantitative and qualitative sides of the strategic
relationship between the Soviet Union and the United States. The
American nuclear means close to our borders unquestionably have
strategic significance for the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union does
not have analogous means close to American territory.
Taking into consideration the presence of nuclear means forward
based, it is necessary for the security of the Soviet Union in the
existing circumstances to have no less than 1800 strategic nuclear
means and
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this is with the
understanding that the US at least would not increase its nuclear
means forward based.
It is impossible to deny that as the sides reduce ICBMs, SLBMs and heavy bombers, the relative weight and
significance of means forward based will increase. Nonetheless, even
in the light of the aforementioned, unfavorable conditions, the
Soviet Union presented far-reaching proposals, which envisage a
major, by one quarter, reduction of the strategic arsenals of the
sides. If the United States is genuinely ready not only in words but
in deed to reach agreement about still more significant reductions
of strategic arms, they must guarantee for that the necessary
conditions.
In that connection we ask: to the extent that the United States is
interested in the possibility of lowering the level of strategic
arms presented to us, is it with all seriousness prepared to look at
the development of this strategic situation and analyze the question
about the corresponding question of American nuclear means forward
based?
Further, it is important that the levels of strategic arms of the
sides reflect the totality of all means, including not only
ballistic missiles but also heavy bombers. Included in this
composition of arms must be considered and limited namely strategic
arms, and not such means which have no relationship to them. Is the
American side, prepared for such solutions? Is it prepared to remove
the entirely made up question about the Soviet medium bomber
“Backfire”?
Let us take up the question of cruise missiles. Here the Soviet Union
is proposing a serious fundamental solution. But hear the position
of the United States is different. The proposals of the United
States in this area permit the deployment of 400 bombers with from 8
to 11,000 cruise missiles of long range, not even talking about the
absence in the American approach of any limit on sea based and land
based cruise missiles of long range. Thus, there would be an
increase in strategic arms of massive proportions. Does this really
agree with the goals of these negotiations?
The Soviet side is convinced that the best solution of this question
of air-launched cruise missiles of long range would be a ban of
(such) missiles of all types of basing. However, trying to guarantee
the possibilities for forward movement in the negotiations, we would
be prepared depending upon the course of discussions of other
questions to consider the possibility of limiting, and not banning
air-launched cruise missiles with the understanding, naturally, that
sea and ground based cruise missiles would be banned. It is
understood that nuclear warheads on cruise missiles would be
included in the general list of nuclear warheads of strategic
arms.
You, Mr. Secretary, asked about what would happen with Soviet ICBMs in reduction by both sides of
strategic arms. If one takes into
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account the composition of Soviet strategic
forces, then it is clear in reductions to the level of 1800 and that
there would take place dismantling of ballistic missiles. More than
that, we could say that the basic part of reductions, foreseen by
Soviet proposals, would consist of ICBMs. Concretely, which missiles or other systems
would be destroyed could be determined by each side, of course, in
the framework of additional limitations, foreseen in the
agreement.
We would like to repeat: movement forward in the negotiations,
including on the above mentioned questions, depends on the United
States.
We expect from the American side a positive answer to the questions
we have presented.