200. Memorandum of Conversation1
Washington, January 28, 1987, 3–5 p.m.
PARTICIPANTS
- Senator Malcolm Wallop
- Senator Pete Wilson
- Congressman Jack Kemp
- Congressman Jim Courter
- Ambassador Paul H.
Nitze
- Mr. Norman G. Clyne
The Congressmen were accompanied by some 8–10 members of their staffs.
Senator Wallop began by saying that
they wished to find out what I thought about early SDI deployment, and that they also wished to present to me
their ideas on the subject.
I emphasized that I had been briefed on this subject on Thursday, January
22nd, and the Secretary and I had been briefed on Saturday, January
24th.2 Both the Secretary and I felt it was necessary
that we do considerably more work to fully understand what the Pentagon had
in mind before we could come up with a definitive view. I followed the
attached talking points. I, told them what I understand to be the
Pentagon-approved procedure for making major acquisition decisions and that
the Pentagon has decided to follow that procedure with respect
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to acquisitions related to the
deployment of SDI. I said that from the
briefings I had received I was not certain as to what stage in the process
they consider the program to be.
Senator Wallop said that his group had
spent some 7 to 10 days going from laboratory to laboratory being briefed on
individual weapon systems and it was their opinion that the entire program
was ready for a decision on prompt deployment. I said that was not the
impression I had received. Senator Wallop then questioned whether the procurement procedure
which I outlined was necessary with respect to SDI. They thought only a political decision was required. I
asked whether they thought that Congress would permit money to be spent on
prompt deployment. They argued that if the Pentagon and the State Department
were strongly behind the program, and if the President used his full powers
of persuasion, the Congress would not stand in the way.
I said I thought an ability persuasively to answer the full range of
questions applicable to such a decision would be necessary to win such a
debate.
Attachment
Talking Points Prepared in the Department of State3
TALKING POINTS FOR MEETING WITH CONGRESSMAN COURTER JANUARY
28, 1987
1. Have been briefed twice by General Abrahamson and have talked to others in Executive Branch
about the Pentagon concept. Secretary Shultz briefed last Saturday.
2. Pentagon has not yet developed a program or project one can get one’s
teeth into and fully understand. Therefore, it is premature to have a
final opinion on the issue.
3. The Pentagon has, some time ago, developed a procedure for making
major acquisition decisions. As I understand it, it involves a number of
prescribed milestones.
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- —
- The first is milestone 0, a decision that the idea underlying the
project seems to be good enough to warrant exploration.
- —
- Milestone (1) is validation of the technology involved.
- —
- Milestone (2) is a decision that full scale development is
justified and should be approved.
- —
- Milestone (3) is a decision that production of the system and its
components for actual deployment should be and is approved.
4. As I understand it, the Pentagon has decided that Abrahamson’s SDI early deployment concept is to be subjected to these
procurement decision procedures.
I am not informed as to what portions of the concept have yet to pass
Milestone 1 and which are ready for Milestone 2, and if any are ready
for a Milestone 3 decision.
5. No serious interdepartmental staff work has yet been done on a program
to embody the concept of early-phased deployment.
QUESTION: What are your present views on the concepts of phased early
deployment.
ANSWER: (a) I believe the Soviets are obtaining certain potential
advantages from their work on their Moscow-based ABM system, on their relatively dense
phased-array early warning system, and on the elements of what could
become an ATBM system. Whether those
potential advantages are worth the substantial costs involved is not
demonstrable one way or the other. The more important question is
whether a roughly comparable effort on our part would produce
capabilities and give us experience worth more than the alternate uses
to which comparable resources could be applied.
(b) There is a separate problem with respect to tests and deployments
requiring us to deviate from the broad interpretation of the ABM Treaty, or from the so-called narrow
interpretation.
(c) The broad versus narrow interpretation may not go to the heart of the
problem. At the time the Treaty was being negotiated we had little idea
as to what systems based on OPP might
be. We certainly did not then know how to define “components” of such
systems with the same precision with which we defined in Article II of
the Treaty “ABM components” based on the then understood technologies.
This is a problem we need to think through.
(d) Work needs to be done before a definitive view on a program to
implement the phased-early deployment concept is possible.