123 Clubb, Oliver Edmund

Memorandum by the Assistant Secretary of State for Far Eastern Affairs (Rusk)1 to the Secretary of State

secret

Attached is a copy of a telegram (Tab A) sent by Consul General Clubb in Peiping through British facilities handed to the Department today by an officer of the British Embassy.

This telegram discusses the efforts of Mr. Clubb to get in touch with Chinese Communist officials at Peiping prior to his departure as had been authorized by the Department in its telegram no. 253 of March 22, 1950 (Tab B).2 It is believed that you will wish to read the telegram in full.3

[Annex]

Please pass the following to the State Department from the U.S.A. Consul General, Peking.

Begins:

April 9th 12 noon.4

Secret

In the discussion of 1st April regarding the possibility my contacting high Communist leaders for an informal discussion of outstanding Sino-American problems Chang Tung-Sun5 doubted strongly that the Communists would see me, thought that such contacts would be fruitless in any event and said that he himself nowadays never sought out Communists and was without contacts with them except when they looked him up. Exploratory contacts earlier with Wang Shun-Chih [undeciphered groups] uneasiness on the part of democratic personalities with whom he purports to be in contact as regards any discussion on their own part of the problems of international relations.

Initial approaches seeming infeasible and in any event probably ineffectual I requested the British Embassy to take up the matter incidentally with the Foreign Office in the course of some visit, emphasizing the informal character of that approach noting that the proposal was that such a meeting be arranged if the Communists were willing for the simple purpose of discussing certain aspects of Sino-American relations with the idea of obtaining some clarification of the subject and this was done on 6th April. The Foreign Office contact said that the matter would be referred higher up for consideration. It is of course doubtful whether the Communists side will consent to [Page 328] any such interview. I believe however that any refusal on their part would now be more from fear of committing themselves on questions of high policy than from basic hostility. Both the above informants admitted the gravity of China’s present economic situation find Wang stressed the following factors dominating political scene:

The Chinese concern with face, the slow tempo of administration in a system where personnel are both ignorant and afraid to take responsibility, the desire to get rid of foreign influence and even foreigners despite the conflict of this desire with China’s economic aspiration. Wang thinks China will shift to a more amenable position but that no right angle turn is probable and the shift would take at least 6 months to one year. Chang opined that Mao and his party as members of the Communist Church fear excommunication and are unable to take a neutral position respecting Soviet Union, that relaxation of Sino-American relations can come only from either amelioration of American-Soviet relations or American victory in war, for economic competence will not be permitted to overweigh the political for Communists. Mao, he said, could not be expected to make any pronounced shift in less than two years. (Mao and company quite possibly are guided in their tactics by expectation of a new world war).

If the above estimates are even nearly accurate, the Chinese Communist regime cannot be expected to adopt a substantially more conciliatory attitude for some time to come. That the harshness of both facts of country’s economic position and experience of political intimacy with Soviet Union will particularly affect the overall situation in China no doubt seems logically to be anticipated. Clubb.

Foreign Office please pass Washington as my telegram No.6

  1. Mr. Rusk assumed this position on March 28, 1950.
  2. Ante, p. 321.
  3. The file copy of this memorandum was initialed by Mr. Acheson.
  4. A manuscript notation on the source text indicated that this message was received by the British Embassy in Washington from London on April 12.
  5. Professor of Philosophy at the Yenching University in Peking.
  6. No number was supplied in the source text.