365. Memorandum From the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Brzezinski) to President Carter1

SUBJECT

  • Peace-Keeping

1. El Salvador—Honduras

In a recent conversation with NSC Staff, the Salvadorean Vice President said that he thought Salvador would ratify the mediation agreement with Honduras in a few weeks. Talks between the two countries have awaited Salvador’s ratification, and if their government takes that step, it will be a significant one.

The dispute is over the demarcation of the border, and the best way to resolve that problem is to have the two parties agree to a mediator, and to give full support to his efforts.

The bilaterals with the Presidents of El Salvador and Honduras are both scheduled for Wednesday afternoon.2 Both governments will probably ask for some additional economic assistance to develop the border area or to build a resort in the disputed Gulf of Fonseca. They will argue that such assistance could help bring the parties together. You may want to respond that until the two countries renew their commercial relations, it is academic to consider joint development projects.

We can probably consider the discussions a success if the Salvadorean President agrees to publicly announce his intention to seek the ratification of the mediation agreement, and if both Presidents agree to open up the border in the interim to normal commercial flows.

NSC agrees with State in recommending Option #2.3

[Omitted here is material unrelated to El Salvador.]

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Tab 1

Memorandum Prepared in the National Security Council4

PEACEKEEPING: EL SALVADOR—HONDURAS

ISSUE FOR DECISION

How the USG can best assist efforts to resolve the border dispute between El Salvador and Honduras.

ESSENTIAL FACTORS

The long-standing border dispute and periodic incidents between El Salvador and Honduras have economic and demographic origins. El Salvador is one of the most densely populated countries in Latin America. Honduras is five times as large but with almost half the number of people as its neighbor. Therefore, Salvadorans have tended to spill over into the inviting spaces of Honduras. In the process, tensions have developed over the treatment of Salvadorans in Honduras and other disputed pockets of land along the border between the two countries. The problem is complex and emotional for both parties.

Since 1969, when the so-called “Soccer War” occurred no diplomatic or economic relations have existed between El Salvador and Honduras. This situation has impeded regional economic integration, contributed to competing arms acquisition, and maintained a destabilizing element in Central America.

The United States has pursued a policy of indirect support for efforts to resolve the dispute. This has included providing personnel and equipment, at OAS expense, for a border observer team. Relatedly, the US has tried to discourage an arms race between the two countries.

In late 1976, the two countries signed a mediation formula agreement. Honduras ratified the accord within weeks. El Salvador, beset with a series of internal problems, has yet to ratify. At present, therefore, the two countries are not negotiating.

However, it should be pointed out that high GOES officials have informed us that they are preparing public opinion and seeking popular support for the ratification of the accord within the very near term.

OPTIONS

The most helpful action the USG could take at this stage, would be to focus upon Salvadoran ratification.

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1. Continue indirect supportive assistance with emphasis on OAS initiatives, and refrain from bilateral involvement.

Pro:

—Would underscore OAS role in peace keeping.

—Would carry weight of multilateral concern.

Con:

—Tends to perpetuate status quo; no progress.

2. Supplement our assistance supportive of OAS measures with a more active bilateral role, exhorting El Salvador to ratify rapidly.

Pro:

—May, at least, help bring the two countries to the negotiating table.

—Would provide a useful mixture of bilateral and multilateral avenues of impressing concern for progress on resolving the issue.

—May give impetus beyond a mere “holding pattern”.

Con:

—Would entail pressuring El Salvador anew precisely as its new government is trying to be responsive on human rights, after a long period of strained bilateral relations.

3. Go beyond exhortation to exerting pressures on both countries—through bilateral incentives (or disincentives)—not only for negotiations but for a resolution. This would include such measures as increasing economic assistance, resuming security assistance (which El Salvador has renounced) or—in the other direction—limiting various forms of economic support until the issue is resolved.

Pro:

—Would certainly stimulate a reaction from both parties, if implemented with vigor.

Con:

—Would place the US squarely in the middle, with the US assuming responsibility for possible resumed hostilities.

—Would tend toward what might be considered an “interventionist” policy.

Recommendation:

That you approve Option 2 at this stage, exhorting the Salvadoran President to have the mediation formula ratified rapidly so the two countries can at least begin negotiations.5

ALTERNATIVELY, that you adhere to Option 1 which has been our traditional position in recent years.

  1. Source: Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Staff Material, North/South, Pastor Files, Subject Files, Box 65, Territorial Disputes: 4/77–12/78. Confidential.
  2. September 7. For the memorandum of conversation of the bilateral meetings, see Documents 346 and 366.
  3. Brzezinski wrote: “(Tab 1, p. 2)” following this sentence.
  4. Confidential.
  5. Carter indicated his approval and initialed.