(Period Covered: From May 22, 1958 through November 26,
1958)
To prepare an abbreviated Report to be used by the National Security Council
in the review of policy towards Latin America.
The United States Government in recent months has taken key actions which
contributed towards adopting a more constructive posture towards Latin
America.
Taken together, these developments (described in greater detail in Annex A)
represent a considerable adjustment of the U.S. position towards economic
development and other key issues. Latin Americans are now watching closely
to see if the United States carries out what they consider to be the
implicit promise of greater support to the development of the area.
Meanwhile, the underlying economic and political maladjustments which were
outlined in the last OCB Report of May 21,
1958 as affecting the attainment of U.S. goals remain much the same. These
problems and maladjustments (further described in Annex B) may be summarized
as:
Annex A
MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS
5. Increased High-Level U.S. Attention to the
Area. Increased high-level U.S. attention to the problems of Latin
America has contributed toward reducing the feeling in Latin America
that the United States neglects its closest neighbors while lavishing
its attention and resources on Europe, the Middle East and Asia.
- a.
- The Vice President’s visit to Latin America was followed by an
exchange of correspondence in June between President Kubitschek of
Brazil and President Eisenhower in which the former proposed an
[Page 40]
“Operation Pan America” to
strengthen ties among the American republics and to devote greater
attention to the problem of underdevelopment in Latin America. The
President’s reply was carried to Brazil by the Assistant Secretary
of State for Inter-American Affairs.3 In August, the Secretary of State—making a
favorable impression on Latin American opinion by devoting time to
Latin American problems despite the pressures of the Lebanese
crisis—visited Brazil to discuss “Operation Pan America” and
US-Brazilian relations with President Kubitschek. In September, at the Secretary’s
invitation, the Foreign Ministers of the American Republics held a
successful informal meeting at which they took a number of steps in
the economic field and agreed to recommend that their government
instruct representatives on the Council of the OAS to consider the desirability of
holding more frequently informal meetings for Foreign Ministers and
other high ranking government representatives.
- b.
- Meanwhile, in late July, Dr. Milton
Eisenhower, accompanied by ranking officials of the
Departments of State and Treasury and of the Export-Import Bank and
the Development Loan Fund, completed a tour of Central America.4 Dr.
Eisenhower met with some
1,200 Government, business, labor, agricultural, and intellectual
leaders and explored thoroughly with them the current problems
confronting their countries and the relationship of the United
States to them.
- c.
- Progress has also been recorded during these months in briefing
the governments of the other American republics through meetings
between the Secretary of State and Latin American ambassadors and
Foreign Ministers and through our Embassies in Latin America on the
United States position and intentions with respect to major issues
arising in the conflict between the free world and international
communism, e.g., the Lebanon and Taiwan crises. While these measures
necessarily fall short of the aspiration of some Latin Americans for
full consultation and participation in the formulation of the United
States decisions on major world problems, they are making an
important contribution toward reducing apprehensions of Latin
Americans that decisions affecting the security of the Western
Hemisphere are made without taking their interests and views into
account.
- d.
- Special efforts were also made to inform and consult with Latin
American governments on U.S. decisions and policies of special
interest to them. Prior to the public announcement on September 22
of the
[Page 41]
imposition of quotas
on the import of lead and zinc into the United States, the Latin
American governments most immediately affected—Peru, Mexico, Bolivia
and Guatemala—were privately informed at a high level, and although
this did not prevent an adverse reaction it removed any bases for
complaint that they were forewarned. Advance consultations were also
held with Venezuela regarding the impact on that country of
restrictions on oil imports.
- e.
- The program of bringing Latin American Chiefs of State and other
leaders to this country is also going forward. Visits to Washington
have been scheduled for President Frondizi of Argentina in January and President
Lemus of El Salvador in
March. Frequent visits to the United States by Latin American
Foreign Ministers and other Cabinet officers in connection with
United Nations meetings and other activities have also afforded
opportunities for personal contacts with senior U.S.
officials.
- f.
- U.S. Senate Study. Reflecting high level Congressional interest in
the area, the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations has been
authorized to make a full and complete study of United States
relations with the American Republics. A sub-committee under Senator
Morse will make the study.
In the conduct of the study the subcommittee may use the experience,
knowledge and advice of private organizations, schools,
institutions, and individuals, in its discretion. It is also
authorized to call on the departments and agencies for information
and services required for the completion of the study. $150,000 has
been made available for this purpose.
6. Economic. In the economic field United States
Government operations in the period since our last report have resulted
in a number of measures adding up to a more positive approach toward
Latin American aspirations for a greater United States contribution to
their economic development. These measures included:
- a.
-
Inter-American Regional Development Institution — The
United States re-examined its position with respect to U.S.
participation in the establishment of a special regional
lending institution to help finance Latin American economic
development which had long been an objective of the Latin
American countries. Under the immediate impact of a decision
to support a regional Arab development institution as part
of the solution of this summer’s Middle East crisis, the
Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs announced on
August 12 to the Inter-American Economic and Social Council
(IA–ECOSOC) that the
United States is now prepared to consider the establishment
of an inter-American regional development institution which
would receive
[Page 42]
support from all its member countries.5 Following up on this announcement, the
United States took the lead at the September Foreign
Ministers Meeting in obtaining agreement that a specialized
committee of government representatives should be convened
by IA–ECOSOC in accordance
with resolution XVIII of the 1957 Buenos Aires economic
conference, and meet in continuous session until it
completes draft articles for the institution.6
This development, which was widely interpreted as a reversal
of United States policy and a “victory” for Latin America,
was generally well received in the other American Republics
although the ultimate reaction will depend much on the
lending policies of the bank, the role of the Latin
Americans in determining them, and the extent of United
States as well as Latin American contributions to its
resources.
- b.
-
Common Market—Following a UN
Economic Commission on Latin America (ECLA)-sponsored meeting in
Santiago, Chile, in February,7 which proposed
the organization of a regional Latin American market, the
past months have brought renewed indications of interest in
a general common market as well as in establishing smaller,
regional common markets in Latin America.
The Central American republics signed subject to ratification
by national parliaments a multilateral free trade agreement
at the close of the 5th Session of the Central American
Economic Cooperation Committee, June 4–10, at
Tegucigalpa.8 Colombia, Ecuador and Venezuela have
established commissions to propose plans for the promotion
of mutually beneficial trade among the three countries
including possibly forming a regional common market.
In response to these signs of increased interest in Latin
American regional markets, the United States played a more
sympathetic role in encouraging their development and
subscribed to the final communiqué of the September Foreign
Ministers Meeting which provides for the submission of a
report by the Inter-American Economic and Social Council
(IA–ECOSOC) on regional
common markets not later than the Eleventh Inter-American
Conference scheduled to be held in Quito late in 1959. The
United States also made known that it was prepared to assist
financially in the establishment of sound industries,
through
[Page 43]
appropriate
agencies, under suitable conditions, with a view to
promoting enjoyment of the benefits of regional markets
through public and private investment.
- c.
-
Commodity Agreements—After prolonged negotiations under the
auspices of the Coffee Study Group failed to bring an
agreement on joint marketing controls binding both Latin
American and African coffee producing countries, the Latin
American producers signed a new inter-American producers
agreement on September 27, 1958 to replace the Mexico City
agreement which expired on September 30, 1958. The new
agreement is based on retention of a fixed percentage of
production, as was the Mexico City arrangement, with
quantities varying from 5% for small exporters to 40% in the
case of Brazil. The agreement was signed on September 27 by
representatives of all 15 producing countries of this
hemisphere, whereas last year’s agreement had only seven
signatories. These countries provide about 80% of the world
exportable supply of coffee.
African producers, with the exception of the British colonies
and Ethiopia, were prepared to join an agreement
establishing specific export quotas for each signatory, but
were unwilling to agree to a retention formula. Brazil
refused to accept a fixed export quota, and the other Latin
American producers were obliged, because of Brazil’s
preponderance in the market, to follow her lead.
The Coffee Study Group is continuing its consideration of the
long-range problem of developing a better balance between
supply and demand.
- d.
-
Loans Extended to Latin America—As of September 30, 1958,
the Development Loan Fund had approved in all six loans
totaling $11.6 million for projects in Brazil, Honduras and
Paraguay, and has under consideration loan applications
totaling $65.7 million. There has not been time as yet for
disbursements.
The Export-Import Bank, 37% of whose outstanding loans are in
the Latin American area, approved loans amounting to $261
million in the six months ending September 30, 1958. Loan
disbursements less repayments on principal for the six
months ending September 30 were $184.5 million. Undisbursed
commitments amounted to $644.5 million on September 30,
1958.
In the same period the International Bank for Reconstruction
and Development approved loans amounting to $61.1 million.
The net disbursements made by IBRD for the period were $25.3 million.
Undisbursed commitments amounted to $177.8 million on Sept.
30, 1958.
The International Monetary Fund authorized drawings of $85
million to Latin America during the six months ending
September 30, 1958. Drawings less repayments amounted to $39
million.
- e.
- Increase in Lending Authority Public Law 85–424, which
increased the lending authority of the Export-Import Bank by $2
billion
[Page 44]
to $7 billion,
was approved May 22, 1958.9 As of September 30, 1958 the uncommitted lending
authority of the Bank amounted to $2.2 billion.
- f.
-
Increase in Resources of International Monetary Fund and
International Bank for Reconstruction and Development—At the
request of the President, the Secretary of the Treasury10 in his
capacity as United States Governor of the International Bank
and International Monetary Fund proposed at the October
annual meetings of the Fund and Bank at New Delhi prompt
consideration by the Executive Director of the advisability
of a general increase in Fund quotas, and an increase in the
authorized capital of the Bank. The U.S. resolutions calling
for such consideration by the Executive Directors were
adopted unanimously.11 Member governments of the
IBRD were invited to
exchange views informally with the United States on the
subject of the proposed International Development
Association. It was indicated that further action by the
United States would depend on the tenor of the views
expressed by interested governments and on the results of
additional study within the U.S. Government.12
Note: Additional loans authorized
since September 30, 1958 amounted to $2.6 million from the
DLF; $86 million from
the IBRD; and $1.3 million
from the IMF.
- g.
- Amendment to Tax Regulations—The Treasury has initiated an
amendment of tax regulations so that the allocation of profits
between domestic and foreign sources may proceed on a basis
other than the formula now in the regulations if this would
“more clearly reflect proper source of income”. First urged by
Costa Rica and the United Fruit Company, the change in
regulations would apply where there is no independent price for
a commodity produced in one country and sold in another. Under
the new regulations, a taxpayer may present its case for
allocating a larger share of profits to its foreign operations
than heretofore. If the United Fruit case is persuasive,
financial benefits would accrue to it and to countries abroad in
which it operates. This could be interpreted as a demonstration
of the United States’ desire to promote the wellbeing of the
countries affected.
- h.
- Master Program Book—A programming process has been developed
by ICA, with the approval of the
Department of State, for the FY
1960 submission for the Mutual Security Program which represents
[Page 45]
a basic innovation
for Latin American USOMs. A Master Program Book for each country
has been developed which, in the context of over-all U.S.
policies and objectives identifies problems and conditions in
the field of economic development which face these objectives,
and then activities which address the problem and conditions.
The Master Program Book is conceived as a country team effort
periodically to examine in each country the requirements for,
and availability of, resources from all sources (local, foreign
and U.S. resources, both public and private, and among U.S.
resources, non-MSP as well as
MSP) to deal with those
problems in a country which must be solved if U.S. objectives in
relation to that country are to be achieved. It is not intended
to modify the project approach for assistance to Latin
America.
- i.
-
Shift in Argentine Petroleum Policy—A noteworthy
development with reference to the sustained United States
policy of not making public funds available for development
projects for which private capital is available on equitable
terms, was the Argentine Government’s action in negotiating
with United States oil companies and other private firms
with the result that on July 24, modifying Argentina’s
opposition to investment of private foreign capital to
develop its oil resources, President Frondizi announced
agreements with foreign private companies, involving nearly
$1 billion of foreign capital in the development of the
petroleum industry. Most of these agreements were not
definite contracts but require further steps to reach
definite implementation. They involve United States
interests (about $900 million) and West German and Belgian
companies. In addition Soviet Russia has offered and
Argentina accepted on October 27 for future delivery
petroleum equipment valued at 400 million rubles (officially
$100 million), to be repaid by Argentine products.
The Argentine announcement on petroleum development had an
appreciable impact on Brazil’s thinking on its nationalistic
economic policy. Fears of Argentine predominance in the
region were expressed. The Brazilian Government, still
unwilling openly to face a modification, again raised with
Secretary Dulles the
possibility of U.S. Government financing for Brazilian
petroleum development. However, a public opinion poll in
Brazil showed 31.9% of 16,737 replies in favor of joint
exploration by Petrobras and national and foreign interests;
20.4% in favor of Petrobras and Brazilian private interests only;
and only 11.3% in favor of Petrobras only. Nonetheless, the elements which
have traditionally supported Petrobras have reiterated their intention to
support the national oil monopoly.
7. Information, Educational and Cultural
Activities—Among information, educational and cultural
activities, the major developments were the appropriation by the
Congress of an additional $2 million for Educational Exchange Activities
and the approval by the Operations
[Page 46]
Coordinating Board (OCB) of a special
Student Program for Latin America. The aim of this program is to improve
the attitude of the Latin American students toward the people and
policies of the United States, and in a relatively short time to
influence them to support friendly relations between their countries and
the United States. The university students were made the subjects of
this intensive program of pro-United States orientation because the
students are taking not only an active and direct role in political
affairs but also provide a key element of the increasingly numerous and
influential intellectual groups in Latin America. The planned
expenditure of the student program was a minimum total of $7,328,837 and
a maximum of $11,495,307 in FY 1959. This
included the additional appropriation of $2,000,000 mentioned above. In
addition, the Department of Defense plans to spend a total of
$13,764,200 in FY 1959 for its Latin
American training program.
8. Student Program—Salient features of the Student
program include:
- a.
- Seminars for Latin American students on U.S. and Puerto Rican
campuses.
- b.
- Sending U.S. students to Latin American universities.
- c.
- Increasing the grants for the exchange of U.S. and Latin
American professors.
- d.
- The encouragement of Puerto Rico to increase exchanges of
students and professors with the Latin American
countries.
- e.
- Extension of Binational Center activities onto university
campuses, including the establishment of new branch centers
where these are deemed essential.
- f.
- Increasing the variety and number of U.S.-authorized textbooks
available to Latin American university students in key
subjects.
- g.
- Selected assistance in the improvement of plant and equipment
of Latin American universities subject to approval under ICA programming.
Detailed planning for the use of $2 million appropriation and
implementation of the special student program has been completed. Some
projects are already under way. Additional projects are being considered
by a subcommittee of the Latin American Working Group.
9. Military—The United States has continued
efforts to develop current and future U.S. military programs in Latin
America in consonance with national policy and objectives. The immediate
objective continues to be to gain and maintain the acceptance and
understanding by the Latin American countries of the role that the U.S.
visualizes for them in the defense of the Western Hemisphere.
- a.
- Review of Military Plans—The Joint Chiefs of Staff reviewed
bilateral military plans with Latin American countries taking into
account the latest U.S. national policy. Proposed revisions to the
plans serve to emphasize the role of the Latin American military
establishment
[Page 47]
in
contributing to Western Hemisphere defense, through the defense of
the coastal waters, ports, and approaches thereto, bases, strategic
areas and installations located within each nation’s own territory,
and routes of communications associated therewith, and to remove
provisions which commit certain forces to the sole task of assisting
in the protection of the Panama Canal.
- b.
- Military Rights in the Latin American Area—Military discussions
with Brazil arising from the Fernando de Noronha Agreement have
continued within the Joint Brazil–United States Defense Commission.
On July 18, 1958, the United States offered to Brazil military
equipment valued at $87.5 million. This proposal, which was
proffered in the expectation of providing final settlement of
Article 6 of the Noronha Agreement, received general (unofficial)
approval by Brazilian Air Force and Navy authorities, but was not
fully satisfactory to the Brazilian Army. The Brazilians accepted
the offer and the Fernando de Noronha negotiations can now be
concluded.
No progress has been made with respect to U.S. proposals to revise the
Mexico–United States Defense Plan, to reflect U.S. requirements in the
area of Air Defense operations, rights and agreements. Realizing the
requirement for greater security measures in the Mexican-United States
border area, the reluctance of Mexico to discuss mutual security matters
in the joint Mexico–U.S. Defense Commission is a subject of much concern
to U.S. military agencies.
10. The Overseas Internal Security Program (OISP)—Little progress was made
during the reporting period on the implementation of the courses of
action listed in the OISP Annex to the
Latin American Operations Plan, dated January 17, 1958, except in Brazil
and Bolivia. While an organization has been established in Guatemala to
combat communism, it is too early to judge its effectiveness. In Chile
no further action was taken pending the fall elections and the
installation of a new government. In Brazil the National Intelligence
Agency referred to in the OISP Annex
has been established though it is not yet effective. Also in Brazil a
new program ($124,000) has been proposed for consideration but no
further action was taken with respect to the traffic survey for Sao
Paulo or the other proposals. In the general field of internal security,
surveys were initiated in Ecuador, Panama and Costa Rica but programs
have not yet been agreed upon. A decision by the Director of ICA,13 not yet
reviewed by other agencies, to restrict the supply of equipment under
the OISP program for demonstration and
training purposes (subject to exceptions under special conditions)
[Page 48]
has implications for current
programs which contemplate a grant of equipment.14
Annex B
MAJOR OPERATING PROBLEMS AND DIFFICULTIES FACING THE UNITED
STATES
11. The six months since our last report have brought further
illustrations of the basic economic, political, psychological and other
problems which affect the attainment of U.S. operational goals in Latin
America. The magnitude of these problems, the principal of which are
summarized below, should dispel any expectation that the steps recently
initiated by the United States will of themselves provide quick
solutions to the deep-seated maladjustments of the area.
12. Political and Economic Aspirations. Since the
close of World War II, the Latin Americas, in common with peoples of
other underdeveloped areas, have increasingly aspired to higher living
standards, industrialization and other symbols of economic development,
greater popular participation in government, and greater civil
liberties. These popular aspirations for a better life are a natural
consequence of urbanization and improvements in communications and
education which have made Latin Americans increasingly aware of the
standards achieved by the industrialized nations. They have been greatly
accelerated by the practice of local political leaders as well as by
communist propaganda of presenting these aspirations of the public as
achievable goals. The area’s rising aspirations are also to some extent
the product of idealism stimulated by two World Wars which accentuated
the rights of individuals to freedom and participation in government and
the rights of nations to freedom from external political and economic
domination. However, in Latin America—as also in other areas— these
aspirations have increased a great deal more quickly than the practical
possibilities of attaining them as quickly as desired. Even if the Latin
American countries should develop the unity and self-discipline
necessary to make the most of the resources, and even if these are
supplemented by resources from abroad, a gap will continue to exist
between their aspirations and accomplishments.
13. In the resulting frustration, Latin Americans have inevitably become
more sensitive to the actions of the United States, tending to judge
everything that does not in their eyes contribute sufficiently to the
achievement of these aspirations as obstructionism. Underlying
[Page 49]
these frustrations is a concept
held by large segments of Latin American opinion that the United
States—rather than the Latin American peoples and governments
themselves—is primarily responsible for the solution of Latin American
economic and political problems. Since the United States Government has
no practical way either of deflating ambitions which are not immediately
achievable or of fully satisfying them, its pronouncements and policies
have sought both to encourage the Latin Americans to accept
responsibility for their own economic development while at the same time
accentuating U.S. willingness to assist in the process by providing
technical and other assistance to Latin America. In practice, it has
been extremely difficult to strike a balance between these two
components. Experience has shown that Latin Americans frequently react
negatively to exhortations from the United States to put their houses in
order, especially when made in public, yet external pressure from the
United States and international lending agencies has made an important
contribution to such development of sound fiscal and economic policies
as has been recently made in the area. Similarly, Latin American
responses to announcement of U.S. economic policies have fluctuated
between exaggerated expectations of large-scale U.S. underwriting of the
area’s modernization to hyper-critical condemnation of the United States
disregard for Latin American needs. In this atmosphere, we have not
found—and it may not be possible to find—an approach which will entirely
meet the problem of identifying the United States satisfactorily as a
wholly constructive force in the area.
14. Major Economic Problems. A series of adverse
economic developments have sharpened Latin American discontent with the
state of their economies. Taken together these developments represent a
decline in the area’s rate of economic growth at a time when the
population is rapidly expanding.
- a.
- Balance of Payments and Inflation. Latin
America’s export difficulties, coupled with rising demands for
imports, have produced sizeable unfavorable trade balances, and
inflationary pressures have contributed heavily to this situation in
much of the area. Between 1950–1957 the area’s exports of goods and
services rose by 22.9% while its imports—stimulated by population
increases and industrialization as well as by inflationary fiscal
policies—of these items rose 56.5%, measured in 1950 prices. The
United States, aided considerably by the International Monetary Fund
(IMF), has made substantial effort to encourage Latin American
governments to confront more courageously their fiscal and balance
of payments problems. It has also given considerable material
assistance, some 42% of the Eximbank’s disbursements since 1953
having consisted of credits designed to give general support to
import requirements of the countries concerned from the United
States and thus aiding the difficult balance
[Page 50]
of payment problems. However, under domestic
political pressures (especially reluctance to hold down wages and
thus to oppose aspirations for higher living standards), many Latin
American governments have shown timidity about taking measures to
check inflation and inability or unwillingness to institute sound
fiscal and economic policies. The Bolivian and Chilean stabilization
programs are running into serious troubles and inflation has been
continuing, especially in Argentina and Brazil.
- b.
- Commodity Problems. Seventy-three per cent
of Latin America’s exports consist of petroleum, coffee, sugar,
non-ferrous metals, cotton, grains, bananas, and wool, and the area
depends principally on these to finance imported items for current
consumption and economic development. In general, world market
conditions in 1957–58 have not been favorable for these products,
although the economic upturn in the United States has recently been
reflected in increased prices. In some cases, action taken by the
United States in protection of its own producers or processing
industries have appeared to Latin Americans to add further injury to
a difficult situation. Petroleum, 26% of
Latin America’s foreign earnings, is the only major export of Latin
America which has enjoyed relatively stable prices, but discontent
about U.S. voluntary import restrictions on petroleum is
contributing to demands for a much larger Government share in
profits of the oil industry. In the case of coffee, 20% of Latin America’s exports, mid-1958 reports
indicate increasing coffee surpluses due to anticipated
significantly higher production in the next two years with no
foreseeable parallel increase in exports or consumption. The
Inter-American Producer’s Agreement, which the United States helped
to work out (see Para. 6. c, Annex A above) may serve to bolster
prices for another year, but no fundamental attack has yet been made
on the problem of oversupply. In the case of non-ferrous metals (7%), copper is currently recovering
from a 1957–58 depression in prices but market fluctuations have
been a persisting source of dissatisfaction. On July 1, the United
States again imposed a 1.7 cents per pound tax on copper imports,
which had been suspended for some years. In the case of lead and
zinc, whose prices have declined, the United States, on September
22, imposed quotas limiting imports to 80% of average. The economic
effects will be felt principally by Bolivia, Mexico, and Peru. In
the latter, particularly, public and official reaction was markedly
anti-U.S. In the case of tin, Soviet dumping in 1957–1958 added to
the softening of the market following the suspension of U.S.
stockpiling and brought a sharp decline in prices which threatened
to undermine Bolivia’s economy and stabilization program. In the
case of wool (2%), Uruguay, partially due to
its own exchange practices, faced difficulties in marketing wool in
the Free World and turned to the Soviet Bloc to dispose of its
surplus. The countervailing duties on wool tops imposed by the
[Page 51]
United States in 1953
continued to be a political issue despite the fact that the United
States offered to remove this duty at any time that Uruguay could
show that their exchange practices did not have the effect of
subsidizing these exports. In the case of cotton (4%) and grains (3%), world
market conditions have not improved and there is some tendency to
blame United States sales of agricultural surpluses.
- c.
-
Capital Movement. The annual gross flow
of foreign capital—official and private—into Latin America has
risen markedly in recent years from $1,610 million in 1956 to
$2,167 million in 1957, while the net flow rose from $1,040
million to $1,587 million in the same period. A large share has
been channeled into the extractive industries, especially
Venezuelan oil, which accounted for about one-third of the 1957
total. Excluding Venezuela from both gross and net figures, the
United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America (ECLA) estimated a net capital
inflow of $826 million for 1957. These figures include private
direct investment, medium-term private credit, and short-term
credit, as well as official loans and grants. Of course, all of
this flow does not directly finance new productive investment.
In many countries the climate for private U.S. investment
remains unfavorable, although, as indicated elsewhere in this
Report, there were some signs of improvement in Argentina.
The Development Loan Fund (DLF)
has not made a significant contribution to the area’s
requirements for capital assistance. As of October 3, 1958,
$11.6 million had been approved for six projects in three
countries (see Para. 6. d. above). Forty-seven per cent of all
loan applications withdrawn from consideration by DLF were applications from Latin
America and only 4% of the loan applications under consideration
by the Fund were from that area. The reasons for the small
amount being loaned by the DLF
to Latin America are complex, involving, inter alia, the fact
that relatively few documented applications have been presented
from Latin America, the lack of soundness of many of these
applications, the availability of funds from other private and
public sources, and the relative priorities assigned the other
areas for the available funds. But the fact remains that the
DLF has not developed into
an important instrument to meet Latin American economic
problems. In the same period, $149 million in DLF loans were approved for South
Asia, $48 million for the Far East, and $22 million for Africa,
although account should be taken of the fact that Eximbank has
concentrated on Latin America.
- d.
- Rates of Economic Growth. During the
immediate post-war years, under the impetus of strong foreign demand
for the area’s products and the expenditure of wartime savings,
Latin America achieved a significant rate of economic growth. From
1945 to 1950, the annual increase in per capita gross national
product averaged about 2.5%, measured in 1950 prices. In 1956–57,
the comparable figure
[Page 52]
declined to 2.1%. Moreover, many of the countries and large segments
of the population were untouched by these advances, which were
unevenly distributed. The higher rates of growth in Cuba, Mexico,
and Venezuela had an important effect of raising the overall average
in both periods. There were also wide fluctuations in rates of
progress (1952–3 and 1956 were years of stagnation) due principally
to fluctuations in the markets for Latin American exports.
Agricultural production for the area as a whole has barely kept pace
with population growth. It appears that there has been little or no
growth in the real earnings of unskilled urban workers, even in some
countries where the gross national product has risen substantially.
Such factors, while necessarily giving a superficial impression of
an extremely varied and complex situation in 20 countries, lie at
the root of Latin America’s feeling that it is not making
satisfactory progress.
- e.
- Problems Connected with Setting up Priorities,
Determining Sources of Loans and Preparing Projects. The
large number of public international and U.S. lending institutions,
with differing criteria and requirements for economic data, has
somewhat bewildered the Latin American governments as to which is
the proper institution to apply for what project. These governments
also find it difficult to collect and present the necessary economic
data and to establish an orderly system of priorities for projects
which they have tentatively examined but have not taken concrete
form. These two difficulties bear a share of responsibility for the
failure of Latin American governments generally to make fully
effective call on funds available for loans. In order to overcome
these difficulties some governments have engaged the services of
U.S. private consultants and/or have made attempts at establishing
centralized economic planning bodies. However, these solutions have
nowhere been fully effective and there is no centralized point in
any Latin American capital in which the process of developing
projects, particularly the public sector, and establishing
priorities can be coordinated with the activities of the U.S.
Government and international lending institutions.
- f.
- Problem of Coordination. Latin American
countries continued to have difficulties with the problem of
coordinating borrowing of the dollar component and local currency
component of project loans. The local currency component is of
particular importance in some Latin American countries because
imbalance, inflation and other problems restrict their ability to
mobilize the local currency necessary to undertake projects in the
public sector even when the foreign exchange component may be
available from U.S. or international lending institutions.
Consequently such countries are not in a position to initiate sound
applications for projects which might otherwise make a contribution
to economic development.
[Page 53]
15. Political Instability. Political instability
continued to be a cause as well as a symptom of lack of fully
satisfactory progress toward economic development and the establishment
of representative governments. Since the last Report, Cuba has continued to be torn with domestic strife and, at
this writing, there appears to be little prospect of orderly transition
from the presidency of General Batista to a freely elected and stable government. In
Bolivia and Haiti
there have been active attempts to overthrow the elected governments. In
Venezuela two abortive coups by military
elements against the Junta which succeeded the dictatorship of General
Marcos Perez Jimenez
complicated the process of establishing an elected, representative
government in elections scheduled for December, and gave further scope
for the Communists who took full advantage of the situation to increase
their influence rapidly. In Argentina, Guatemala,
and Panama continuous intrigue and rumors of
plotting reflected less than satisfactory progress toward
constitutionality and stable governments. In Mexico, where the election of Adolfo Lopez Mateos to succeed President Ruiz Cortinez
took place without event,15 the
late summer was marred by politically-motivated strikes and riots
through which dissident elements, including Communists, sought to impose
extra-legal pressures on government policies.
In many of these countries, political instability has probably been a
significant factor in the recorded slowing down of the flow of domestic
and foreign private capital into developmental channels in recent
months. This fact again illustrates that stable and orderly governments,
responsive to the aspirations of their peoples, are among the most
important prerequisites to progress toward meeting Latin American
aspiration for more rapid economic progress.
In contrast, the election of Jorge
Alessandri, the pro-American, free enterprise candidate
as President of Chile,16 and the inauguration of Alberto Lleras Camargo as President of Colombia,17 represent solid
advances, although each faced formidable economic and political
problems. Earlier in 1958, some progress had also been made in
Argentina, Venezuela, and Honduras toward the development of
institutional and free governments; and, taken altogether, the trend of
the movement in Latin America is away from governments based on de facto
alliances between the military and a narrow segment of wealthy
[Page 54]
agricultural elements toward
governments more responsive to the emerging urban middle classes and the
increasingly influential and articulate intellectual elements.
16. Problems of Non-Intervention. For the past
quarter century, in Latin America forcible changes in governments have
characteristically been brought about by swift coups d’état in the
capital city or by relatively short-lived revolutions. Consequently,
apart from ad hoc measures for the protection of American lives and
property, the United States has been able to deal with the situation
within the framework of the inter-American system. However, the
inter-American system has no adequate provision for dealing with
situations in which central governments are not in control of the
national territory. This was illustrated in Cuba by the “26 of July”
rebel movement of Fidel Castro
which last summer gained effective control of the countryside in the
eastern part of the island. In June the rebels kidnapped 47 American
citizens and have since presented a continued threat to U.S. personnel
and property. Although the release of the Americans kidnaped was brought
about by various pressures, the case illuminated the difficulties of
dealing with this guerrilla-type activity—reminiscent of the days of
Pancho Villa—with the techniques and policies which have been primarily
developed in the context of dealing with or through governments in
effective control of their national territories.
17. Misunderstandings of the United States, its
policies and objectives also continued to be a major impediment to the
realization of United States goals in Latin America. This serves to
underline the need for U.S. Government agencies to contribute to a
coordinated and vigorous explanation of what the United States’ aims are
in the area and of what it expects the Latin Americans to contribute to
the solution of the individual and common problems of the nations of the
area.
A review of the misunderstandings of which a few major instances are
sketched below, indicated that appearances were involved fully as much
as reality. The actions and aims of the United States were sometimes willfully distorted by the opposition to the
United States, but in other cases our failure to win understanding and
support of the Latin Americans was due to our not being sufficiently
mindful of Latin American interests, emotional prejudices and
sensitivities to assess fully in advance how our actions would be
received. In other words, the U.S. problem was not only to be good but
also to look good.
- a.
-
The United States Supports Dictatorships in
Latin America. This charge has a disturbing acceptance
in Latin America especially among the articulate elements. It is
particularly difficult to deal with, because (1) it is illogical
in the sense that these same elements strongly hold to the view
that the United States should abide by its non-intervention
commitments and would strongly resent U.S. interference in
internal
[Page 55]
affairs, and
(2) it disregards both the U.S. record of combatting Nazi and
Communist dictatorships and of giving material and moral support
to popularly based governments in Latin America. Nonetheless,
some of those opposed to dictatorships in Latin America feel
that the entire pattern of U.S. relationships with authoritarian
regimes indicates support for dictatorships. Among specific
actions singled out as evidence of support are U.S. aid,
particularly military training and assistance, to authoritarian
regimes and personal attention given to dictators by the United
States. Although Latin American governments of all kinds often
themselves take actions which could be equally interpreted as
support of dictatorships, Latin American opinion does not attach
as much significance to them as to the actions of the United
States which in this field, as in others, provoke intense
reactions because of this country’s enormous power and influence
in comparison to any Latin American country. Maintaining the
proper balance of emphasis between observance of the
non-intervention policy and taking appropriate occasions to
identify the United States with Latin America’s aspirations for
greater democracy is likely to remain a problem for United
States policy for some time.
Some measures have been taken to clarify for Latin American
opinion our support of the current emergence of more democratic
regimes. The statement of President Eisenhower, on the occasion of the presentation
of the credentials of new Venezuelan Ambassador expressing the
United States’ good wishes for the establishment of an elected
government in Venezuela was well received in Latin America and
contributed toward dispelling this misunderstanding. More
positive actions of this kind are desirable as and when
appropriate occasions arise.
- b.
- The United States neglects Latin America
while concentrating its attention and resources on Europe, the
Middle East and Asia, remains a persistent complaint of Latin
Americans only partially softened by the recent attention devoted to
Latin America by the highest leaders of the U.S. Government (see
Annex A, Para. 6, above). Despite such increased attention, however,
the United States is likely to be subject to this criticism so long
as the entire U.S. Government aid to Latin America remains a small
proportion of the total that the United States extends to foreign
countries.
- c.
- The United States has unlimited resources
is also a concept which is tenaciously held in the area, leading
Latin Americans to conclude that the United States “failure” to
solve their problems of economic and social development is the
result of American indifference or malevolence. Although some
thoughtful Latin Americans have an intellectual grasp of the burdens
imposed on United States resources by defense and foreign aid, many
are unable to comprehend why the United States cannot, if it only
would, devote an effort to Latin
[Page 56]
America of the scope of the Marshall Plan in
Europe or of our aid programs in Asia in recent years. At the same
time, it is not in the interest of the United States to admit to
economic limitations in such a way as to give the impression that
the United States is less able or willing to assist with their
problems than, for example, the Soviet Union.
- d.
- Prices paid for Latin American commodities are
fixed at low levels by the United States Government and/or large
American corporations is another widespread misconception
among Latin Americans, who also believe that the United States and
American companies set artificially high prices on manufactured
goods exported to Latin America.
The correction of these misunderstandings and misconceptions must remain
a high-priority project for leading officials of the Government in their
public pronouncements and actions and private contacts, as well as a
continuing objective of the agencies of the Government concerned with
the dissemination of information about the United States which will
reach Latin American audiences.
Underlying these assumptions, it will be noted, is a concept held by
large segments of Latin American opinion that the United States— rather
than the Latin American peoples and governments themselves—is primarily
responsible for the solution of Latin American economic and political
problems. A correction of this concept—probably involving a more
forthright assertion of the primary responsibilities of Latin American
governments for their own welfare and of the necessarily limited manner
in which we can help—has been accepted as a target by all agencies
concerned.
18. Labor. Since the last Report on Latin America
was prepared economic conditions of workers have continued to
deteriorate through inflationary developments as well as unemployment
caused by market weakness for basic Latin American export products. This
and intensified exploitation thereof by leftist elements have resulted
in discontent which has flared in numerous strikes and demonstrations,
the most pronounced of which were in Mexico where pro-Communist leaders
have been able to win an election in the important railway workers’
union. In Argentina the Peronistas seem destined to control the entire
labor movement by virtue of a newly adopted labor law permitting only
one registered union in each industry. In Venezuela the non-Communist
trade unions have accepted the cooperation of Communists, considering
that for the present the threat of dictatorship is greater to democracy
and individual freedom than the Communists. The recent repeal of the Law
for the Defense of Democracy in Chile gave greater scope for overt
Communist actions and unless this trend is checked in the forthcoming
Alessandri administration, Communism may exert greater influence over
Chilean labor.
[Page 57]
19. Soviet Bloc Activities. Although actual Soviet
Bloc trade with Latin America continued to decline (down 24% in value
for the first six months of 1958 as contrasted with 1957), the Communist
Bloc continued to step up its political and propaganda emphasis on its
economic and cultural offensive in Latin America and a number of new
offers were made which may result in a future increase of Bloc trade
with the area.
In a characteristic maneuver, the Soviets—discovering that they were
buying Uruguayan wool on the Netherlands market—transferred their buying
operations directly to Montevideo and, while actually purchasing less
wool, made substantial political capital by presenting themselves as
saviors of Uruguay from the vagaries of the capitalist market while at
the same time bringing pressure on Uruguay to import from the Communist
Bloc.
In the information and cultural field—through such measures as arranging
Latin American tours of the Bolshoi Ballet, Moscow’s “Dynamo” football
team, and a large Chinese Communist acrobatic team—the Communist
countries have sought to gain added prestige in Latin American opinion
and to diminish the significance of Latin America’s traditional cultural
ties with and dependence on the United States and Western Europe.
Sino-Soviet Bloc radio broadcasting and publications activities have
also increased. United States programs to expose and counter the
Communist offensive require more coordinated and continuing attention by
the agencies concerned.
20. Communist Party Activities. With the
assistance of the Communist Bloc’s economic and cultural offensive,
local Communist parties in Latin America have assiduously devoted their
efforts to the primary aim of disrupting Latin America’s traditional
friendly ties with the United States. In general, they—like the
Communist parties in Asia, the Middle East, and certain parts of
Europe—have tended to suppress revolutionary Communist aims and
emphasized collaboration with nationalist, left-wing socialist and,
indeed, any elements which might be expected to oppose United States
influence. While Communist leaders in Latin America retain the Communist
control of the state apparatus as their ultimate aim, they have
increasingly in 1958 focused on the development in Latin America of
“neutralist” governments on the model of Nasser’s Egypt, Nehru’s India,
or Sukarno’s Indonesia as the immediate and more achievable aim of
Communist tactics.
In Venezuela, profiting from their association with the overthrow of the
Perez Jimenez regime, the Communists have in recent months sought with
disturbing success to insinuate themselves as full partners in the
successor “democratic” coalition and to influence that coalition into
anti-American channels. In the Chilean presidential election, the
Communists made common cause with the Socialists and gave their
[Page 58]
full support, suppressing
Communist revolutionary objectives, to Senator Salvador Allende in the unrealized hopes
of bringing to power an anti-American “neutralist” government there. In
such varied countries as Brazil and Guatemala, Communists have aligned
themselves with nationalist elements of the far right as well as of the
left in order to limit the capability of local governments to pursue
policies of firm support of the United States and to tempt them to adopt
a neutral position in world politics.
21. United States Government Operations. From the
U.S. viewpoint current Communist tactics pose a number of difficult
problems. As a result of their suppression of their objective of
forcible overthrow of non-Communist governments and their current
emphasis on “parliamentary” tactics, Communists in a number of areas in
Latin America were gaining increasing acceptability as “legitimate”
political parties and their close alignment with non-Communist
nationalist elements has met with a sympathetic response.
One result has been that the United States Overseas Internal Security
Program (OISP) has not generally gained
the interest and support of the Latin American governments which, with
the exception of Bolivia, did not feel sufficiently threatened by
Communism to overcome local political problems inherent in establishing
new security organs. There were, for example, indications that some of
the legally constituted law enforcement and military bodies, as well as
the non-Communist opposition, resented and feared the introduction of
new security agencies designed to combat Communist subversion, fearing
they would be used (as they have in some cases) as political weapons
under the control of the existing governments primarily directed at the
political opposition as such, and function to the detriment of existing
security organs. In Brazil, lack of high-level government interest in
combatting Communist infiltration has retarded the development of the
program. In Chile, President Ibanez’ recent decision to accede to the
repeal of the Law for the Defense of Democracy, thereby re-legalizing
the Communists’ activities, underscored the limitations on United States
efforts to assist in the control of Communist subversive activities. In
Peru, the hesitancy of the Government with respect to pushing effective
legislation to control Communist activities and the inactivity of three
successive Ministers of the Interior with respect to implementing
recommendations of a U.S. survey of the internal security situation
reflected the low priority given to anti-Communist measures.
It has thus become increasingly apparent that, if the United States hopes
for success in aiding Latin American governments to combat internal
Communist subversion, there must be greater public and governmental
awareness of the nature and immediate objectives of current Communist
tactics. To assist in their process, there has recently
[Page 59]
been instituted among the government
agencies immediately concerned a special Task Force charged with the
exposure, [less than 1 line of source text not
declassified] of Communist activities as they relate to Latin
America. To the extent that it is successful in bringing about a greater
awareness of Communist operations in Latin America and of their
conformity to Soviet objectives, it should prove easier to encourage
Latin American governments to take a firmer stand against Communist
activities in their countries.
22. Military Problems
- a.
- Inter-American Military Relations. Despite
U.S. efforts to influence Latin American countries to limit the size
and types of their military forces, there is a continuing problem of
resistance on the part of Latin American countries to suggestions
that they design and employ their military forces in consonance with
the roles and missions of maintaining their own internal security,
and furnishing a contribution to Western Hemisphere defense through
defense of coastal waters, ports, and approaches thereto, bases,
strategic areas, and installations located within each nation’s own
territory, and routes of communication associated therewith.
Relations with Cuba have been rendered particularly difficult by the
U.S. Government’s decision to suspend U.S. arms shipments to Cuba,
some of which have already been paid for. Additionally, this action
has prompted the Government of Cuba to purchase arms from other Free
World countries, notably the United Kingdom. In the Dominican
Republic, following the failure of General Rafael Trujillo, Jr. to complete
successfully the course at the U.S. Staff and Command School at Ft.
Leavenworth, the scope and effectiveness of the U.S. Military
Program was subjected to increased criticism in the Dominican
Republic. The future of this program is unresolved, and US/Dominican
Republic relations are strained.
- b.
- Latin American Interest in Excessive Military
Equipment. It continues to be the general policy of the
United States to discourage Latin American countries from acquiring
military equipment through either grant or sale programs, which is
not suited to the objectives envisaged in U.S. national policy and
current strategic concepts. Despite the constant U.S. efforts in
this vein, it can be expected that the desires of Latin American
countries for such equipment will continue, as will their
procurement from non-U.S. sources, principally Western
Europe.
- c.
- Presidential Determination. Under an
amendment to the Mutual Security Act (Section 105(b)(4)) proposed by
Senator Morse, it has become
necessary for the President annually to make a determination that
the mission of Latin American forces assisted by the United States
is important to the defense of the hemisphere and that U.S. military
assistance is required to enable them to fulfill this mission.
Documentation for the Presidential determination is now under
preparation.
- d.
- Military Programming. Starting with fiscal
years 1959 and 1960, increased emphasis is being placed in
programming for military assistance to Latin America on developing
anti-submarine warfare capabilities. In this connection a ship loan
bill passed by the 85th Congress would allow the transfer of up to
19 ships to Latin American countries to assist them in this aspect
of hemisphere defense.