Paris Peace Conf. 184.01302/2
The Chief of the Special Mission in Germany
(
Dresel
) to the Secretary of the Commission to
Negotiate Peace (
Grew
)
Paris
, January
10, 1919.
Sir: I have the honor to submit herewith the
following report of a journey to Germany, covering the period from
December 27, 1918, to January 5, 1919.
I. Travelling Arrangements, Details and Objects of
Expedition, etc.
In accordance with directions of the Commission, I left Paris on December
17th. I travelled by way of Switzerland, in order to make the necessary
preliminary arrangements from there. I saw Professor Förster, the
Bavarian Minister to Switzerland, and Count Montgelas, Counsellor of the
German Legation, who gave their entire approval to my entering Germany
and obtained the necessary authority from their governments. This
consumed some days, and as it seemed impracticable to start immediately
before Christmas, I did not leave Berne until the 27th.
My first stopping place was Munich, where I arrived the same evening. The
Bavarian authorities provided a special car from Lindau to Munich,
together with an escort from Lindau, and I was met at the station by a
deputation, including the Burgomaster and several members of the
government. This was due to a regrettable misunderstanding, but I took
pains, both at that time, and afterwards, to emphasize that I had come
in with no mission other than to obtain general information about the
situation. To prevent any further misapprehension, I gave to the press a
short and guarded statement to the effect that I had come in as an
American citizen without any official status, and that my only aim was
to obtain first hand details regarding the state of the country.
I stayed at Munich until Sunday evening, December 29th, after succeeding
in obtaining interviews with many of the prominent men both inside and
outside the Government.
On Sunday evening, December 29th, I proceeded to Berlin by night train,
and arrived there at noon of the next day. I immediately put myself into
communication with the German Foreign Office,
[Page 133]
and Dr. Rödiger, and later Dr. Ahrens, were
assigned to make the necessary arrangements for interviews. Both these
gentlemen made every effort to meet my wishes, and the result was that
during the time which elapsed up to my departure, on January 5th, I was
able to come in contact with a large number of representative men of all
shades of opinion.
Owing to the extremely limited time which it seemed best to devote to the
trip, I made no effort to visit places other than Munich and Berlin, as
these two appeared to be the most important cities from which to study
the situation.
I left Berlin on the evening of the 5th by the direct train to Spa,
which, on account of the Armistice Commission there sitting, still
maintains sleeping cars. A gentleman attached to the Berlin Military
Department (Kommandantur), Dr. Burger, was sent with me as an escort,
and I arrived at Spa on the afternoon of the sixth, and reported at once
to General Barnum at the Headquarters of the American Mission. An
automobile and escort were furnished me to Brussels, where I spent the
night, reaching Paris on the evening of January 7th.
No serious difficulties of any kind were encountered on the trip, and
both at Munich and Berlin army automobiles were put at my constant
disposal, with the result that much time was saved. Hotel accommodations
were still satisfactory, and though trains were crowded, it was possible
to make proper reservations.
By arrangement with the American Legation at Berne, I took with me Mr.
Franklin Day, a Special Assistant attached to the Legation, and Hunter
D. Scott, a stenographer. Both these gentlemen returned to Berne by way
of Munich in accordance with my directions.
II. General attitude of the German people
Taken as a whole, the Germans fully realize that they have lost the war
and that the situation which faces them is of extreme difficulty. The
general sentiment is of utter depression, and apathy and inertia are
everywhere noticeable. At the same time, the old habits of order arid
discipline have not been superseded, except in isolated instances, and
the outward life of the people, as observed in the streets, theatres,
restaurants, etc., is not changed. While crime is said to be on the
increase, the mass of the people is well-behaved and orderly, and even
on such occasions as New Year’s eve, no evidence of riotous behavior of
any kind was observed.
Among the people at large, any return to military activity is looked upon
with the utmost aversion, and the returning soldiers are almost all only
anxious to go back to their families and to take up civil
occupations.
[Page 134]
The places of entertainment are all crowded and there is an evident
desire to forget the war and its consequences as soon as possible. The
effort is, however, hardly successful, and little real gaiety is seen
anywhere. The streets are alive until late at night.
III. Analysis of present political situation
The following is a rough outline of the composition of the more important
parties. These are, however, changing from day to day, and any analysis,
to be correct, needs constant revision.
1. Majority Socialist Party. This is now in
control of the Government, and maintains its hold through disposing of
the best party organization and by its homogeneity. The leaders, though
generally without experience in administering Government affairs, are
practical common sense men of moderate ideas. While they have not
abandoned their views of an ultimate social reorganization of the State,
in accordance with the ideas of Karl Marx and other socialist writers,
they see the necessity of postponing the full realization of these views
until order has been entirely restored. They also appreciate the
necessity of working together with the members of the new Democratic
Party and other moderates in order to stabilize the government.
Besides the lack of governmental experience, the chief handicap of the
party has hitherto been its great disinclination to extreme measures
against the fanatical groups involving bloodshed. A deliberate attempt
has been made to avoid a clash at any cost before the elections, but it
now seems that this will have to be abandoned, and the appointment of a
strong man, Noske, about a fortnight ago, to take charge of the military
situation is a sign that a determined effort will be made to keep the
anarchists under control.
The Cabinet now includes five Socialist members: Ebert, Scheidemann,
Noske, Wissel and Landsberg.
Of these, Ebert, the head of the Government, is universally respected,
and has a strong hold, both inside and outside his party. He makes an
impression of great honesty and sincerity, but it may be questioned
whether his ability is adequate to cope with the intensely difficult
situation, and whether his forcefulness is sufficient to control the
disorderly element outside of his Party. He is a self-made man, the son
of a tailor, and was himself brought up to the saddlers trade. He has
acquired considerable education, and expresses himself with clearness
and even eloquence.
Scheidemann, also a man of humble origin, who began life as a printer’s
apprentice, has more brilliant gifts than Ebert, but is less free from
self-effacement, and unlimited political ambitions are attributed to
him.
[Page 135]
Noske is a man of little education, but has a very strong personality,
and his chances of controlling the parties of disorder are good. His
success at Kiel, which led to his present appointment, is evidence of
his power and willingness to use an iron fist.
Wissel is Minister of Education, but neither he nor Landsberg, the
remaining Socialist member of the Government, is especially prominent at
present.
To sum up the strength and weakness of the Government, it may be affirmed
with some certainty that it is gaining rather than losing. The
resignation of the independent socialists has given it a freer hand. Its
elements of strength are:
- (a)
- Close touch with and control of the masses.
- (b)
- A constructive programme and political initiative.
- (c)
- Its moderation and willingness to cooperate with moderate men
of other parties.
The elements of weakness are as follows:
- (a)
- The inexperience of the leading party members in actual
government, their previous activity having been confined to
party and parliamentary work.
- (b)
- The fact that the prominent members have now no time for
public propaganda.
- (c)
- The disinclination of the Government to shed blood, at least
before the elections, if it can be possibly avoided.
- (d)
- The lack of a real military organization at the present
moment, and the necessity of creating a national army.
In addition, in Bavaria, the party is handicapped by an Independent
Socialist, Eisner, being nominally in control as Prime Minister. Here
the man best fitted to head the Government is undoubtedly Auer, a man of
obscure origin, but who appears to be possessed of constructive ideas,
and of energy to carry them out, and who has the respect of all moderate
parties.
2. Independent or Minority Socialists. This party,
at the present moment, is in a state of disorganization. While it is far
more radical than the Majority Socialists in its insistence on the
immediate institution of far-reaching socialist measures, it has for the
most part shrunk from cooperating with the Spartacus adherents. The
result is that it has been losing in influence, the right wing of the
party joining the Majority Socialists, while some of the extremists have
been won over to Liebknecht. The leaders of the party are Hoffman,
Barth, Dittmann, Cohn and Ledebour.
3. Spartacus or Bolshevistic Groups. These
comprise several different factions, such as the followers of
Liebknecht, the anarchists, and the communists, who may properly be
considered together, as the aims of all appear the same, and as they are
all closely allied to Russian
[Page 136]
Bolshevism. The movement is led by radical fanatics, who are, with few
exceptions, foreigners or Jews. It is composed of:
- (a)
- Professional and theoretical agitators.
- (b)
- Laborers who have hitherto received extravagant wages for
their work in war industries (“schwerarbeiter”).
- (c)
- Young uneducated soldiers.
- (d)
- Fanatical women such as take part in all revolutions.
The strength of the party lies in:
- (a)
- The serious food and economic situation, resulting in hunger,
disease and unemployment.
- (b)
- A nervous collapse, due in the first place to defeat, and in
the second to under nutrition.
- (c)
- The old agitation of labor against capital, strengthened by
the collapse of the capitalistic regime.
- (d)
- The entire freedom from scruples of any kind on the part of
the leaders and their willingness to go to all extremes.
- (e)
- The fact that the party has obtained, in a large measure, the
control of arms and munitions, including especially machine
guns.
- (f)
- The fact that they are in control of large sums of money
obtained principally from Russian sources.
- (g)
- The fact that the leaders are not in the Government, and
therefore free to agitate on the outside.
The weakness of the party appears to be due to the following
considerations:
- (a)
- The people whom they wish especially to control, i. e., the
mass of the populace, are not particularly amenable to their
influence. The German proletariat are far better educated, much
less easily led and much more attached to order and discipline
than the Russians.
- (b)
- The widespread knowledge of the true state of affairs in
Russia.
- (c)
- The fact that the party has no well-defined and constructive
programme, but is in its essence destructive.
- (d)
- The lack of distinguished leaders.
4. German Democratic Party. This consists of a
conglomeration of the liberal elements of several parties, and includes
the former Progressive Party and the left wing of the National Liberal
and Centre parties. Their aim is to establish a permanent republic on
democratic lines, excluding however, the social reorganization to which
the Majority Socialists are committed. Their ideal is a revival of the
Republic of 1848, under the black, red and gold flag. Their tendency is
antimilitaristic, and they derive their strength from the middle classes
and from men of moderate incomes who wish an orderly and moderate
government, without marked social changes. They will be willing to join
the Majority Socialists in a coalition government, should the latter not
have an absolute majority. The weakness of the party lies in the fact
that it is composed of heterogeneous
[Page 137]
elements and includes among its prominent men a
number of professors and other theorists. Among the leaders and founders
of the party are Theodor Wolff, Naumann (known as the chief exponent of
the Mittel-Europa scheme), Dr. Dernburg, Professor Delbrueck, Max
Warburg, Prince Max of Baden, and others.
While forecasts of the election are unreliable, it seems certain that the
party will poll a large vote and will be a strong factor in framing a
new constitution.
5. German People’s Party, or Christian People’s
Party. This consists of the right wing of the former Centre
Party and includes the Clerical Party, which is especially strong in
Bavaria, and which is fighting the separation of church and state. The
party is bourgeois, republican and not markedly reactionary, but is more
opposed to all socialistic measures than the Democratic Party.
6. German National Popular Party. Comprises the
former conservatives and the right wing of the national liberals. The
leaders are Stresemann and Heydebrand. This party is also professedly
republican, but its tendency is distinctly reactionary, and should the
liberals be unable to form a stable government, it may be looked on to
make an attempt to revive the monarchy in one form or another.
In some sections, especially in Bavaria, some of the old parties have
maintained organizations and will put tickets into the field, but as far
as can be ascertained, they will not form an important factor.
III. [sic] Attitude of Social Classes
- 1.
- The Junkers have retired entirely into the background, owing to
the results of the war. The landowners, owing to their advocacy of
the war to the last extremity and to their success in obtaining food
supplies are the most unpopular class in the community and no
serious attempts are being made by them to influence public opinion.
They are under such obloquy that they will not be able to assert
themselves, if at all, for a long time to come. The same thing may
be said of the large manufacturers and of the war profiteers, as
well as of the officers of the Ludendorff regime, who have been
eager to fight to the last. Their voices are not heard, and their
newspapers have had to change their tone.
- 2.
- The intellectuals, including professors and others, have to a
large extent joined the Majority Socialist Party. Some are in the
democratic ranks. They are not a strong influence at the present
moment, due to their theoretic rather than practical views and their
failure to agree on questions of policy.
- 3.
- The bankers and important merchants are extremely pessimistic and
apathetic. They consider the financial condition of Germany almost
beyond redemption and are afraid of losing all they have.
- 4.
- The minor officials, small employes and tradesmen are
proletariatized, orderly and in favor of a liberal and stable
government, but are politically quite untrained.
- 5.
- The laboring classes are mainly reasonable and inclined to support
the Majority Socialists. A serious danger exists, however, that by
hunger, cold and lack of employment, they will come under the
control of the radical revolutionaries.
IV. Attitude towards the Allies and the United
States
The most conspicuous feature of all conversations which I had with all
classes was the somewhat over-friendly disposition towards America and
Americans. This is undoubtedly partly due to self-interest, but is also
largely owing to the former close ties with America, to social, economic
and financial intercourse which existed before the war, and to the large
population of German extraction in the United States; also to an
appreciation of the fact that America has no selfish ends to serve and
to the hope that she may be induced to plead the German cause with her
allies. The result is that there is a strong wish to take up relations
again with the United States at the same point where they were before
the war, and the hope is cherished that the events of the war will be
overlooked and condoned and that by the help of America, Germany will be
enabled to rehabilitate herself. It is perhaps needless to add that I
was careful to give no encouragement to this desire for a policy of
forgiving and forgetting.
It was suggested to me that real advantages could be obtained for America
if she consented to become the friend of the German people. One of the
leading German financiers went so far as to explain that the nations
predestined to bring order into Russia were evidently Germany and
America; that America could not accomplish the task alone, and Germany
had hitherto failed because of her lack of experience in dealing with
the Russian people and her preoccupation with the war in other quarters,
and that America would also fail if she acted alone because she would
not understand the conditions in Russia, but Germany had now gained the
necessary experience and together the two governments could organize the
whole country and develop its resources.
An attempt will also be made on the part of the financiers to obtain a
loan for Germany.
Anxiety is expressed as to whether, after the war, there will be a market
for German goods in America, and I was asked on several occasions
whether a boycott would be put in force for a considerable time after
the war.
As regards the peace conditions, it is hoped in Germany that America will
prevent the infliction of terms so severe as to cripple
[Page 139]
the economic and commercial life of the
country, which is stated to be necessary for the existence of the German
people. Bitter complaints are heard on all sides on account of the
alleged harshness of the terms of the armistice, and the point most
frequently brought up is that the forced giving up of rolling stock has
practically stopped the transport of coal to many districts and has
necessitated the closing of factories and unemployment of thousands of
workmen. The occupation of the Ruhr district and the possible loss of
the Silesian coal mines is also an especial source of anxiety. At Munich
all factories were closed down for a period of ten days, up to January
1st, owing to the coal shortage.
A further cause of complaint was the alleged embargo against allowing
passage of goods from the right to the left bank of the Rhine, in other
words, from the occupied to the unoccupied district, and vice-versa. It
was claimed that the consequence would be to prevent the important
industries, such as textile concerns, from receiving supplies which
would enable them to continue business.
Great emphasis was laid, by almost all persons with whom I talked on the
necessity of obtaining an immediate supply of raw materials, and it was
even claimed by one or two that the supply of raw materials was more
important for the rehabilitation of Germany than the food supply.
The invariable argument used by all persons with whom I came in contact
was that the Bolshevik danger was real and pressing, and was constantly
fed by the lack of food and by the unemployment due to stoppage of raw
materials; that Bolshevism would spread all over Germany and infallibly
from thence to the neighboring countries, and would ultimately affect
the whole world; that it was in the power of the Entente to check the
movement by energetic relief measures and by giving the German people
the chance to rehabilitate themselves; that this could only be done by
affording them the necessary help and by failing to demand huge
indemnities and crushing conditions with which it would be impossible to
comply.
From many quarters it was insistently urged that the Entente should issue
a formal and specific declaration substantially to the following effect:
that it would under no circumstances conclude peace except with a
responsible and stable government, elected by the will of the people,
and that it would not be able to furnish food and other supplies to the
people of Germany unless such a government, capable of providing the
required guarantees, could be established. Such a declaration would in
their opinion have the greatest possible strengthening effect on the
forces of law and order.
I was asked repeatedly by persons connected with the government whether
Count Bernstorff2 would be an acceptable person to represent
[Page 140]
Germany at the peace
negotiations. While I disclaimed giving anything but a personal opinion,
I intimated that it would be, in my opinion, a great mistake, as in
popular estimation, Count Bernstorff was held to have been the
responsible head of the whole propaganda and espionage system in America
and was emphatically an object of suspicion to the people at large. It
seems probable that Count Brockdorff-Rantzau would be the principal
delegate, if his health, which is said to be delicate, would permit. Dr.
Solf was also mentioned, as was Dr. Rathenau. Mr. Warburg expects to be
the financial representative of the German Government. Besides this, it
is undoubtedly planned to bring over a number of experts. It is assumed
that elaborate peace negotiations between Germany and the Entente will
take place, in the course of which Germany will be allowed to explain
her position at length, and it is hoped that her views regarding the
fourteen points of the President and the League of Nations will be
sustained.
V. Possible developments. Constructive plans
It is believed, that while in the extremely confused state of affairs an
accurate forecast is difficult, the moderate element will ultimately
remain in the ascendant. No doubt serious trouble with the anarchists is
bound to take place, and very likely before the election at some time or
other a serious clash is inevitable. It is, however, hardly possible
that with the great majority of the German people opposed to them the
anarchist people can do more than obtain momentary triumphs. The
Government both in Prussia and Bavaria is adopting a more resolute
attitude, and it is not conceived that the elections can be prevented.
With the National Assembly behind them, the present Government, with or
without the support of additional members of other parties, especially
the German Democrats, should succeed in organizing a permanent
government upon a Republican basis.
What form of organization will eventually be established is now the
subject of discussion, and in Berlin a number of competent men are
working at the task of framing a constitution. Of these, the most
prominent is Professor Preuss, Minister of the Interior. The scheme
favored by him is a confederation of states modelled on the American
system with parliaments and a president or governor in each, and a
central government with a president of strictly limited powers analogous
to those of the French or Swiss President, together with a ministry
responsible to a central parliament. Bodies akin to our senate and
congress are proposed. Prussia would have its controlling influence
weakened by being divided into four or five large states, and the
capital would be removed from Berlin to some more central point, such as
Weimar, Erfurt or Frankfort.
[Page 141]
The South Germans appear to be in general accord with this plan, and at
the instigation of Minister Auer, it was proposed to hold a convention
for the purpose, before the elections, of determining on forms of
constitutions for the whole of Germany. Two or three delegates from each
state were to have been sent to this convention. The scheme did not go
through, owing to the opposition of Eisner and the apparent lack of
interest of the Government at Berlin in the proposal.
The danger of a monarchist reaction is, according to the consensus of
opinion, remote. The general sentiment against the Hohenzollern dynasty
is exceedingly strong, and there is a feeling that the latter has shown
itself unworthy. In especial the former Emperor is an object even of
contempt, due to the fact that in popular estimation his flight has
branded him as a personal coward.
Whatever action may hereafter be taken in favor of a monarchy will
therefore probably confine itself to an attempt to establish a
constitutional form of government like England or Italy, under a
non-Hohenzollern prince, possibly chosen from among the South Germans.
Such elements as are likely to favor monarchism are, first, the
agrarians, secondly, the Catholic Church. These are, however, only
marking time at present. Against any such reaction is, in the first
place, the growth of Socialism, which will foster closer relations with
the proletariat in republican governments; second, the disorganization
of the Army, which is exhausted by fighting and wishes to shed no blood
in furtherance of a monarchical form of government.
It seems probable that no monarchical government will have any chance of
success for many years to come, unless
- (a)
- An undue extent of bona fide German territory or disputed
territory is occupied by the allies or by subject
nationalities.
- (b)
- The terms of peace are so harsh as in substance to reduce the
German people to a state of slavery.
- (c)
- A violent and arbitrary separation of church and state lends
fuel to the Catholic forces, which at present are in a state of
inanition. This contingency applies in especial to
Bavaria.
VI. Economic, Financial and Food Situation
In view of the fact that, as is understood, a commission will shortly
visit Germany, including a number of specialists, in order to thoroughly
investigate the economic and food situation, I made no especial effort
to make a study of conditions of this nature. Some general impressions
which I obtained in the course of conversation may be of use in order to
furnish a rough outline.
[Page 142]
The financial burdens which Germany will have to bear were described by
bankers and others with whom I talked as well nigh hopeless. The country
is practically bankrupt, and unless commerce can be restored, will be
unable to meet the interest on the war loans, in addition to severe
indemnities which may be imposed. The well-to-do are gloomily
anticipating being shorn of all they have. By the latest tax proposals,
the war profiteers are to be taxed out of 80% of their war gains. The
large estates are to be divided up. The bankers are expecting to become
insolvent, as security for their loans has vanished, and merchants
complain that they cannot collect debts.
War industries have come to a standstill, and owing to the lack of raw
materials the factories cannot be retransformed so as to take up their
pre-war activities. The seaports are centres of unrest on account of the
large number of unemployed, and in Hamburg alone, it is estimated that
40,000 persons are out of work. At the same time, the rate of wages
remains high and ordinary laborers are demanding and receiving 7200
marks a year, amounting at pre-war rates, to $1800 annually, and at the
present value of German currency to about $900. In Bavaria and other
places, the unemployed are being supported by the State, at a rate in
some instances, of 20 marks a day.
The purchasing power of the mark has about been cut in two. As an
example, the taxi-cab drivers are demanding and receiving twice the
registered fare. At the same time, the salaries of petty officials,
railroad employes, teachers, etc., have seldom been increased, and the
result is that these classes are suffering severely.
I only had opportunity to judge of the food situation in Munich and
Berlin. It is evident, however, that there is no danger of actual
starvation for a number of months to come. The estimates vary from March
1 to June 15 as the period at which all stocks would be exhausted. It is
probable that the last date is substantially correct. At the same time,
the under-nutrition is everywhere evident. Especially in Berlin, but
also in Munich, the people on the streets show marked signs of
insufficient nutrition. The children have an anaemic and delicate
appearance compared with two years ago, and the older people also show
signs of emaciation and lack of strength.
I was informed by one of the food experts that while it had been possible
during the war to furnish 1200 calories to each person, this now had to
be reduced to 800 or 900. The normal allowance is, I am told, 3000. The
most evident need is fats of all kinds, the butter and margarine ration
being only 70 grammes per week. The bread is very poor and meat ration,
½ lb. per week, including bones, insufficient.
[Page 143]
The potato crop, according to personal statements
which were made me, was much worse than has been admitted in the
papers.
The system of food distribution has almost completely broken down and the
result has been that the rich are often able to obtain sufficient
supplies by paying exorbitant prices and by underhand methods of all
kinds, which are now employed without hesitation. In some quarters of
Berlin even money cannot buy adequate rations. In the country stocks
which had been successfully concealed during the war are now being
brought forth and sold at high prices. The incentive to this is partly
the fear that a Bolshevist government may succeed in confiscating all
food supplies and also to the expectation that when stocks are exhausted
there will be help from outside.
The infant mortality is said to be terrible, and in general I was told
that 800 more deaths occur daily throughout Germany than was the case
before the war. Deaths were not directly due to starvation, but to
wasting diseases caused by malnutrition. I was informed that cases of
hunger oedema have been diagnosed by competent medical men as a result
of living on full rations allowed by the Government.
VII. Recommendations
I venture to make the following suggestions:
- (1)
- A commission of competent observers familiar with the German
language should be organized and should proceed to Germany
without delay, unless a condition of actual civil war arises
within the next few days, in which case such a commission would
probably attain no useful results. The members of this
commission should be distributed throughout Germany. The points
where it would seem advisable to place observers appear to be
Berlin, which would naturally be the centre of the organization
and where the strongest force should be maintained; Munich;
Leipsic or Dresden, probably the former; Hamburg, Frankfort and
Breslau. Such distribution should, however, be elastic and
subject to change. The staff distributed outside of Berlin
should report there by telegram or mail, and cipher
communication, which will be allowed by the German Government,
should be arranged from there to Paris. Great care should of
course be taken that only persons of good judgment and
considerable experience shall be sent in. Persistent endeavors
will be made to convert observers to German views, and
objectivity and impartiality are absolute pre-requisites. In
this connection attention is called to the great undesirability
of allowing the entry into Germany at present of American
newspaper reporters, some of whom have already in several cases
obtained interviews with German public men.
- (2)
- A further commission to study the economic and food situation
should also be sent immediately. Whether this could not be
advantageously combined with the political commission is a
question seriously to be considered. In this connection the
question suggests itself whether preliminary arrangements for
consignments of fats should not be undertaken at once.
- (3)
- The coal situation should be made the subject of an immediate
investigation, with the view of alleviating the very serious
conditions which undoubtedly obtain in Bavaria and elsewhere at
the present moment.
- (4)
- I advise that an official statement of the kind above
indicated relative to non-negotiation except with a stable
government elected by the will of the people and non-supply of
food stuffs and other commodities except to a government capable
of giving the necessary guarantees, be issued at the earliest
moment possible. In view of the coming elections, the present
moment seems especially indicated for such a statement.
VIII. Memorandum as to annexed documents
The following papers are annexed hereto as part of this report:
- 1.
- Memoranda of interviews with the following persons:
- 1.
- Professor Brentano
- 2.
- Lieut.-Col. v. Sonnenburg
- 3.
- General Count Montgelas
- 4.
- Dr. A. Mueller
- 5.
- Prime Minister Eisner
- 6.
- Archbishop von Faulhaber
- 7.
- Minister Auer
- 8.
- Minister Frauendorfer
- 9.
- Assistant Commandant of Munich Station
- 10.
- Theodor Wolff
- 11.
- Dr. Solf
- 12.
- Dr. W. Rathenau
- 13.
- Minister Preuss
- 14.
- Minister Scheidemann
- 15.
- Dr. Salamonsohn
- 16.
- Dr. Solmssen
- 17.
- Count Brockdorff-Rantzau
- 18.
- K. Fürstenberg
- 19.
- Minister Ebert
- 20.
- M. Harden
- 21.
- Prof. Wurm
- 22.
- Max Warburg
- 23.
- Minister Noske
- 2.
- Memorandum furnished by Mr. Von Frauendorfer, Bavarian
Minister of Transportation, in regard to the delivery of
railroad material to the Entente.
[Page 145]
In conclusion, I have to mention the efficient assistance which was given
me by Mr. Franklin Day of the American Legation at Berne, who
accompanied me on the journey and whose notes and participation in
interviews have been exceedingly helpful in furnishing the material from
which the above summary has been compiled.
I have [etc.]
[Enclosure 1]
Memorandum of Interviews in Germany
1. Professor Lujo Brentano, of
Munich
Professor Brentano stated that the first requisite of Germany was its
economic rehabilitation, as the bad economic situation affected
political developments adversely. He complained of the terms of the
armistice, and stated that the delivery of the number of railway
carriages and, locomotives provided for in the armistice was certain
completely to cripple the German railways. The Bavarian industries
had been ordered not to work during the week preceding January 1st
in order to save coal, as all coal supplies from the Saar and Ruhr
territories and from Bohemia had been cut off. The present Bavarian
Government had effected an agreement with the Bohemian Government,
according to which twenty five cars of coal would be furnished each
day, which, however, had not been delivered. Coal and food, in his
opinion, are the great necessities for attaining stable conditions.
As to the food question, it was important to note that Germany was
living on its reserve stock at present and that Bavaria was eating
its March and April supplies. He thought that the stocks could not
last longer than February, although optimists believed they would
not be exhausted until March.
The Government had the masses under control, but could control them
only so long as it could feed them, and the only reason for using
the reserve stocks was to keep the people contented during the
critical period.
He did not believe that the present Government would last much beyond
January 12, the date of the elections to the Bavarian Diet. The
further outcome of these elections he considered dubious, because of
the unknown factor of woman suffrage.
Of Eisner, he said that he was a brilliant man, but a comedian and
that he was not made to govern people. As far as counter
revolutionary movements were concerned, he believed that the
clerical party, which he said probably had the numerical superiority
in Bavaria, would immediately attempt to make Bavaria a monarchy,
and that this would be dangerous because the minority would never
acquiesce,
[Page 146]
and bloodshed
would take place. He also stated that if the Bavarian “National
Constituent” were called and did not contain a Socialist majority,
the Socialists would probably disperse it, or at least such action
would be attempted by the Radical Socialist factions. Such an
attempt, he added, would be useless, for the Diet would meet in some
other town in Bavaria such as Nuremberg, take Munich by force, and
then establish a firm government.
A great part of the people were anti-monarchical, and wanted order
kept, although the very radical elements of the Independent
Socialists were using funds copiously to corrupt the Soldiers who
were returning from the front with their morals unimpaired.
As far as any separatist tendencies in Bavaria are concerned he
believed that, while the Bavarian people were impatient of Prussian
domination, they would be willing to form part of a federated
Germany. Moreover, he pointed out that a separate Bavaria could not
exist because it could not combat the economic pressure of its
neighbors, as raw materials and coal came from other parts.
In conclusion Professor Brentano stated that he thought that it would
be helpful if the Entente would designate some German party, and
express its confidence in it by a declaration to the effect that it
would conclude a peace with the government of that party. A policy
of this kind would rally all elements to a moderate political
program, and restore unity. Some such moral help he said was
necessary to the German people who had physically and morally
collapsed. He did not believe that the League of Nations would meet
any obstacle from Germany and expressed his fervent hope for its
creation.
Professor Brentano stated that he had been offered the Ministry of
Commerce, and that for a number of days he had occupied himself with
a study of the material collected at that office. He then came to
the conclusion that only stringent reforms would be of any use in
the reconstruction of the country’s commerce, and had resigned his
post because he had no confidence that the present government
possessed sufficient stability to assure his being able to carry out
the measures he advocated with due consistency.
Munich, December 28, 1918.
2. Leeut.-Col. Fatner von
Sonnenburg, of Munich
During the last four years, Lieut-Col. Von Sonnenburg has been the
Chief of the Press Bureau of the Bavarian General Staff and thus has
been the censor of the Bavarian press, an office which I am told he
conducted with tact and liberality. I was informed by a number of
people that, although not a party man, he was the best posted man in
Munich on political affairs. In conversation he stated that he had
protested against submarine war, as he had long been
[Page 147]
in America and knew the character of
our people. Immediately before the order for unrestricted submarine
warfare was issued, Bethmann-Holweg, then Chancellor, was ordered to
report to the German Emperor on the subject. Upon his arrival at
Headquarters however, he was informed that His Majesty had already
made up his mind and that the matter should not be further
mentioned. Bethmann-Holweg was then urged by friends, actuated
perhaps by mistaken motives of patriotism, that it was his duty to
remain in office unless the war became more and more ruthless, and
unless further gross political errors be committed. Bethmann-Holweg
therefore, instead of following the logical course of immediate
resignation, remained Chancellor. Sonnenburg stated that this was a
mistake, for thus the sore was only covered and was able to eat into
the flesh further. He also informed us that he had argued with
Ludendorff regarding submarine warfare without effect. Originally,
he stated, the demolition of the Eastern French fortresses was the
only demand which the Military Party was prepared to enforce upon a
victorious peace. Then, the manifesto of the industrial societies
appeared and the policy of conquest was adopted by the military
extremists.
Brest-Litovsk was the grossest blunder of the German Government, and
the expeditions to the East in 1918 were only made for the purpose
of proving that the military were right. A firm civilian government
which [could?] control the Ludendorff adherents was then
impracticable, as a highly organized pan-German movement was
everywhere.
With reference to the present situation, Germany urgently required
moral and material help, food and absence of further humiliation in
order that the people might become self-respecting again. He stated
that the German people had passed through an awful crisis, that of
militarism, and that it was now a convalescent which needed nursing
and strengthening.
He considered a monarchist reaction out of the question. That form of
government was gone forever and the government of the future in
Germany would certainly be Socialist. All parties would loyally lend
their services to such a government as otherwise a Bolshevist
supremacy over Germany would be assured. He was very firm in his
conviction that there would be no pan-German or monarchist reaction
in Germany, because the vast majority of the people were bitterly
opposed to it.
He believed that as far as a separatist movement in Bavaria is
concerned, it would only arise if things became insupportable in
Berlin when Bavaria might join with the Tyrol and with Styria, and
thus control large resources of electrical energy. Such a state
would be able to endure. He believed, however that a federated,
[Page 148]
decentralized republic
with its seat in a historic or geographic center outside of Berlin
would be the outcome of a political readjustment. In conclusion he
asked that America should place confidence in the German people who
had been deluded and betrayed and who were anxious to follow a new
road to a better political existence.
Munich, December 28, 1918.
3. General Count Montgelas, of
Munich
He began with a general talk on the causes of the war, claiming that
it was not as the Entente believed an aggressive war, but that
Germany was forced to protect herself against her neighbors,
especially those on her east. He acknowledged the wrong done to
Belgium, and the fatal mistake of the extreme submarine warfare,
against the last of which his brother as he said had made the
strongest of protests. The transformation into an aggressive war had
only taken place later on, when the Ludendorff regime came in, and
the extreme measures were never supported by the masses of the
people. The people should not in his view be punished for what the
military authorities had wrongly decided, but it now seemed that the
Entente were inclined to press matters to the utmost limit. As far
as Bavaria was concerned, the coal situation was exceedingly
serious, in fact even more so than the food situation at the present
time. All factories have been closed until January 1st and there was
no relief in sight. Whatever coal was obtained from the Ruhr was not
sufficient and the transport difficulties from Silesia, even
supposing that it would not be swallowed up by Poland, were extreme.
The food on hand would last until March 1st. He could see no remedy
except a specific declaration by the Entente that unless a stable
government was formed at once no food would be furnished and no
peace could be made.
Asked about the members of the present Government he did not think
Eisner would last long; he considered him a visionary and an
extremist. Auer was, he thought, the man most to be trusted and it
was quite likely that he would come in after the coming elections.
The clerical party was strong, especially among the peasants, but he
was inclined to think a Majority Socialist Party, eliminating all
independents, might be the solution in Bavaria.
Munich, December 28, 1918.
4. Dr. A. Mueller, Editor-in-Chief
of the “Muenchener Neueste Nachrichten”
Doctor Mueller is a young man and appears very energetic, sound and
intelligent. In his opinion there are two dangers in the present
[Page 149]
situation. (1) Bolshevism,
considered from a political point of view, and (2) disorganization
of labor and lack of work which again may influence political
activity in favor of the support of Bolshevism. In his opinion the
elections to the Constituent Assembly will not pass without
opposition on the part of the Spartacus group, which is supported in
its aggressive attitude by the revolutionary internationalists and
by the Communists. These are led in large part by idealists, and
even by persons from the best classes of society. All desire to
destroy, but fail to take into account the necessary difficulties of
reconstruction. Dr. Mueller expressed considerable pessimism and did
not think that a stable government could be established in Bavaria
without bloodshed, any more than in any other part of Germany.
Bolshevism might even for the time become paramount. Dr. Mueller
agreed with all other persons with whom interviews had been had, in
stating that the most powerful factor for the stabilization of any
government would lie in a statement by the Entente to the effect
that no peace would be concluded, and no food furnished but to a
firmly established government which expressed the popular will. It
should be noted that Dr. Mueller’s pessimism is perhaps due to the
bad experiences he has had with the more radical elements, which
attempted to censor or suppress his newspaper.
Doctor Mueller was eloquent in his statements regarding the economic
situation which he considered very bad indeed among the poor and
those who lived on a fixed salary. He himself with an income of
twenty thousand marks was only occasionally able to eat in the
better restaurants where the food was not more than fair and it was
practically impossible to bring young children through the period of
the blockade without serious injury to their health. He believed
that Bavaria might take a leading part in reestablishing order as
soon as her economic difficulties arising from the coal situation,
which created a lack of work, were settled. The present reasonably
sufficient food was due to the fact that reserves were being used,
and he expressed his fears for the potatoless time which was sure to
come in March or April.
Dr. Mueller has been informed on the best authority that before the
revolution Liebknecht had requested instructions from Joffe, and
that he had received a large sum of money, about four million francs
in gold, which was being copiously used to corrupt soldiers and
induce them to join the Spartacus group, as members of which they
were paid fifteen marks a day. These methods were highly dangerous
as they attracted to the Spartacus faction all kinds of immoral and
criminal elements which might be used for the purpose of a
destructive Bolshevistic revolution.
Munich, December 29, 1918.
[Page 150]
5. Minister President Eisner
Last night I had the opportunity of dining with Minister President
Eisner, together with Professor Jaffe, Finance Minister, and
Professor Bonn. Mr. Eisner presents the typical appearance of a
radical journalist, with long hair, and although he is a Jew has few
of their racial aspects. He had just arrived from Stuttgart where,
he informed us, the States of Bavaria, Baden, Württemburg, and
Hesse, had formed a coalition of the southern German States. Having
returned by automobile he appeared tired and disinclined towards any
serious political discussion, nor did he react to any political
suggestions which were thrown out. Doctor Eisner made the impression
of being both vain and flippant, and as lacking in any true
realization of the bases of government. He talked “my revolution”
and of his prison experiences, and showed no especial interest in
the regeneration of Germany nor with its relations with the outside
world.
Munich, December 29, 1918.
6. Archbishop von Faulhaber, of
Munich
In conversation the Archbishop appeared very pessimistic indeed. The
bourgeoisie was weak and lacked political experience, was easily
terrorized and all possibility of arousing the non-governmental
elements before the elections of the National Assembly was
handicapped by the fact that the ordinary means of transport had
broken down, and that conveyance such as motors was only in the
hands of the supporters of socialistic and radical government. He
seemed convinced that a further revolution was possible, and even
probable, and that the bourgeoisie of the towns and the uninstructed
peasants who, in spite of the non-existence of the great land
holders were desirous of land, would not be able to stem the
socialistic tide. He saw no strong man who could reorganize Bavaria,
and eventually Germany. In his opinion the next ten days were vital
in order to carry out an orderly electoral campaign, but he feared
that obstacles would be put into the way of a real expression of the
popular will. A certain harmony existed between Protestant and
Catholic members of the new Bavarian Peoples’ Party, which was
formerly the Center Party but which had abandoned its cut and dried
attitude and was now a party of order as opposed to the parties of
revolution.
The impression which the conversation left was that anything was
possible today even in Munich, where the population was by nature
less accessible to emotional political propaganda, but where the
apathy of the bourgeoisie and its desire to let things go by the
board rather than to allow their inertia to be disturbed might
seriously
[Page 151]
cripple any
agitation against what he considered the wholly destructive force of
radical socialism. It is to be noted, however, that the Archbishop
spoke in the highest terms of Auer, who, he said, possessed the
confidence of many of the bourgeoisie.
Munich, December 29, 1918.
7. Minister of Interior E.
Auer
Erhard Auer is a Majority Socialist who has consistently opposed
militarism and Prussian influence, as can be seen from a speech of
his before the revolution which he gave me. He is a self-made man in
the widest interpretation of the word, having risen from obscurity
and a farm laborer’s job to the post of Minister of Interior in the
Republican Bavarian Government. He gives an impression of strength,
honesty, directness and intelligence and courageously continues to
fight against revolutionary radicalism in spite of the fact that his
life has been threatened. He appeared both willing and able to carry
his program to a successful conclusion, notwithstanding the quiet
but determined obstruction of the visionary Eisner. He also informed
me of a recent meeting of delegates from the Southern German States,
including Hesse, at Stuttgart, where a permanent committee of these
States would sit there to keep in touch with German affairs. Like
all other members of the Government and politicians with whom I have
spoken he emphatically urged a statement by the Entente that no
peace would be made except with a stable government, a statement
which, he said, would be of the greatest value in suppressing the
radical revolutionary ardor due to the hysteria. He was optimistic
and confident that the elections would go smoothly, by which I took
him to mean that he and his party would win. It was his belief that
the elements of order would get control in Berlin, and that Ebert
would be able to hold his position and create a stable and
non-radical government which by gradual socialization of appropriate
industries would prepare the work of transition to a really
Socialistic regime.
He also discussed the economic situation and strongly emphasized the
danger arising from the unemployment, due to the lack of coal and
raw materials, of the industrial population, thus causing disorder
and endangering the morale of the proletariat. The above mentioned
statement of the Entente he considered of particular importance and
desired very much to obtain it officially in order to be enabled to
pave the way to a constitutional and republican form of
Government.
Munich, December 29, 1918.
[Page 152]
8. Frauendorfer, Minister of
Transportation
Herr von Frauendorfer expressed his belief in Auer as the man best
able to carry a democratic, socialistic policy. He also agreed that
the statement which has been mentioned in a former memorandum made
by the Entente relative to order in Germany was highly necessary. He
further enlarged upon the transport difficulties, a memorandum
regarding which he gave me.3
Munich, December 29, 1918.
9. Memorandum of a conversation
with a non-commissioned officer (vize-feldwebel) and assistant
commandant of the railway station in Munich
This man, who accompanied us as far as Hof, was originally an
employee in a large department store, and had gone in 1914 to the
front, where he was made a vice first sergeant. He had fought in
France, Rumania, and Russia, as well as a short time in Italy. He
appeared to be an intelligent man of sober judgment and to represent
the better type of the revolutionary masses. He expressed himself
strongly in favor of order and discipline and told us of the
measures which he and his comrades had taken to prevent Bolshevist
agitations coming into Bavaria from Berlin.
He told us that the morale of the German Army began to break when
America had entered the war, for they knew then that they could not
win. Neither Ludendorff, nor Tirpitz would have dared to show
themselves at the front, even as early as 1916, for none of the
soldiers believed in the success of extreme submarine warfare.
The war had lasted too long and a revolution was bound to follow,
although nothing would have happened had the war stopped two years
earlier. He expressed himself as glad that the war had ended In the
defeat of Germany, as, though they had lost the war they had won
their liberty. He was in favor of a government headed by Auer, but
was not ready to break up a Constituent Assembly, should it have a
Catholic majority. He expressed himself as apprehensive as regards
the results of granting woman suffrage, because women were not yet
accustomed to exercising political rights. I was much impressed with
his sobriety, as well as by the spirit of discipline which men like
he might be able to enforce. He did not think that the Spartacus
people would be able to wield any permanent influence or exercise
real terrorism, and expressed his contempt because they all ran away
when he ordered his men on one occasion to fire on them.
The spirit of men of his stamp is shown by the fact that he is on
duty twenty-four hours successively every other day, and when asked
whether he did not find this very hard he said that this was a time
[Page 153]
when every one must do
his best to restore the country to order. He expressed great
personal hatred of the Prussians, who, he said, had robbed Bavaria,
a statement which was repeated by a comrade of his at a further
railway station with whom we discussed the political situation, and
who was entirely on the side of my informant. Bavaria, in the
opinion of the first man, should have entered the war of 1870 on the
French side. He did not believe that Bavaria could stand alone, but
he was for the exclusion of Prussia from a federation of South
German States.
Berlin, December 30, 1918.
10. Theodor Wolff, Chief editor of
the “Berliner Tageblatt’”
Herr Wolff began by explaining the position of the German Democratic
Party, which he had founded. This party, he said, was created to
form a bourgeois organization with which the Social Democrats could
cooperate, although it did not pursue as radical economic aims as
the Socialists. He stated that no one was admitted to the Democratic
Party who had either (A) supported the U-Boat war, (B) who had
favored a policy of annexations and indemnities (C) who had opposed
electoral reform in Prussia. The purpose of this restriction, he
stated, was to keep the Party’s hands clean. This Party, carrying
black, red and yellow flags, last Sunday demonstrated in favor of a
stable government, this being the first instance of a bourgeois
street parade, and one hundred thousand people took part. At the
same time the Majority Socialists demonstrated with a similar aim
and mustered four hundred thousand representatives. The Spartacus
Group also had a parade of about thirty thousand men only.
The German Popular Party, of which Stresemann is the head, is
reactionary and represents a blend of moderate conservatives and of
the right wing of the National Liberals.
Of the Spartacus Group, he said that it was small in number but
determined and well armed, possessing many machine guns, and
including especially laborers from the steel industries. It is
largely composed of young soldiers, many sailors and visionaries,
and of criminal elements. He stated that the first care of the new
government, which has no doubt been strengthened by the fact that
the Independent Socialists had left it, must be to create a new
army.
With reference to the events in Poland, he said that the German
people would not now suffer the Poles to occupy German territory,
although if the Peace Conference based on Wilson’s principles
decides that this territory should belong to Poland this view will
be accepted. Under no conditions, however, will the German people
suffer the Poles to rob them of the eastern provinces. Germany is
not dead and sooner or later the German people will awaken if the
Entente insists on a
[Page 154]
policy of force. The great dangers to Germany arising from the
political situation are (1) Bolshevism, which may follow
impoverishment and (2) a nationalism which, although it may not be
monarchical, may lead the nation again into militarism through the
channel of a republican national uprising. It is, therefore, unwise
to humble Germany too much or to ruin her completely. As far as
Bolshevism is concerned he stated that the labor unions had lost in
power, and that thus an element of discipline was lost to the State.
Of Walther Rathenau, he said that he had lost his influence and his
credit. First he issued a manifesto calling for a defense to the
last ditch after the armistice negotiations had begun, and then he
said that he would not outlive the ruin of his country, which no one
believes.
With reference to the National Assembly he said that the Majority
Socialists would poll a huge vote, that the Independent Socialists
would fail to gain many seats, and that the Centre Party would
regain much of its lost influence on the voters because of the
untimely separation between Church and State which had irritated the
Catholic masses.
Wolff was thoroughly optimistic, and thought that, even should
Germany pass through a period of Bolshevism, she would be able to
overcome it and would be able to renew her strength.
In conclusion he said that Radek’s presence was a great danger, as he
was unscrupulous and immoral. He was no better than a thief, and had
been expelled from both Polish and German Party organizations.
Berlin, December 31, 1918.
11. Dr. W. Solf, former Colonial
Minister
Dr. Solf explained that he had left the Foreign Office because of the
telegram which Joffe sent to the effect that Haase, then a member of
the Government, had accepted Bolshevik money for the purpose of a
social revolution. Upon the publication of this, Dr. Solf refused to
shake hands with Haase and ensuing difficulties led to his
resignation.
With reference to the present situation Solf was very pessimistic,
and could not see that the Government would be able to hold itself
against the onslaught of the Spartacus group. He estimated the
strength of the armed men at the disposal of the Spartacus people at
thirty thousand, and stated that the Government had no such number
of loyal troops to oppose them. He said that the sailors who had
originally come to preserve order as well as the soldiers had to a
large extent gone over to the Spartacus faction. Another great
danger lay in the fact that the Police President of Berlin was one
of Germany’s most prominent Bolshevists, and not only prevented the
collection of arms from the Spartacus party, but in fact furnished
them. He believed that the present government would have to attempt
to disarm
[Page 155]
the Bolshevist
elements but he would not be surprised if in another week the
Spartacus people would one fine day go and simply imprison the
Government. It was his belief that the whole Bolshevist movement, as
well as the apathy of the bourgeois classes was in a large measure
due to the under-feeding which had made brain cells abnormal.
Bolshevism, once it were rampant in Germany, would affect all Europe
and might even infect England and America.
The present government, suffered not only from its weakness in not
having troops, but also from the fact that it was opposed to the use
of force in principle and was, therefore, at the mercy of its
radical and active opponents. Its members were honest men from the
lower middle classes who were good party politicians, but who
entirely lacked courage, or the character necessary to rule. Noske
he thought the most energetic man, and he believed that he might be
able to re-organize the army. Solf himself had hoped that a
coalition government of democrats and socialists would obtain power,
but he thought this impossible at present.
He agreed with all other informants that a monarchical reaction was
impossible, and that no one was willing to reinstate the Emperor.
The Emperor, he said, had behaved very badly and had utterly
misunderstood the true situation, for when Solf had asked him to
abdicate, the Emperor claimed to have the people and the army behind
him, and could not be persuaded that this was not the fact. The
Emperor’s greatest mistake, Solf said, was his flight to
Headquarters, as it gave circulation to rumors that he would
continue to fight with his army in spite of the armistice and that
he would cause the navy to attack England. He said that he himself
had been convinced that Germany would break down in the spring, but
he never believed that such Russian conditions as existed in Berlin
today would come about. It was his belief that there would be bloody
fighting before the elections to the National Assembly were carried
out. Finally he repeated what, as he said he had impressed on all
Americans who had spoken to him, that the greater the food supply,
the less danger of Bolshevism, and the less food, the more
danger.
Solf also considered the presence of Radek in Berlin as most
dangerous.
Solf made a most depressed impression. He did not think that the
present Government could solve the problems before it. Ebert and
Scheidemann were both estimable in his opinion, Scheidemann the more
able man, but they could not see that forcible measures were
necessary to save Germany. At any time the Spartacus Group could
seize the reins of power. They had already at times prevented his
entering his own office, and one day he found three sailors at his
door who barred the entrance. The real leaders of men were only to
[Page 156]
be found among
extremists, the Junker class among them, but these latter had, of
course, made themselves impossible.
Of the Spartacus Group, Rosa Luxemburg was the most dangerous and
plausible. Liebknecht has been said to be mentally unbalanced, but
when it was attempted to send him to a sanitorium instead of a
prison he defended himself with such cleverness that a medical
certificate of mental trouble was impossible.
Ludendorff had been the evil genius of Germany. He had had matters
all his own way and had been able to prevent Kuhlmann from making a
decent peace at Brest-Litovsk. Ludendorff had no political sense,
but tremendous will power, and his entourage was also most
pernicious.
Solf warmly favored a declaration by the Entente that no peace would
be concluded unless with a stable government. If the parties of
disorder got into power sooner or later the Entente would have, in
his opinion, to intervene.
Berlin, January 1, 1919.
12. Dr. Walther Rathenau
Dr. Rathenau stated that when he last saw Colonel House he had
arranged to let him know when the moment was ripe for American
intervention with a view to concluding peace. He said that the time
had not come up to autumn of 1917, but he then wrote two identical
letters to Colonel House, one over Holland and one over Spain, which
he forwarded through the Foreign Office and the Legation and
Embassy. He had not had an answer, and supposed they had never
reached [sic]. Asked how it could have been
expected that America at that moment would enter on discussions for
a separate peace, he said that was not contemplated, but that she
should take action with her allies.
Passing to general conversation, he stated that at the time of the
majority resolution in July 1917, he had done all he could to make
peace possible. He had even gone so far as to approach Ludendorff,
though unwillingly. He reproached Ludendorff for having surrounded
himself with Pan-Germans, but this was denied by Ludendorff, who
said that he had only one or two, and these only temporarily.
However, Rathenau said that he convicted him by naming several to
him. One, the most virulent, was Colonel Bauer, who was a liaison
with great producers (“Schwerindustrie”). Ludendorff had told
Rathenau after a long conversation that he agreed with his views in
all respects except that the submarine war could not be stopped.
Ludendorff said that it was a matter of instinct with him to
continue it. Rathenau pointed out the technical reasons why the
continuation was ruinous and quite ineffective, but was unable to
convince Ludendorff.
[Page 157]
Dr. Rathenau then made a plea for moderation in the peace
negotiations, stating that the country was already three-fourths
ruined, and that cold-blooded discussions at the Council Table would
lead only to the destruction of all that was left in Germany. Poland
was the only land in history which had been divided by negotiations
between the dominant powers, and even in that case the results had
been that the Poles were assured of good treatment under stable
governments.
In answer to a question, he said that he considered that the chances
of ultimately establishing an orderly, strong government were very
good. The German nation were naturally orderly and docile and he did
not question but that the proper spirit would assert itself. It was
quite to be expected that the Bolshevists would be able to gain
power for a time, but this would be merely temporary, and could last
from only three to six weeks at the most. Everything would be in
order before the Entente would have time to step in. Their views
would be so divergent that it would be long before they could come
to an agreement between themselves.
In Dr. Rathenau’s opinion the American influence with the Entente was
decreasing rapidly. Now that their army was no longer necessary, the
French would make every effort to push matters to extremes, and
America’s prestige has been injured by coming to Europe to
negotiate.
In diplomacy American methods were direct, but Europe has to rely on
machinations and intrigues, and with the best will in the world
America could not use direct methods. He feared that the President
would be drawn into the net; that his broad lines of policy would be
ignored and evaded, and that the peace would eventually be made by
France, not even by England. No doubt the President had a hold on
the people at large in the different countries, but it would take a
long time for such forces to get into play, and in the mean time
peace will have been concluded on narrow, selfish lines.
The only thing to do was for America to assert itself strongly, and
bang on the table, and insist that Germany should not be utterly
destroyed.
Going into details, he stated that the whole national wealth of
France was about 250 billions. 8 per cent of French territory had
been occupied, and possibly a fourth of the wealth in this was
destroyed. This would amount to 5 billion francs, but even if the
loss is put at 15 billions, this is small compared with the 65
billions demanded. This last figure can only be accounted for by
France figuring in the expenses of the war.
He feared that there would be no real negotiation of peace, but mere
dictation analogous to that of the Armistice. He thought that the
Germans should never have proposed an armistice, but should
[Page 158]
have directly started
negotiations of peace with America. Asked how this would have
stopped the fighting, he said that it would have been simple, after
negotiations had once begun, to conclude a temporary peace in two or
three weeks.
He feared that the German delegates to the Peace Conference would be
badly treated. Erzberger would undoubtedly be one of the delegates.
Perhaps Bernstorff would be another delegate, but he himself favored
Solf, and had told him so.
Rathenau expressed his astonishment that the French and British
should have allowed the present mission to come through without
interference, but he exceedingly welcomed the opportunity to state
his views and trusted that further occasions would be given. It was
in the interest of America that there should be a strong Central
Europe whose economic basis was satisfactory and, therefore, it was
entirely in the interest of America to furnish raw materials and
facilitate trade in every way. He said he believed in the future
Germany was the only country on whose friendship America could rely.
England would undoubtedly remain a friend for a time, but amicable
relations with France would certainly not be permanent.
The greatest difficulty with the present situation was that
old-fashioned diplomatic methods would hold the stage for a “short
run”, as he expressed it, but permanent ideas founded on justice and
liberality could only establish themselves in the long run. The only
way to avoid this tendency was to have America strongly assert
itself at the present moment.
Dr. Rathenau touched on the food situation and said there was enough
food to last until about March 1st. The infant mortality was
terrible.
He insisted that the German people were at heart perfectly sound.
They understood nothing about politics, but they have been taught to
obey from their earliest youth. Atrocities of all kinds were
abominable to them, but nothing could go above the direct orders of
their military superiors. The people who had really done harm to
Germany were infinitesimal in number, but they have been able to
swing the masses of the people who trusted and believed them
implicitly. Asked how it was then that there had been such a
distinctly unfriendly feeling among the whole German people towards
America before we came into the war, he stated that the people had
been deceived by lies, and taught that America was throwing her
influence on the side of the Entente by deliveries of munitions and
encouragement of the blockade. He himself had tried to controvert
this but had not been listened to. Rathenau described himself as
very pessimistic about the home situation, but it was evident that
his fear was on account of the rigorous conditions which he thought
would be imposed, rather than because
[Page 159]
of the internal situation. He made the
impression of being very nervous, and not entirely well-balanced. He
was inclined to talk a good deal about what he had done and
written.
Berlin, January 1, 1919.
13. Prof. G. F. Preuss, Minister
of Interior
Preuss was formerly a professor, and was considered the most radical
member of the bourgeois parties. He was respected but obscure, and
had no preferment until the new popular administration entered upon
office. He was then offered the position of Minister of the Interior
in the Government, following an article entitled: “Obrigkeitstaat
und Volksstaat” (“Government by bureaucrats versus popular
government”). When he entered the cabinet he informed the present
Government of his exact attitude in political matters, and was told
that he was chosen because he was an independent thinker and because
of his technical knowledge, although he was not a Socialist.
Of the bourgeois parties, he said that they were torpid and that
politically they were not of very much use. The revolution so far,
he said, had been political rather than social, and the Independent
Socialists complained of this. He stated that the more the
revolution could be kept political the less likelihood of
disturbances, but it was difficult at the present time to create
purely political revolutions as social questions in an industrial
country like Germany were of overwhelming importance. The danger for
the present Government for the time being is from the Left, but he
thinks that the demoralization of the army may be overcome. As far
as the Spartacus Group and Liebknecht are concerned, he said that
Liebknecht was not bloodthirsty, and that Rosa Luxemburg was the
cleverest woman as far as politics were concerned in Germany today.
To him the greater danger appeared to be from the Right, not for the
present but in the long run, for he believed the reaction which was
not showing its head now would emerge sooner or later and would
emphasize any lack of success in any field. If conditions of misery
exist, they will be pointed [to?] in order to persuade the people
that the revolution had not brought what [had] been expected, and
that the old regime had safeguarded property and [life].
The people were so used to the Hohenzollerns and to militarism that
it would at best be a difficult matter to destroy the sentiment
entirely. In this respect Dr. Preuss expressed a different opinion
from other informants. Like very one else Dr. Preuss emphasized the
danger of the coal and food situation, of which he said that they
were ready instruments to bring about Bolshevism, which has
[Page 160]
no political standing but
whose determined adherents, only a few hundreds in number, used the
economic situation for their own purposes. Liebknecht, he said, had
attended his courses, and had been an intelligent pupil.
In discussing the new German constitution which he was drafting, he
stated that it had always been his opinion that the American
Constitution should in a large sense be used as a model in
organizing any possible German confederation of states, and that his
present draft was being made with this in view. He proposes that the
executive power of the government should be in the hands of a
president with extended powers, but that unlike our system a cabinet
of ministers responsible to parliament should be constituted. He
also proposes that the chief legislative body of the new federated
Germany should have a House of Representatives and a body akin to
our Senate, with the exception that the representatives to the Upper
House would not in numbers be equal for each state, but would be
proportional to the inhabitants. For this purpose he stated Germany
would have to be broken into federated states between numbers of the
population, of which there was so great discrepancy. The scheme
which [would be?] adopted for the suppression of Prussian hegemony,
would require the breaking up of Prussia, and granting to the
smaller states a limitrophe province of former Prussia. The
difficulty, he said, with political development in Germany was that
Germany had never had a revolution and that therefore it lacked the
leaven necessary for active political development. The present
revolution, he also said, was too bloodless and had not been
energetic enough, nor had it affected a sufficient number of the
people.
Dr. Preuss gave the impression of a sincere man of exceptional
intellect and acquirements. He is of Jewish origin.
Berlin, January 2, 1919.
14. Minister Phillip
Scheidemann
Scheidemann stated that the numbers of Spartacus Group were small,
but that they were determined and energetic. The Government, he
stated, appreciated the necessity of taking a firm stand against
them, but was naturally unwilling to bring on a struggle before the
elections as this would enable opponents to say that the blood of
fellow workmen had been shed. He was very confident that a strong
government could be formed which would have permanence, and he
expressed his willingness to cooperate in any moderate government
which was established by the will of the people. The National
Assembly would determine the constitution, and the present
Government considers itself purely provisional and would acquiesce
in the wishes of the people, as expressed by a freely elected
parliament.
[Page 161]
He also stated that the constitution would be modeled on that of
America, and that Germany would have a President and a number of
federated States.
He discussed the food situation, and stated that it was worse than
the Government dared to admit, and that the coal situation was
dangerous. These two economic difficulties, once having been
overcome, he was certain that a stable government could be created,
and that the political situation could be controlled from within.
The early frosts had ruined the potato crop, and in the north and
east of Berlin conditions were exceedingly bad. He thought that
there would be no Bolshevism unless the food situation became
desperate, but in that case the masses would free themselves from
the control of the government.
Berlin, January 2, 1919.
15. Dr. Salamonsohn, head of the
Deutsche Kreditanstalt
Dr. Salamonsohn stated that the situation today was as bad as it
could be, and that Germany was on the road to ruin. The Government
was not strong enough to enforce order, and he feared that
Bolshevism would become rampant if the food and coal situation were
not remedied. At present the workmen were demanding such high wages
that any profitable working of industries was out of the question,
because no margin of profit was left, and because the workmen who
received higher pay did less work. Hard work which was of a
disagreeable nature, such as stoking, was not done by anyone, and
other labor was too inadequate to be usefully employed either in
production or in reconstruction. He said it was a fact that wealth
produced high wages and that high wages produced high prices. The
reduction of prices to precede a reduction of wages was impossible,
as wages had to be reduced first to lower prices. When this process
begins to set in he feared difficulties, and he believes that the
present Government would not be able to quell them.
Once the National Assembly were called he said a coalition government
or even a Majority Socialist government could be formed which would
have the support of all classes which loved order. He feared,
however, that this Assembly would never sit, as the Independent
Socialists and the Spartacus people together might do their best to
prevent it, since their aim was to establish their own regime during
the interregnum, and to ruin the country.
The people were demoralized, and the army, the workmen, and the
bourgeoisie all had lost their energy and their sense of
responsibility. If food and coal could be provided the chances of
the re-establishment of order would improve, otherwise he saw
nothing but Bolshevism.
[Page 162]
The financial situation, he said, was bad, and the amount of gold to
cover the note issue was about thirteen percent. The currency which
had been issued by certain municipalities was only temporary, due to
wearing out of the machinery for printing bank notes, and therefore
printed city notes were put in circulation. The coupons of the war
loan also had been used as currency, but they had now been redeemed
and the municipal currency would also soon be called in. This
measure, therefore, did not appreciably affect the financial
situation. This latter depended largely on an orderly government,
and an orderly government could be brought about by economic
assistance from outside. Germany, he believed, would soon have to
adopt the American trust system in order that production could be
concentrated where it was cheapest, and that wasteful distribution
could be done away with.
With reference to guaranteeing payment for food to be sent in, he
stated that this could only be done by a dollar loan which could be
secured by a pledge of German railway mining securities which are
yet free from liens.
Berlin, January 3, 1919.
16. Dr. Solmssen
Dr. Solmssen has just come from Cologne, and gave the following
information relative to the economic situation on the left bank of
the Rhine. The country on the left of the Rhine was industrially
entirely interlocked with that on the right bank, many industries
have their furnaces on one side and their coal mines and ore
deposits on the other. Railway statistics of 1913, which could not
have been made with any ulterior purpose, show that the railway
traffic on each side was equal. The left bank was as industrially
important as the right bank, for materials were worked into
semi-finished goods, especially textiles, which were later sent off
for completion. For this reason, he said, the present restrictions
on intercourse were ruinous to the economic situation, not only on
the left bank of the Rhine but also in other parts of Germany which
depended on goods half finished on the left bank. Once industries
came to a stop, he feared the worst and believed that a sudden
uprising would take place which even the Entente could not suppress.
He was pessimistic and requested information as to what central
authority he could address himself in order to explain the
situation, naturally not appreciated by the military
authorities.
Berlin, January 3, 1919.
17. Count Brockdorff-Rantzau,
Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs
Count Rantzau began the conversation by stating his aims. He said
that his policy would be to sign any peace on the basis of the
fourteen
[Page 163]
points of
President Wilson, but that he would not accept conditions which made
Germany the slave of the Entente. He said that he had accepted his
office with reluctance. The German people could not be destroyed,
and he would not let it be destroyed, nor would he sign any peace
whatever but a peace which would grant Germany the possibility of
continuing a decent existence.
He stated that he had always stood for President Wilson, and that at
the time the offer for an armistice went to the President it was he
who had particularly urged it, and he had thus taken upon himself a
great responsibility before the people. He said that he had great
faith in the President’s honesty, and had great admiration for him.
He said he appreciated the difficulties under which the President
worked in Paris, and that he could understand the French and Belgian
attitude. He said that he would not whine or beg, but that the coal
situation and the situation relative to food was exceedingly
serious, so serious indeed that it might result in Bolshevism. Once
this Bolshevism became rampant in Germany he knew that it would
immediately spread to Scandinavia and that it would [not?] fail to
affect France and Italy. Germany and America, he believed, has [had] similar interests and were akin to one
another, and could for the future of the world cooperate
profitably.
In discussing the Peace Conference, he mentioned the question of
Bernstorff being sent there, and expressed his doubts whether he
would be acceptable.
Count Rantzau stated that he was optimistic for Germany, because he
had not lost his faith in the German people, which had been deceived
and misled, and which had followed a phantom to the edge of an
abyss. Optimism, he believed, was the only possible basis for a
constructive program, and he intended to draw a sharp line at the
foot of the happenings of the war and to proceed to reconstruct.
Count Rantzau stated emphatically that a reaction was out of the
question.
Berlin, January 3, 1919.
18. Herr K. Furstenberg, President
of the Berlin Handels Gesellschaft
Furstenberg is a prominent private banker and discussed the financial
situation. Germany, he said, could not pay the war debt as a lump
sum, but could pay the interest on it, if it were given help in the
form of an international loan. Such an international loan, he said,
could be secured by German stocks which represented the German
industrial assets. He had, as a patriot, hoped for victory, but had
run his bank in the expectation of defeat, and consequently it was
still sound. He had never been consulted, and considered the
Government experts
[Page 164]
incapable and ignorant. He was very optimistic, and was sure that
Germany, after a hundred years of paying off her debts would again
be financially reestablished. Herr Furstenberg is a man of original
and interesting ideas, and appears to be universally respected.
Berlin, January 3, 1919.
19. Minister F. Ebert
Herr Ebert received us at the Chancellor’s palace, which he is
occupying. The son of a tailor, he became a saddler’s apprentice,
and in the Social Democratic movement rose to the second place in
the party. He is everywhere spoken of as the logical President for
the new German Republic. Ebert stated that the Bolshevist danger was
serious only because of the food and coal situation, and that a
stringent shortage of food or coal would make it difficult to
control the masses, because they would fall into utter despair. The
armistice conditions were such as to be very burdensome to Germany,
but he had given orders that everything should be done to comply
with them, although traffic would thereby be seriously hampered. He
was confident that a firm government would soon be established, and
he expected no serious difficulties from the Spartacus Group. This
could be suppressed by force of arms, but he was not willing to use
force until the opponents had first employed it. He said that Noske
was very energetic, and was working out a plan for a national army
which would soon be created. He gave the impression of an honest and
simple man with the best of intentions to build up the nation.
In discussing the question of the German constitution, Ebert said
that it would be modelled largely on the American Constitution, with
slight modifications. Ebert said that he considered a reaction out
of the question.
Berlin, January 3, 1919.
20. M. Harden
M. Harden stated that he was not pessimistic in regard to the
situation but that the Bolshevist danger was very real. The present
Government meant well, but had not the force necessary to solve the
difficult problems which confronted it. A strong coalition
government was, in his opinion, necessary, and might well be
established after the elections. The new Constitution should follow
that of the United States. He thought there could be a nominal head
of each state, but the chief power should be in the hands of a prime
minister. A strong central executive was necessary. Prussia would
have to be divided into several states.
[Page 165]
The whole German people were relying on President Wilson to see that
justice was done, and that such indemnities should not be demanded
as would absolutely cripple Germany.
He strongly favored an official statement by the Entente to the
effect that peace would only be negotiated with a strong, stable
government which had eradicated Bolshevism, and that no food
supplies or raw materials would be forthcoming unless such a stable
government was formed.
He thought that there was no possible danger of a reaction for a long
time to come. The Hohenzollerns have made themselves utterly
impossible, and the former Emperor was universally condemned because
of his flight to Holland. He had always been a coward. Bismarck once
told Harden that everybody should feel relieved that the Emperor
was, in fact, a coward because if mobilization was ever discussed he
would not be able to make up his mind to order it. At the beginning
of the present war they had arranged to mobilize without the Emperor
taking any part in the decision.
Harden is an interesting talker, but had no original constructive
ideas of value to impart.
Berlin, January 4, 1919.
21. Prof. Wurm, former Food
Controller
The mortality is terrible. The figures have been hitherto strictly
kept secret. Every day eight hundred more people die than was the
case before the war. Since the armistice was concluded, and leaving
out the grippe cases, 36,000 more people have died than in the
corresponding period before the war. The mortality has been
especially great among older people and children. The
under-nourishment of mothers has had a disastrous influence on
babies.
The normal amount of calories is 3000, and in America it has been the
custom to consider 4000 the proper ration. The ration in Germany
during the war has generally been about 1200, which is quite
insufficient, but now the amount is only 800 to 900 calories.
The present supplies of cereals will last up to the 15th of June at
the very latest; after that everything will be empty unless new
supplies come in. The under-nourishment, however, is so terrible
that help is needed at once.
There is a marked hunger psychosis which is firstly of a purely
nervous nature, causing all kinds of nervous disturbances; secondly,
a state of mind is induced bordering on desperation, a conviction
that it is impossible to endure hardships longer. The combination of
these two is having a disastrous effect on the political situation
in Germany.
[Page 166]
During the war Prof. Wurm had occasion to see well defined cases of
hunger oedema caused among persons who had had the full war
rations.
Prof. Wurm gave me two photographs [graphs?]
indicating the mortality in Berlin from 1915 to 1918 and the
consumption of the most necessary foodstuffs for the years 1912 to
1913 and 1917 to 1918.
Berlin, January 4, 1919.
22. M. Warburg, a banker of
Hamburg
The German people, he stated, were suffering more from the
demoralization of the war than from having lost it. People are
indifferent as to whether they die or not, and thus are not able to
gather the necessary strength to fight dangerous revolutionary
movements. Not only had militarism been overcome, but discipline has
been lost. If some strength is left her, Germany will find her way
through the woods, though she will never again be a great power. To
help her on the right path is in the interest of the Entente, as
Germany can keep order in Europe, and as she must not become a
source of infection for all the world. In order that she may become
sane again, she must be enabled to live her economic life. She must
not lose northern Silesia, nor the opportunities to obtain iron ore
from Lorraine. The Silesian coal production was 30 million tons per
year, of which Poland received 1, Austria 9, and Germany the
remainder. This is indicative of the importance of these coal mines
to the existence of Germany. But as much as she needs economic help,
she needs moral help so as not to lose confidence in herself as a
self-respecting nation. For this reason Alsace-Lorraine should not
be returned to France except on the basis of a plebiscite. The
German people can console themselves for the loss of
Alsace-Lorraine, but only if taken legally on a fair basis, such as
the fourteen points. It is especially necessary also to remove the
blockade, which has particularly affected the Baltic. Today 900,000
tons of shipping are lying idle in Baltic harbors and in all German
harbors ships of the total capacity of 1,900,000 tons would be ready
to go out but for the continuation of the right of seizure. The
result of this is that the most unruly elements, the sailors, are
out of work, and that 38,000 men in Hamburg alone are unemployed.
The menace of this to order and quiet is obvious.
Mr. Warburg stated that peace should not be signed in Paris, although
he thought that the preliminary peace might be signed there in order
to give France the triumph she desired. He considered that France
was an unsuitable place for the final peace conference because of
the pressure public opinion might exercise there on the
negotiations, and that from there the German members of the peace
commission would be cut off from their home Foreign Office and
[Page 167]
their people. Therefore, a
neutral country should be chosen for the final negotiations.
The fact that the German prisoners had not yet been returned is not
understood in Germany, and is causing considerable indignation.
Never, he said, would Germany consent to the use of these men as
slaves to rebuild France, although Germany would be willing to enter
upon contracts to furnish labor and pay it for the rebuilding of the
destroyed territories of France and Belgium.
A war indemnity such as has been talked of was impossible. Figures
are now being collected which can be verified, showing the state of
the German national finance and what Germany can pay, but it cannot
collect the enormous sums demanded. Moreover, he said, if
territories like Alsace-Lorraine and Poland are sundered from
Germany, such districts would have to take over proportionally the
burden of the pre-war loans made for their development and would
also have to continue to bear their share in the war loans.
In regard to the colonies, he said that Germany must not be left
without them, because the people must be left the hope and
possibility of expansion and must not be deprived of every chance of
recovering their economical strength, else, he said, Bolshevism or
general disintegration might take place and Germany would, to the
harm of the world, vanish as a nation. Reconstruction he believed to
be possible if help from the outside were given.
Berlin, January 4, 1919.
23. Minister Noske
Herr Noske stated that he believed that the German people would get
through this crisis, and that the Government was becoming firmer.
The Bolshevik movement in Germany was no such great menace and that
the workmen as a whole were orderly, and very desirous of keeping
order. The danger in the situation, in his opinion, lay in the fact
that in the industrial sections raw materials were lacking and that
workmen were therefore out of employment and demoralized. The first
necessity for Germany was to receive raw materials so that
industries could be revived. The Government was now preparing
everything so that it could strike a blow when necessary, but he was
not willing to try experiments which he was not sure of bringing to
a successful conclusion.
He said that it was of importance to the Entente to prevent the
demoralization of Germany as this might easily spread to other
European countries. A reaction, he stated, was out of the question,
and there was not a soul who favored it. This had been his
experience when he was Military Governor in Kiel. Once the borders
were open and raw materials were allowed to come in, Germany would
[Page 168]
soon recover and
become again orderly. He complained that the French were not
complying with the Armistice conditions, and were abusing them to
crush Germany. Noske was energetic and plainspoken, and it seems
that he has sufficient strength to be able to suppress rioting or
trouble which may occur, and which he fully expects. Should this
come, he said that the Government would show itself firm and would
be able to carry out its policy, as it had received information from
soldiers in all parts of Germany that they would loyally support
it.
[Enclosure 2]
Memorandum Furnished by the Bavarian Minister of
Transportation (Von
Frauendorfer)
The fulfilment of the armistice treaty and the manner in which the
Entente is interpreting and executing it exposes the economical and
industrial existence of Germany to the greatest danger.
What do the conditions of the armistice mean to the German railway
system?
We are to deliver up 5000 locomotives and 150,000 wagons. It is true
the German state railways possess about 32,000 locomotives and about
820,000 passenger carriages, luggage vans and goods-trucks. At the
first glance the delivering up of the sixth part of our locomotives
and something more than a fifth part of our wagons as wagons
demanded from us may appear heavy but not impossible. Unfortunately
conditions are much more unfavorable, for
- 1.
- We were obliged to leave the whole of the rolling stock of
the Alsace-Lorraine railway-net in that country and we must,
according to the conditions imposed anew by the Interallied
Commission conditions, which are daily becoming more
complicated, considerably increase this rolling material,
having to deliver 700 wagons besides to Strassburg daily,
altogether about 15000 wagons.
- 2.
- The whole rolling-stock necessary for the maintenance of
the railway traffic in the German railway districts on the
left bank of the Rhine had to be left there.
We do not know in Bavaria how great the number of the conveyances is
which have to remain in Alsace-Lorraine and in the other districts
on the left side of the Rhine. But we assume that it is a matter of
altogether more than 3000 locomotives; the number of the wagons we
cannot even approximately estimate here in Munich.
Moreover only a very small part of the enormous quantity of
rolling-stock, which Germany has had to supply for the traffic in
the occupied districts in the East as far as Bagdad has been
returned till now.
[Page 169]
We
reckon here that there are probably more than 3000 locomotives in
the East; but the exact figures are not at hand here at Munich.
Today only 60%, that is, about 15000 of these 26000 locomotives which
remain to us in the most favourable case are in a fit condition,
because unfortunately the number of the repairs cannot be decreased
more than 40% for a long time on account of want of material; so,
supposing we have to deliver up 5000 locomotives we should have to
give up a third of our whole serviceable locomotive material.
Besides there is to be taken into consideration that the conditions
of the armistice are interpreted by the Interallied Commission that,
practically only locomotives of the heaviest construction will be
accepted. For the Bavarian States Railway which possesses only few
heavy locomotives, this means, according to the present standing of
the negotiations, that we must give up far more than 200 heavy
locomotives.
Therefore Bavaria would have to deliver up two-thirds of its total
sum of the serviceable heavy goods-trains engines to the
Entente.
Besides these deliveries must be executed hurriedly by the 16th of
January, that means exactly at the time when tremendous demands are
being made on our railways by the demobilization of the front troops
and the transporting home of the prisoners of war.
The condition of the German and especially of the Bavarian railway
was already nearly hopeless till now.
Our present passenger-trains time-table only amounts to about 40% of
the time-table in time of peace, resulting in the dangerous
overcrowding of the trains so that the passengers who want to alight
at an intermediate station very often have to be lifted out of the
windows.
For weeks the goods-service has only been able to be maintained in
quite an insufficient manner. Traffic prohibitions exclude all goods
not absolutely necessary for the nourishment of the people and the
supplying of fuel to the population. By the want of locomotives more
and more wagons, which cannot be forwarded any further, accumulate
in the railway-stations and obstruct them. Double lines must be
obstructed to a great extent with wagons so that the management of
the traffic is made extremely difficult. By this the circulation of
the wagons is stagnating, the empty coal-trucks do not return to the
coal-mines to be reloaded. Added to this the railway lines on the
Rhine are occupied by the enemy and the lines, still at our disposal
for the transport of coal are entirely overburdened, because the
railway-lines on the left bank of the Rhine are completely cut
off.
Bavaria on the right side of the Rhine in time of peace has imported
17000 t. of coal on an average, daily. We reckon that, maintaining
our present economy we can just manage with an importation
[Page 170]
of 10,000 t. Practically
we have received nearly 8000 t. in November, 7000 in the first half
of December, but in the second half of December only 1100–2000 t.
daily. Now already important industries in Bavaria have come to a
standstill, others have been obliged to greatly reduce their
activity. The demobilization commissioner has ordered a ten days
closing down of all industrial works employing more than 10 workers;
beginning on December the 23rd, on account of want of coal. The
consumption of gas and light has already been reduced to the utmost.
Further severe encroachments are to be expected. The want of coal
must, if not entirely, so still for a great part, be traced to the
difficulties of transport.
The outlook in the future is however still more gloomy.
It may be that at least the masses of the Western Armies will be
transported back to their home garrisons by the end of January.
If even then for months a considerable amount of military transport
will remain to the Railway-Direction for the distribution of the
soldiers, to be discharged from their garrison regiments, home or to
their new place of employment; for the bringing back of the
Eastern-Army and for the distribution of the army stores, yet the
reduction of military traffic will effectively relieve the railways.
But opposed to this relief there is the huge lessening of our
capability, caused by the delivering up of rolling material.
The situation of the Bavarian Railways is made worse by the fact that
the 65 locomotives, hired from the Swiss Confederal Railways, must
be returned from the middle of January.
Nevertheless we shall make every effort to fulfil the conditions of
the armistice. Unbounded difficulties will still have to be overcome
in order to take out from the running-stock the necessary engines
and wagons—fit for acceptance—and we are looking forward with great
anxiety to the moment when we shall have accomplished it.
We shall then be placed before the possibility of a breakdown of our
economical existence.
If the imminent danger of anarchy and bolshevism is to be prevented,
it is absolutely necessary to take care that the masses of returning
soldiers find work and positions to earn money. This will only be
possible if coal, raw-material and food can be distributed all over
the country. Instead of this by that time many factories will have
used up their very last reserves and numerous industries and perhaps
even gas and electricity works and flour-mills will have to close
down; the passenger traffic will have to be so greatly reduced that
even the economical requirements will not be able to be carried
out.
Moreover the Entente themselves do not only not keep to the
conditions of the armistice, but render the fulfillment of them more
difficult for us in every possible manner.
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Contrary to the spirit of the armistice-treaty, the communication
between the left and the right bank of the Rhine has been completely
cut off, although our industries—especially the locomotive industry
and the repairing of locomotives entirely depend on the supply of
material from the West and our gas-works are specially fitted up for
the use of coal from the Saar-mines.
Recently they have even closed the shunting stations on the
bridgeheads to the right of the Rhine, so that now even the coal for
the Bavarian railway service (unloading-station Gustavsburg) has not
arrived from the Ruhr mines for ten days.
But the Entente for their part, demand a daily delivery of Ruhr coal
and coke for the country on the left bank of the Rhine; they even
require our supplying coal for a stretch of 200 km with every
locomotive delivered up.
The sharper blockade at sea—contradictory to the conditions of the
armistice and the stopping of the whole of the Baltic shipping not
only increases our need of raw material and food but also
overburdens the railways because large transports, which till now
have been forwarded by water, are now thrown upon the railway.
Quite exaggerated demands are made by the French Commission at the
taking over of the rolling-stock. No consideration is taken of
Germany having had to makeshift with substitute materials to a great
extent for the construction and the maintenance of rolling stock
during the war, (manufacture of the fire-boxes of the locomotives
out of iron instead of copper, the using of inferior material for
the bearings, of inferior train oil, etc.) and that therefore the
number of serviceable rolling-stock has sunk extraordinarily. Now
the Receiving Commission also refuses a great number of the
serviceable engines and wagons on account of very small faults (e.
g. passenger carriages with broken window panes, locomotives with
small defects in the bearings, etc.)
Moreover all goods trucks that have not been examined for three
years, are refused without further ado. The time for the examination
of goods trucks having been fixed at five years during the war in
Germany; this new demand of the Entente will exclude from the very
beginning two-fifths of the whole of our rolling stock from
acceptance.
Germany has [had] at one time captured
numerous Belgian and French locomotives and wagons. This rolling
material must be returned, but is to be credited to the number of
wagons we are obliged to deliver up. The Receiving Commission makes
the greatest difficulties at the acceptance of this material. They
object if German substitute parts (German buffers and German
pistons) have been used for the repairs; on the other hand we have
nothing but German material for restoring these wagons.
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The delivery of the locomotives and wagons and the returning of the
rolling stock refused in great number by the Receiving Commission is
complicated by the fact that important crossings and lines of
communication over the Rhine are blocked by the Entente besides many
other unnecessary annoyances in the service being made.
So there is the danger that the Entente themselves make it impossible
for us to meet the conditions of the armistice treaty properly.