94. Letter From the Ambassador in Italy (Luce) to the Assistant Secretary of State for
European Affairs (Merchant)1
Dear Livie: On March 24, 1955, Undersecretary
of State Hoover forwarded the
Embassy two copies of the Outline Plan of Operations for Italy approved
by the OCB on March 2, 1955.2 At the
same time he requested that our comments and a progress report be sent
directly to you.
The Outline Plan has been studied by all the representatives of the
OCB member agencies in Rome and
discussed at a number of the weekly meetings of these representatives
held under my direction. The situation in Italy has been so unstable for
the last six months that it did not seem as if any report could be of
value. A report was prepared in July, but by the time it was ready to go
forward the situation had changed.
[Page 314]
There are forwarded attached, nonetheless, two copies of a report
prepared in the Political Section of the Embassy [less
than 1 line of source text not declassified] embodying not only
the suggestions of USOM and USIS, but also the results of conferences
with those and other sections of the Embassy. I concur with this report
and think it presents as sound an analysis of the situation today and
the prospects for tomorrow as is possible under the circumstances.
As you have noticed, not only from my reports, but also from my
conversations with you, I have been most concerned by the possibility of
a slipping to the left in Italy. The Soviets moves during the summer
have had an effect here both in internal as well as foreign policy. The
Center Democractic forces had strengthened themselves by spring time,
and if they had struck some really hard blows at Social-Communist
strength, they might have eliminated the danger from that quarter. But
they didn’t really try very hard to launch an effective anti-Communist
campaign; they merely made noises to please us! Thus, with the change in
the international scene they found themselves in a box. Now the
situation may have improved somewhat.
I think we must continue to support the Center—a move to the Left is
unacceptable, while a move to the right would be politically unpalatable
in Italy today. On the other hand, I don’t think we should expect any
earth-shaking anti-Communist moves. If we can head off an “opening to
the left” by which the Socialists are used as an organized party by the
Government, and if the international situation continues to result in
the détente’s not being translated into real Soviet concessions of
substance, I think there is some chance that the trend of organized
labor away from the Communists will continue, that the drop in influence
of the Communist press will be maintained, and that the slight political
amelioration of the center parties, especially the Christian Democratic
Party, will increase. The two ifs are
important.
Having submitted this report on the OCB
plan of March 2, 1955, we shall await further instructions, in the
meantime carrying on as indicated in the Plan and our report. We would,
however, like to suggest some changes to NSC 5421/2.3
With best regards.
Most Sincerely,
[Page 315]
Attachment
SUBJECT
- Operations Coordinating Board Outline Plan for Italy, March 2,
1955
Memorandum From V. Lansing Collins, Jr.,
[less than 1 line of text not
declassified]to the Ambassador in Italy
(Luce)4
I. General
As directed, the following comments are submitted for your approval
and transmission to Mr. Merchant in reply to Under Secretary of State
Hoover’s letter of March
24, 1955. These comments are the result of discussions at the
regular meeting of the OCB agency
representatives and of a series of meetings between Mr. Collins and Mr. Francis
Deak, Chief of the Economic Section; Mr.
Fulton Freeman, Special Assistant for MDAP
affairs; Mr. Edward T. Longs, Acting Labor
Attaché; and Miss Barbara White,USIS. The
full cooperation of other sections of the Embassy was received when
needed to answer specific points. The memorandum has received the
concurrence of the Minister and of the Counselor.
- 1.
- The Outline plan of operations for Italy, hereafter called
“The Plan”, is based on NSC
5411/2. Certain revisions of this NSC paper seem called for and will be submitted
soon. These suggested revisions will be generally reflected in
the comments regarding the Plan.
- 2.
- One general comment regarding the Plan is that many of the
items therein are unduly specific and thus become outdated
quickly or give unwarranted emphasis to minor programs. An
effort will be made to suggest an elimination or rewording of
these items.
- 3.
- The Present Situation outlined on page
1 of the Plan no longer seems to reflect “steadily growing”
Communist strength as mentioned in the Plan. In the summer and
fall of 1955 it rather seems that Social-Communist strength has
been stabilized and to some extent balanced by strengthened
Democratic forces, although the Social-Communists continue to
represent a most dangerous bloc. The basic problem now facing
the US in Italy, it seems, is whether Democractic forces can act
effectively to eliminate the Social-Communist threat or will
permit it to live on undisturbed awaiting either a more
propitious moment for the seizure of power or the encouragement
of Italy’s taking a neutralist position through an understanding
between the Socialists and the Christian Democrats. 1955 has
been marked by Government immobility resulting from inability of
the Democratic forces to get together and form a really
effective Government. This immobility might only really be solved by new elections. The
advent of the Segni
Government in
[Page 316]
July
1955 augurs no improvement on this score. There is, moreover,
much evidence that responsible Center leaders, particularly the
President of Italy, Gronchi, are seriously considering methods to
cooperate with the Nenni
Socialists.
- 4.
- While the Operational Techniques
mentioned in paragraph 3a (page 1) of the Plan remain valid, the
considerably smaller amount of direct economic aid available
lessens greatly the bargaining position of the US. In using this
technique the effectiveness of the “carrot” approach should not
be overestimated in the relatively prosperous Italy of today.
Insofar as paragraph 3b (page 2) of the Plan is concerned, it
should be noted that the policy outlined has been initiated and
will be continued; these programs appear later in the actions agreed upon section and therefore
might possibly be omitted from this paragraph which relates to
operational techniques rather than to the details of the Plan.
It is suggested that the word “additional” on line 1 and the
words “increase its efforts to” in paragraph 3b3 should be
deleted and the sentence changed to read “the United States
should encourage the development and strengthening of
anti-Communist and/or pro-Democratic organizations.”
- 5.
- The paragraph Timing and Emphasis,
paragraph 4 (page 2) of the Plan, should be recast to state
merely that while the full impact of the Plan can not be
expected immediately, there will be interim effects which will
show up in the next National elections. Emphasis should still be
given to the South (including Sicily and Sardinia) because of
economic conditions there without, however, losing sight of the
serious problems which must be faced in the rest of Italy. There
are depressed areas in the North, such as the area southeast of
Bologna and the Trieste Territory. Furthermore, the months to
come will be extremely critical ones for the free trade unions
in the North.
- 6.
- Throughout the Plan reference is made to the Scelba Government’s
anti-Communist campaign often spoken of as the December 4, 1954
plan or program. It should be borne in mind, it is submitted,
that the December 4 announcement and the earlier statement of
the Spring of 1954 were merely policy declarations of the
Scelba Cabinet. They
were thus policy declarations of a government no longer in power
which have not been and are not going to be specifically endorsed by the Segni Government. The Segni Government has never
indicated that it would pursue an anti-Communist program
labelled as such. In fact, the Segni Government has taken little or no
anti-Communist action of any kind. It is therefore submitted
that the Plan should contain no language treating these
Scelba Government
declarations as anything more than what they were. Thus the
results can better be gauged.
[Here follows the body of the 21-page report, consisting of detailed
comments on each paragraph of the “Actions” section of the OCB Outline Plan.]