Messrs. Hamlin and Jordan to Mr. Sherman.

Sir: On the 22d of October you directed the undersigned to act as delegates, representing the United States, in a conference with delegates of Great Britain and Canada held for the following object:

To arrive, if possible, at correct conclusions respecting the numbers, conditions, and habits of the seals frequenting the Pribilof Islands at the present time as compared with the several seasons previous and subsequent to the Paris award.

We have now the honor to report to you the successful completion of the work of the conference. The protocols of this conference, which are handed you herewith, contain the record of the daily proceedings of the meetings. The final findings of fact are embodied in the joint statement of conclusions unanimously adopted by the conference, which we now also place in your hands.

It is proper that we should explain the absence in this joint statement of all reference to the regulations adopted in accordance with the award of the Paris Tribunal of Arbitration, or to any question involving administrative action.

In this connection, in accordance with their understanding of the purpose of the conference, the delegates of the United States presented for discussion the following proposition:

In the seasons subsequent to the Paris award the number of seals frequenting the Pribilof Islands has steadily declined to the date of our inspection of the rookeries in 1897. The regulations adopted by the Paris Tribunal of Arbitration have therefore proved ineffective for the protection and preservation of the fur-seal herd.

In deference to the views of the delegates of Great Britain and Canada, this proposition and all similar ones suggested were withdrawn from discussion, it being stated by the delegates of Great Britain and Canada that their interpretation of the joint instructions did not permit them to take up this or any other question bearing directly or indirectly on regulations or administrative matters.

Trusting that you may find the work of the conference a satisfactory contribution to knowledge of the condition of the fur-seal herd, we are,

Very, respectfully, yours,

  • Charles Sumner Hamlin.
  • David Starr Jordan.

Joint statement of conclusions respecting the fur-seal herd frequenting the Pribilof Islands in Bering Sea.

The undersigned, duly empowered delegates, engaged during recent years in the investigation of the condition and habits of the fur-seal herd frequenting the Pribilof Islands in Bering Sea, viz: On behalf of the United States, Charles Sumner Hamlin and David Starr Jordan; on behalf of Great Britain, D’Arcy Wentworth Thompson; on behalf of Canada, James Melville Macoun, have met in conference under instructions from our respective Governments. Under these instructions we were directed:

To arrive, if possible, at correct conclusions respecting the numbers, conditions, and habits of the seals frequenting the Pribilof Islands at the present time as compared with the several seasons previous and subsequent to the Paris award.

[Page 315]

As a result of such conference, now completed, we, the above-named Charles Sumner Hamlin, David Starr Jordan, D’Arcy Wentworth Thompson, and James Melville Macoun, find ourselves in accord on the propositions contained in the following joint statement of conclusions respecting the fur-seal herd frequenting the Pribilof Islands, and make this our report.

joint statement.

1. There is adequate evidence that since the year 1884, and down to the date of the inspection of the rookeries in 1897, the fur seal herd of the Pribilof Islands, as measured on either of the hauling grounds or breeding grounds, has declined in numbers at a rate varying from year to year.

2. In the absence for the earlier years of actual counts of the rookeries such as have been made in recent years, the best approximate measure of decline now available is found in these facts:

(a)
About 100,000 male seals of recognized killable age were obtained from the hauling grounds each year from 1871 to 1889. The table of statistics given in Appendix I shows on the whole a progressive increase in the number of hauling grounds driven and in the number of drives made, as well as a retardation of the date at which the quota was attained during a number of years previous to 1889.
(b)
In the year 1896, 28,9641 killable seals were taken after continuing the driving till July 27, and in 1897, 19,189, after continuing the driving till August 11. We have no reason to believe that during the period 1896 and 1897 a very much larger number of males of recognized killable age could have been taken on the hauling grounds.

The reduction between the years 1896 and 1897 in the number of killable seals taken, while an indication of decrease in the breeding herd, can not be taken as an actual measure of such decrease. A number of other factors must be taken into consideration, and the real measure of decrease must be sought in more pertinent statistics drawn from the breeding rookeries themselves.

3. From these data it is plain that the former yield of the hauling grounds of the Pribilof Islands was from three to five times as great as in the years 1896 and 1897, and the same diminution to one-third or one fifth of the former product may be assumed when we include also the results of hunting at sea.

4. The death rate among the young fur seals, especially among the pups, is very great. While the loss among the pups prior to their departure from the islands has been found in the last two years to approach 20 per cent of the whole number born, and though the rate of subsequent mortality is unknown, we may gather from the number which return each year that from one-half to two thirds have perished before the age of 3 years—that is to say, the killable age for the males and the breeding age for the females.

5. The chief natural2 causes of death among the pups, so far as known [Page 316] at present, are as follows, the importance of each being variable and more or less uncertain:

(a)
Ravages of the parasitic worm, Uncinaria, most destructive on sandy breeding areas and during the period from July 15 to August 20.
(b)
Trampling by fighting bulls or by moving bulls and cows, a source of loss greatest among very young pups.1
(c)
Starvation of pups strayed or separated from their mothers when very young or whose mothers have died from natural causes.
(d)
The ravages of the great killer (Orca), known to be fatal to many of the young and perhaps also to older seals.

At a later period drowning in the storms of winter is believed, but not certainly known, to be a cause of death among the older pups.

6. Counts of certain rookeries, with partial counts and estimates of others, show that the number of breeding females bearing pups on St. Paul and St. George was, in 1896 and 1897, between 160,000 and 130,000, more nearly approaching the higher figure in 1896 and the lower in 1897.2

7. On certain rookeries where pups were counted in both seasons, 16,241 being found in 1896 and 14,318 in 1897, or, applying a count adopted by Professor Thompson, 14,743 in the latter year, there is evident a decrease of 9 or 12 per cent within the twelvemonth in question. The count of pups is the most trustworthy measure of numerical variation in the herd. The counts of harems, and especially of cows present, are much inferior in value. The latter counts, however, point in the same direction. The harems on all the rookeries were counted in both seasons. In 1896 there were 4,932, in 1897 there were 4,418, a decrease of 10.41 per cent. The cows actually present on certain rookeries at the height of the season were counted in both seasons. Where 10,198 were found in 1896, 7,307 were found in 1897, a decrease of 28.34 per cent.3

8. It is not easy to apply the various counts in the form of a general average to all the rookeries of the islands. We recognize that a notable decrease has been suffered by the herd during the twelvemonth 1896 to 1897, without attempting, save by setting the above numbers on record, to ascribe to the decrease more precise figures.

9. The methods of driving and killing practiced on the islands, as they have come under our observation during the past two years, call for no criticism or objection. An adequate supply of bulls is present on the rookeries; the number of older bachelors rejected in the drives during the period in question is such as to safeguard in the immediate future a similarly adequate supply; the breeding bulls, females, and pups on the breeding rookeries are not disturbed; there is no evidence [Page 317] or sign of impairment by driving of the virility of males; the operations of driving and killing are conducted skillfully and without inhumanity.

10. The pelagic industry is conducted in an orderly manner and in a spirit of acquiescence in the limitations imposed by the law.

11. Pelagic sealing involves the killing of males and females alike, without discrimination and in proportion as the two sexes coexist in the sea. The reduction of males effected on the islands causes an enhanced proportion of females to be found in the pelagic catch; hence this proposition, if it vary from no other cause, varies at least with the catch upon the islands. In 1895 Mr. A. B. Alexander, on behalf of the Government of the United States, found 62.3 per cent of females in the catch of the Dora Siewerd, in Bering Sea, and in 1896 Mr. Andrew Halkett, on behalf of the Canadian Government, found 84.2 in the catch of the same schooner in the same sea. There are no doubt instances, especially in the season of migration and on the course of the migrating herds, of catches containing a very different proportion of the two sexes.

12. The large proportion of females in the pelagic catch includes not only adult females that are both nursing and pregnant, but also young-seals that are not pregnant, and others that have not yet brought forth young, with such also as have recently lost their young through the various causes of natural mortality.1

13. The polygamous habit of the animal, coupled with an equal birth rate of the two sexes, permits a large number of males to be removed with impunity from the herd, while, as with other animals, any similar abstraction of females checks or lessens the herd’s increase; or, when carried further, brings about an actual diminution of the here. It is equally plain that a certain number of females may be killed without involving the actual diminution of the herd, if the number killed do not exceed the annual increment of the breeding herd, taking into consideration the annual losses by death through old age and through incidents at sea.

14. While, whether from a consideration of the birth rate or from an inspection of the visible effects, it is manifest that the take of females in recent years has been so far in excess of the natural increment as to lead to a reduction of the herd in the degree related above, yet the ratio of the pelagic catch of one year to that of the following has fallen off more rapidly than the ratio of the breeding herd of one year to the breeding herd of the next.2

15. In this greater reduction of the pelagic catch compared with the gradual decrease of the herd there is a tendency toward equilibrium, or a stage at which the numbers of the breeding herd would neither increase nor decrease. In considering the probable size of the herd in [Page 318] the immediate future, there remains to be estimated the additional factor of decline resulting from reductions in the number of surviving pups caused by the larger pelagic catch of 1894 and 1895.

16. The diminution of the herd is yet far from a stage which involves or threatens the actual extermination of the species, so long as it is protected in its haunts on land. It is not possible, during the continuance of the conservative methods at present in force upon the islands, with the further safeguard of the protected zone at sea, that any pelagic killing should accomplish this final end. There is evidence, however, that in its present condition the herd yields an inconsiderable return either to the lessees of the islands or to the owners of the pelagic fleet.

  • Charles Sumner Hamlin.
  • David Starr Jordan.
  • D’Arcy Wentworth Thompson.
  • James Melville Macoun.

Appendix I.

Statistics regarding land and sea killing, 1871–1897.

Year. Date quota filled.1 Hauling grounds driven.1 Number of drives.1 Killed on land.2 Killed at sea.
1871 July 28 46 43 102,960 16,911
1872 July 25 43 30 108,819 5,336
1873 July 24 51 37 109,177 5,229
1874 July 17 61 41 110,585 5,873
1875 July 16 55 37 106,460 5,033
1876 3 Aug. 1 36 30 94,657 5,515
1877 July 14 44 32 84,310 5,210
1878 July 18 54 35 109,323 5,544
1879 July 16 71 36 110,411 8,557
1880 July 17 78 38 105,718 8,418
1881 July 20 99 34 105,063 10,382
1882 do 86 36 99,812 15,551
1883 July 19 81 39 79,509 16,557
1884 July 21 101 42 105,434 16,971
1885 July 27 106 63 105,434 23,040
1886 July 26 117 74 104,521 28,494
1887 July 24 101 66 105,760 30,628
1888 July 27 102 73 103,304 26,189
1889 July 31 110 74 102,617 29,858
1890 4 July 20 87 55 28,059 40,814
1891 (5) (5) 12,040 59,568
1892 (5) (5) 7,511 46,642
1893 (5) (5) 7,396 30,812
1894 Aug. 4 16,270 61,838
1895 July 27 14,846 56,291
1896 do 31 21 28,964 43,917
1897 Aug. 7 42 27 20,890 6 25,079

1 These figures refer to the hauling grounds of St. Paul.

2 These totals include all males killed for any purpose on the islands.

3 In 1876 the killing was begun at an unusual date, said to be on account of an exceptionally late season.

4 Closed by order of the agent in charge.

5 Tears of the modus vivendi.

6 As reported to date.

[Page 319]

Appendix II.

Record of arrival of cows.1

Date. Cows present. Date. Cows present. Date. Cows present.
Amphitheater of Kitovi Amphitheater of Kitovi
–Continued.
Lukanin rookery
–Continued.
June 12 0 July 20 429 June 26 207
13 0 21 528 27 257
14 2 22 416 28
15 3 23 469 29
16 3 24 465 30 635
17 4 25 426 July 1
18 6 26 463 2 890
19 7 27 406 3 938
20 8 28 304 4 1,088
21 9 29 414 5 1,197
22 23 30 427 6 1,264
23 37 31 375 7 1,371
24 45 Record of harems. 8 1,531
25 56 June 14 1 9 2 1,541
26 76 20 3 10 1,680
27 105 30 10 11 1,755
28 137 July 8 35 12
29 168 13 46 13 1,736
30 210 25 53 15 1,841
July 1 246 Lukanin rookery 143 306
2 290 June 12 1 15 327
3 362 13 1 16 325
4 414 14 3 17 338
5 499 15 5 18 228
6 518 16 6 19 290
7 550 17 11 20 214
8 585 18 19 21 215
9 2 587 19 25 22 219
10 660 20 37 23 212
11 703 21 52 24 196
12 22 74 25 186
13 654 23 103 26 148
14 556 24 131 27 157
15 703 25 176 28 177
16 678 29 149
17 698 30 127
18 566 31 124
19 556

1 Weather clear; no storms or surf, except one day when rain fell, causing a larger number of cows to take to the water and making it difficult to distinguish those present from the rocks.

2 Rain.

3 After July 14 it became impossible, on account of the scattering of the cows, to continue the count for the entire rookery without too great loss of time, and so a section of 18 harems was singled out and the count continued on it.

  1. The nominal quota of 30,000 for 1896, and of 20,890 for 1897, included food skins taken in the fall of 1895 and 1896.
  2. That is to say, not including losses ensuing from the killing of mothers at sea.

    The number of dead pups counted on the rookeries between August 8 and 14, in 1896, was 11,045. It is recognized that this number is an underestimate, inasmuch as a greater number must have been overlooked than were counted twice. It is also recognized that the great majority of these pups died from the attacks of the worm Uncinaria.

  3. The importance of this source of loss we now find to be much less than was supposed to be the case from the investigations made in 1896. (See Reports for 1896, Jordan, p. 45; Thompson, p. 20; Macoun, MSS.)
  4. For detailed account of the census of 1896, see Jordan, preliminary report for 1896, p. 15; Thompson, report for 1896, p. 19; Macoun, report, 1896, MSS. For a discussion of suggested corrections to the census of 1896, see Jordan, final report, 1897. For details of the census of 1897, see Thompson, report, 1897; Macoun, report, 1897. Jordan, report, 1897. A correction to he made in the census of 1896 arises from the agreed assumption that the total number of breeding females was 1.75 times the number seen in the height of the season. Later observations show that the actual total is at least twice the maximum number ever seen at once on a rookery.
  5. The extreme irregularity of the number of cows present on the rookeries from day to day, and the consequent invalidity of and comparison of their number, is shown by the census made on Lukanin and Kitovi rookeries during the season of 1897. See Appendix II.
  6. Statements on which to base an estimate of the relative numbers of these several classes are necessarily incomplete, but the following notes may serve as a partial guide: Townsend, report 1895, pp. 46, 47. Alexander, report 1895, pp. 142, 143. Macoun, report 1897, MSS. Lucas, report 1897, MSS.
  7. The catch of the pelagic fleet, Canadian and American, in 1897, in Bering Sea was 16,657 seals. In the summer of 1896 it was 29,500. The aggregate catch which directly influenced the herd of 1897 was 38,922, a number made up by adding to the summer’s catch of 1896 the northwest coast catch in the spring of 1897. Up to the present time, accordingly, the pelagic catch already taken (16,657) and operating directly against next year’s supply is 57.22 per cent less than the pelagic catch which operated against the supply of 1897 (see also Appendix I); or, if we compare merely the summer catches, inasmuch as the possible spring catch of 1898 is an unknown factor, we have a reduction of 43.46 per cent.