140. Memorandum From the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy (Ikle) to Secretary of Defense Weinberger1
SUBJECT
- Post-Reykjavik Instructions to the NST Negotiators (U)—ACTION MEMORANDUM—URGENT
(S) Below action memorandum at Tab A2 you will find the current draft instructions for the US negotiators to the Nuclear and Space Talks, intended to take into account developments at Reykjavik. The President’s decision is expected to be made over the weekend. While there may be issues raised to the President on START and INF, by far the most important controversies are associated with the Defense and Space talks. In the draft memo conveying your views to the President [Page 495] (Tab B), we have therefore focused exclusively on the dangerous proposals being advanced in the D & S area.
(S) The principal issue at stake here is Paul Nitze’s proposal that we offer the Soviets the opportunity to negotiate agreed understandings of what is permitted and what is not under the ABM Treaty—without requiring them to accept the President’s Reykjavik framework (i.e., for delayed deployment of SDI provided all ballistic missiles were eliminated). As you can readily appreciate, such a proposal would give the Soviets precisely the leverage they seek—and the President rejected—over SDI. It would in all likelihood result a year or so hence in a new agreement restricting our current (legally correct) interpretation of the ABM Treaty, divorced from all the other elements of the President’s position. This new “Nitze agreement” might then turn out to be the only signed strategic arms agreement in this Administration.
(S) A related point is reflected in brackets we have inserted in paragraphs 3, 4, and 5 asserting the requirement for a new treaty. As we discussed in connection with the NSC-produced “clarification” of the President’s July proposal, it should be self-evident that any future addressal of the ABM Treaty (e.g., non-withdrawal, what is permitted/not permitted, novation) must be undertaken in the context of a new agreement—not as an amendment to the existing accord. One would think such a new treaty would have to have its own “supreme national interest” for withdrawal clause to be ratifiable.
(S) START. The outstanding issues in START are reasonably straightforward:
- ○
- We believe that we should not move away from the sublimits (para. 3, fourth tick) associated with our previous 50% without some movement on the Soviets’ part. State believes we should give the negotiator the flexibility to move to the higher sublimits envisioned in our 30% reduction proposal tabled in July.
- ○
- The JCS have reserved on the proposed elimination of all ballistic missiles by 1996 (para. 5) pending completion of an analysis now underway. We will have a hand in shaping this study and its conclusions. (I’ll have a separate memo following on this general point.)
- ○
- We have reserved pending your guidance on paragraph 6, which State has advanced, offering a separate, interim deal on 50% reductions. The obvious danger here (in addition to your general disdain for so-called “interim” agreements) is that the deployment of defenses could be strung out pending completion of the second phase of negotiations.
(S) INF. The only real issue in INF is the same bullet above, namely our reservation on your behalf about paragraph 7’s reference to the zero-in-Europe/100-global level as an interim step to be followed by negotiations to zero globally. We understand that, subsequent to the President’s decision about retaining our right to Alaska basing, no agency will support the third tick under paragraph 5—this is progress. [Page 496] (The bracket is being retained pending comments from Ambassador Glitman.)
(S) Recommendation:
We recommend that you focus your message to the President on the “ABM treaty-clarifying negotiations” proposal to nip this poisonous plant in the bud. See draft memo at Tab B.
- Source: Library of Congress, Manuscript Division, Weinberger Papers, Department of Defense Files, Subject File, 1986 Arms Control Reykjavik Summit #2–11 (2). Secret.↩
- Attached but not printed are undated draft guidance telegrams for the Nuclear and Space Talks, sent under cover of an October 16 memorandum from ACDA Assistant Director for Strategic Programs Michael Mobbs to the Arms Control Support Group.↩
- Ikle signed the memorandum “Fred” above this typed signature.↩
- Secret.↩