163. Telegram From the Department of State to the Embassy in Cuba 1

292. Following is summary of understanding reached during Ambassador’s visit to Department November 222 re possible future US support for Rivero Aguero Government.

USG would not commit self on support unless and until Rivero has taken positive steps to restore peace in Cuba and there is evidence that his program has support of major segments Cuban populace (exclusive if necessary of Castro movement) including civic organizations, the Church and the Armed Forces.

To determine US attitude toward GOC Batista’s future role will be key factor in Rivero’s obtaining such support and unless Batista agrees to absent himself from country after February and remain completely aloof political scene prospects for Rivero’s success would be remote. Other factors will be Rivero’s willingness shorten mandate, call constituent assembly and take other measures to gain public confidence.

Nature and extent US support would have to be studied in light Rivero’s accomplishments. This could take various forms possibly including opportunity resumption arms shipments if indicated. While apparent GOC feels [source text illegible] necessary pave way peaceful advent Rivero regime, Department feels sending US arms now would only solidify opposition to GOC, aggravate internal strife, invite reprisals against US and US citizens and interests in Cuba, and have other serious domestic and hemisphere repercussions.

In formulating US policy toward Cuba opinions of other LA countries important. Suggested Ambassador discreetly discuss internal Cuban situation with members LA Diplomatic Corps Habana and report their views.

Dulles
  1. Source: Department of State, Central Files, 611.37/11–2658. Confidential. Drafted by Leonhardy and Snow and cleared with Wieland who signed for Dulles.
  2. See Document 160.