383. Memorandum From the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Brzezinski) to President Carter 1

SUBJECT

  • Post-INFCE Explorations by Gerry Smith

At Tab A is Warren Christopher’s paper on the timing of Gerry Smith’s post-INFCE explorations with the Europeans and Japanese on his proposals for modifications in US non-proliferation policy. The paper is simply a listing of reasons for and against authorizing Smith to proceed; Christopher does not offer a recommendation.

In my view, your decision should be based on the following consideration. The decision on Tarapur2 will encounter determined resistance on the Hill. Many there who applauded the policy you announced in 1977, see the Tarapur decision as a significant move away from that policy. Moreover, we face a growing coalition of opposition made up of those who oppose Tarapur on substance, and Reagan supporters who simply want to embarrass you.

No matter how tightly Smith’s instructions are worded, his explorations will be seen as another deviation from your policy, generating further opposition on the Hill and among liberal supporters. The question is whether or not you want to address both of these issues simultaneously. I think not, and there is no need to do so since you can control the timing of the Smith initiative, waiting until after it has been fully reviewed in the normal NSC process.

RECOMMENDATION

That you not authorize Smith to conduct post-INFCE explorations at this time.3

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Tab A

Memorandum From Acting Secretary of State Christopher to President Carter

4

SUBJECT

  • Post-INFCE Explorations

At the Friday foreign policy breakfast,5 I promised to send you an analysis of advantages and risks to Gerry Smith’s proceeding with post-INFCE explorations now, as opposed to after Tarapur is resolved by the Congress.

Reasons for Not Going Ahead Now

—Movement on this approach now could create public perceptions that “the Carter Administration is proposing to weaken its non-proliferation policy” or “the Carter Administration is changing signals on breeder reactor programs.”

—The Tarapur decision complicates our moving forward now with post-INFCE in two ways. First, both decisions will be characterized by some as U.S. non-proliferation retreats—Tarapur as a fall off of our commitment to full-scope safeguards, and post-INFCE as a retreat from our opposition to premature reprocessing and plutonium use. Second, it could be argued that our Tarapur decision is inconsistent with our post-INFCE explorations. That is, the Tarapur decision is based on the rationale of preserving controls over U.S.-origin material to prevent its reprocessing in India, whereas our post-INFCE explorations are designed to relax such controls where we have them in Europe and Japan outside of EURATOM.

—The approach could be characterized as helping European and Japanese nuclear programs (in particular breeder, advanced reactor and reprocessing programs) that might otherwise fail. And, our approach may not in fact achieve greater allied cooperation in improving the non-proliferation regime.

—The precedent of this approach could undercut our effort to prevent the spread of sensitive technology and material to countries outside Europe and Japan, or result in charges of discrimination by countries which we assert do not meet the necessary criteria.

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Reasons for Going Ahead Now

—Other countries expect us to take INFCE results into account, and key Allies have already approached us on harmonizing policies. If we do not move soon, the Australians (who are actively negotiating with EURATOM and Japan) could make agreements which would undercut our ability to limit reprocessing and plutonium use. We also need greater fuel supply assurances to meet anticipated criticism at the NPT Review Conference.

—Our supply leverage is diminishing and our reliability is in question. Failure to commence explorations now would risk our Allies’ going their own way in their nuclear programs and making the issue an even greater irritant in our relations. We could also lose their cooperation in improving the non-proliferation regime, in particular deterring commercial thermal recycle.

—Going ahead with Tarapur and the post-INFCE explorations is entirely consistent. Both actions are designed to support the non-proliferation regime—in the case of Tarapur, to preserve safeguards and controls over U.S.-origin material in India; in the case of post-INFCE, to obtain limits and controls on U.S.-origin material in EURATOM (which we currently do not have) and greater non-proliferation cooperation generally including full-scope safeguards as a condition of future supply. Both decisions also serve broader foreign policy objectives.

—Post-INFCE explorations will be less sensitive politically than Tarapur, especially since they will be low-key, non-committal and confidential and would be only with Allies who are either NPT parties with full-scope safeguards or, in the case of France, a nuclear weapons state. USG consideration of post-INFCE options has already had some press play (particularly in the trade press). We have had extensive consultations with those most concerned in Congress, and no one has objected to further explorations.

Options

______ Let Gerry Smith go ahead with explorations now.6

______ Postpone Gerry Smith’s explorations until after Congress acts on Tarapur.

(A copy of proposed instructions for Gerry Smith is attached for your convenience.)

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Attachment

Draft Telegram 7

USIAEA for Ambassador Smith from Secretary. Subject: Post-INFCE Explorations.

1. SECRET (ENTIRE TEXT)

2. The President authorizes you on an absolutely non-committal basis (and in a low key and confidential manner) to explore with the major European governments and Japan arrangements by which they would agree to cooperate in strengthening the non-proliferation regime and limit the reprocessing of spent fuel and use of plutonium. Your purpose is to clarify what we might expect from our allies in return for greater predictability in the exercise of consent rights over the use of US-origin spent fuel. Based on these explorations, we would be better able to develop positions for the statutorily mandated renegotiation of our agreements with EURATOM, Japan, and certain other countries.

3. In your explorations, you should be guided by the following elements:

A. What we would seek:

—Deferral by the involved countries of commitments to commercial thermal recycle for a specified period.

—Limiting new reprocessing capacity to that required for breeder and advanced reactors and restraint in the separation of plutonium to avoid unnecessary stockpiling and pressures for thermal recycle.

—Support for development of an effective IPS and avoidance of excess national stockpiles of plutonium.

—Agreement by EURATOM and Japan to US consent rights called for in the NNPA.

—Continuing limits over US-origin material after use in breeder and advanced reactor RD&D programs.

—Increased commitments to spent fuel storage as our alternative to reprocessing.

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—Improved cooperation in dealing with countries of proliferation concern, including concrete steps to strengthen restraints on exports of sensitive technology and material to such countries.

—Commitments to condition significant new nuclear supply commitments on NPT-type safeguards on future, as well as existing, facilities.

—Cooperation to make reprocessing associated with breeder reactors more proliferation resistant.

—Cooperation on improving the “once-through” cycle.

—Dedication of future enrichment capacity to produce low-enriched uranium only.

—Greater commitments of financial and technical resources and political support for development and implementation of improved IAEA safeguards.

B. What we would consider offering:

—The United States would adopt predictable ground rules for the exercise of US consent rights and control over reprocessing and use of plutonium in certain RD&D programs for breeder and advanced thermal reactors. Specifically, you may explore advance agreement to reprocessing of US-origin material in mutually agreed facilities for use of the resulting separated plutonium in certain agreed breeder and advanced reactor RD&D programs in advanced NPT or equivalent countries that meet certain criteria.

—You may indicate willingness to consider generic agreement to reprocessing in the United Kingdom and France for other countries that have good non-proliferation credentials, or no spent fuel storage alternatives, or where it is in our non-proliferation interest to remove spent fuel.

—You should also indicate the US is reviewing in the context of preparations for the NPT Review Conference, licensing of export of low-enriched fuel for a longer term than now, as well as backup assurances and increased technical assistance, to NPT parties with good non-proliferation credentials.

4. You should make clear that in return for flexibility on reprocessing and plutonium use we would expect agreement to improvements in the present non-proliferation regime, particularly a more helpful active role in dealing with problem countries. You should stress that no final policy decisions have as yet been made.

  1. Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Staff Material, Global Issues, Oplinger/Bloomfield File, Box 52, Proliferation: Smith, Gerard, 3–6/80. Secret.
  2. On April 28, Carter approved the issuance of two pending licenses so that India could import enriched uranium from the United States for its nuclear power plant at Tarapur. For more on this decision, see Foreign Relations, 1977–1980, vol. XIX, South Asia.
  3. Carter checked the “Disapprove” option and wrote “J” underneath.
  4. Secret.
  5. June 13.
  6. Carter checked the “Let Gerry Smith go ahead with explorations now” and wrote “J” underneath.
  7. Secret; Nodis. In the upper right-hand corner, Carter wrote “Let’s let Gerry do this exploration of the idea on his own and report back to me. I may not wish to go forward with it. I’ll discuss some in Venice [the Summit of Industrialized Nations, the G–7, to be held on June 22 and 23]—J.C.”