File No. 711.0012/680

The Ambassador in Germany (Gerard) to the Secretary of State


4149. Think there is remote possibility that Germany might now sign Bryan arbitration treaty. Shall I pursue matter? If so, advise matter be kept secret so that if successful we may announce it suddenly. Bernstorff should not be informed as, if treaty is signed, [Page 281] think Chancellor wants to do everything here. Of course suggest possibility Germany signing treaty and then starting submarine war. Please inform Colonel House.