Enclosure
Paper Prepared by the Chief of Naval Operations
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THE CHIEF OF NAVAL OPERATIONS’ VISION ON THE BASIC
NATIONAL POLICY—NSC 5810
Basic National Security Policies—as other statements of policies and
objectives—are frequently defined in such broad and ambiguous terms
that, although everybody can agree to the wording, the language
cannot serve as a guide in any specific case.
Our major difficulty in writing a National Security Policy is to
obtain specific language which will convey the same general thoughts
to those who must plan for, and execute the policy.
There are several different ways of losing Europe, the Middle East,
Asia and other areas; one of them being destruction of the United
States, another being by permitting any one of our allies to be
attacked by any communist country without immediately coming to our
allies’ aid; and another by permitting our allies to lose confidence
in our intentions, or our strength, or our willingness to help, or
our judgment; and as a result, accommodate themselves to
communism.
The main military elements of national strategy—now—are:
To reject the concept of preventive war or acts intended to
provoke war, while at the same time making it clear that we
are determined to oppose aggression despite risk of general
war.
To deter the Soviets from starting general nuclear war by
convincing them the United States has the nuclear power to
destroy Russia, and will do so if they initiate general
war.
To maintain the various United States nuclear retaliatory
forces in such deployment and posture that regardless of
what Russia does, even with a surprise attack, Russia will
be utterly destroyed by the retaliatory attacks.
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To build and maintain a defensive system for the continental
U.S. of sufficient size and effectiveness that our military
striking forces in the U.S. cannot be dealt a knock-out blow
by a Russian surprise attack and be sure that the Russians
are convinced that this is true.
To convince our allies that an overt military attack by
Russia on any one of our allies will automatically cause the
U.S. to unleash a nuclear retaliatory attack on Russia.
To maintain United States military forces of appropriate
types, adequate and ready to defeat or hold, with the help
of indigenous forces, local communist aggression in
undeveloped areas of the world.
To render direct economic and military assistance to allies
in order to build up recipient nation’s ability to
participate in its own defense.
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The Situation Now
The United States has had, for quite a few years, the assured nuclear
retaliatory capability to destroy Russia.
Russia probably is convinced she will be
destroyed if she attacks the United States in general war.
Russia on the other hand probably also is convinced she cannot
destroy U.S. retaliatory power, in a surprise attack, or by any
other means.
The United States does not find itself in a wholly satisfactory
international position at the present time. American prestige is not
as great as it has been in the past, our influence throughout the
world is lessening somewhat, our military and economic power does
not command the respect and admiration it once did.
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The Soviets and the other Communist States have lived under the
shadow of powerful United States nuclear retaliatory forces for a
decade—and have become accustomed to their existence, and yet—the
Communists have taken actions to expand their control over more
territory and more people of the world without let up.
Egypt and Syria are coming more and more under communist domination.
Nasser is in Russia being advised that the sure way of filling his
empty coffers is to seize all Middle East oil properties, a view he
may find attractive if he can figure how to do it—and the Soviets
will assist in the machinations to accomplish this end.
Indonesia is in a turmoil and the probability of this rich
undeveloped country coming under communist control is greater than
it was a year ago.
Should Indonesia go communist, Thailand, Laos and other Asian
countries may follow suit to accommodate themselves to what they may
consider the winning side.
Russia has made technical advances as well. The USSR has developed the capability to
wreak severe damage on the United States with nuclear weapons. She
has a large number of submarines. She has developed some ICBM capability. She was the first to
put a satellite in orbit.
The world was surprised at the technological advances made by Russia,
and probably credits the USSR with
capabilities greater than actually exist.
It is just recently that the world has come to place significance on
the USSR ability to severely
damage the United States with several weapons systems regardless of
the efforts we may make on our continental defense.
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People are now commencing to question our policies, or perhaps only
our relative superiority to the USSR, probably due to many factors, but certainly
including the continuing expansion of communism,
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the increasing
technical competence of the USSR,
and the means Russia now has to damage the United States.
The fact that, despite our great defensive efforts, the USSR can now inflict severe damage on
continental United States, apparently has shaken the confidence of
some of our allies that the United States will in fact make a
nuclear retaliatory attack on the USSR unless the immediate security of the United States
is jeopardized. They may believe that the fear in the United States
of the threat that we have not yet learned to live with stoically
will immobilize our will—and our power—at the crucial showdown. They
really question our national will to act as we say we intend to.
Others among our allies question our judgment on placing sole
reliance on massive nuclear retaliation to defeat aggression, of
launching headlong into a general nuclear war in retaliation of what
they may consider a “small aggression.” Especially is this
questioned when they visualize that the nation aggressed against is
not a near neighbor, nor is its opinion necessarily asked before
action is taken. These people are reported not to want to associate
themselves in alliances which may become involved in a general
nuclear war, automatically initiated to defend some other nation—and
a war to which they cannot contribute, will have little voice in the
control thereof, and, in their view, provide only their country as a
battleground to be devastated.
Probable Future Situations
The USSR, as she develops an ICBM and a submarine missile
capability, also may come to believe that the United States will not
actually launch retaliatory strikes unless United States security is
directly jeopardized. If she comes to
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believe this, the USSR can be expected to continuously
expose the United States to the threat of
severe destruction so as to keep the United States so pre-occupied
with preparing for general nuclear war that we will not take
appropriate action in time to stop the gradual expansion of
communist domination of other countries by other means. She can also
be expected to be very careful not to provide sufficient provocation
to the United States to launch our nuclear retaliatory forces.
Also, Russia may be expected to continue to exploit U.S. general war
posture in perpetrating fear among our allies that through nervous
anxiety the U.S. might itself set off the nuclear war either (1) as
an inappropriate response to little probes or (2) by accident.
The communists, by intrigue, subversion, political warfare, and
propaganda, will do their best to intensify any lack of confidence
of our allies, not only in our ability and willingness to conduct
general war in the protection of our allies, but also in our
willingness and skill to prevent nations from coming under communist
domination by less dramatic action.
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They will continue blackmail, sabotage, espionage, guerrilla warfare,
economic warfare, local civil insurrection, and all the other tricks
that they have used in the past, including limited war by proxy, to
conquer more countries.
The threat of massive nuclear retaliation will not stop these actions
in the future any more than it has in the past. Massive nuclear
striking power is important, but it is not the solution to all of
our problems, or even most of them.
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Future Policy
It isn’t that we don’t need adequate retaliatory power of diverse
types. We do. The difficulty is in determining how much we need. Any
more than what we need is not only wasted, but it uses resources
which might otherwise be made available for the more probable
military actions. Of course, we must have a safety factor in
determining the amount that we need. Probably the maximum amount of
retaliatory force the U.S. needs for a general war would not exceed
twice the amount required to kill half the Russians. These
retaliatory forces should be reasonably immune to a Soviet
long-range missile build up. The point is, I think, that even if we
had an unlimited and overwhelming retaliatory force, there are many
situations which have arisen, and similar situations will arise
again, where these overwhelming forces would not provide the
solution. We should not therefore imply that these forces can solve
all of our military problems. It comes down to a question of
emphasis, or degree, or balance. In my opinion, we have given the
appearance of becoming so engrossed and absorbed in the prospects of
general nuclear war that our allies, as well as the communists, and
I think even we ourselves, are not sufficiently alert to the
prospects of other types of military action.
The USSR must remain convinced that
if the USSR overtly attacks any
one of our allies directly, we will launch those retaliatory forces
against the USSR. But at the same
time, the USSR, as well as our
allies, must also be convinced that we would not launch a massive
retaliatory effort against the Soviet Union in reply to every communist effort to expansion, including
overt attacks by non-Russian communists.
Russia and China and other communists, and most particularly the free
world, should be convinced that we will use sufficient force
promptly to quell even non-Russian communist attacks and will not
rely solely upon massive retaliation as punishment. The punishment
must fit the crime.
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The world must realize that we intend to use atomic weapons when the
situation may call for atomic weapons in any action, but at the same
time, they must have confidence that we will use them with
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discrimination in limited war because we realize that excessive
amounts of force would unnecessarily destroy people and
facilities.
We are at war now—not peace. We should not only realize, but act upon
the realization, that treaties, negotiations and economic pacts, as
well as limited military operations, are the weapons of this
war.
Therefore, in addition to the performance of their combatant
functions, the U.S. must have military forces also capable of
performing various other functions which will permit diplomatic
maneuvering in support of U.S. cold war offensive.
The U.S. must be able to recognize and act quickly on small problems
as they occur in the world and before those problems grow to a big
size requiring big action.
In order for the U.S. to continue to be an influence in the world,
the U.S. must have allies and friendly neutrals.
Our allies will require forces under their own control sufficient to
enable them to contribute significantly to their own defense, since
they are showing increasing reluctance to placing major reliance on
the United States’ massive retaliatory strikes on Russia.
The U.S. should permit our allies the pride of achievement associated
with contributing significantly to their own defense. Since their
greatest commodity is manpower, the U.S. will probably have to
continue to supply our allies with a great deal of their
armaments.
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In my opinion, these steps would make it clear to the world that
communist expansion by whatever means will be dealt with by the U.S.
by the most appropriate means. No one, least of all the Russians,
should have any doubt of our determination.
Probably the only effective way of convincing the world of our
resolution is to take firm and timely action of whatever kind is
necessary to prevent the communists from gaining further footholds
in non-communist countries. This should include the willingness to
conduct limited war, to assist friendly countries to maintain
freedom from communism regardless of the steps that are taken to
impose communism.
It is my opinion that the adoption of the more specific language
proposed by the JCS majority view
will more nearly provide the necessary guidance for reorientation of
our military strategy to meet the requirements of the situation
which now faces us.