106. Memorandum From the Deputy Under Secretary of State (Murphy) to the Under
Secretary of State (Hoover)1
I discussed the attached file today with George Allen and Francis
Russell. Mr.Russell is coming up with a supplemental
memorandum.2 Apart from the
substantive features of the Alpha plan, in essence Mr.Russell’s recommendations about the
procedure boil down to:
- 1.
- A waiting period of about two weeks to evaluate Nasser’s attitude and to
provide Byroade an
opportunity to further probe the situation. If affirmative
indications at Cairo develop, there will then be opportunity to
unfold the plan to Nasser.
- 2.
- Mr. Russell is
preparing a draft letter which could be sent either by the
Secretary or the President to Nasser, urging his cooperation.3
- 3.
- In the event that Byroade’s efforts in Cairo prove abortive, then
examine the possibilities of working through the Jordanians. . .
.
- 4.
- If both the Egyptian and Jordan channels bring no success,
then in cooperation with the British we would publish our
proposals, hoping thus to force the issue and give proof of our
constructive attitude.
- 5.
- The recall of Elath from London and Eban from Washington to Tel Aviv plus other
indications in the Gaza area and public statements might
indicate if anything a hardening of the Israel attitude.4
[Page 200]
Attachment
Memorandum From Francis H. Russell to the Secretary of State5
SUBJ
- Summary Statement of Alpha Proposals
At the meeting in your office on May 3,6
you asked me to prepare a summary statement of the Alpha proposals
which might be shown to the President and, at an appropriate time,
to the heads of other interested departments and possibly to three
or four Congressional leaders. Attached is such a statement (Tab A).
In a telegram received yesterday,7 Ambassador Byroade suggests that, in view of
the danger of a leak following the revealing of Alpha to other
department heads and Congressional leaders, and the damage which
such a leak would do to his negotiations with Nasser, discussions outside the
Department be deferred until he has progressed further with
Nasser.
Aside from broad approval of Alpha and the contemplated inducements
to the parties, it is a matter of special urgency that Byroade be authorized to state to
Nasser that the
President, in the context of an Israel-Arab settlement, would
recommend to Congress US aid in the amount of $100 million in the
construction of the High Aswan Dam (Tab B).
Recommendations:
- 1.
- That the attached statement of the elements and inducements
for an Israel-Arab settlement (Tab A) be approved as a
Departmental position.
- 2.
- That the President be asked to authorize Ambassador Byroade to state to Nasser that the President, in
the context of an Israel-Arab settlement, would recommend to
Congress US aid in the amount of $100 million in the
construction of the High Aswan Dam (Tab B).
- 3.
- That the President be asked to authorize the Secretary, as
soon as our discussions with Nasser make it expedient, to discuss the Alpha
statement (Tab A) with a few top Congressional leaders.
[Page 201]
Tab A
POSSIBILITY OF SETTLEMENT OF PRINCIPAL ISRAEL-ARAB ISSUES8
I. The Need for a Special Effort
to Achieve an Israel-Arab Settlement
Arab-Israel tension and hostility, periodically breaking out into
armed clashes, have continued for seven years after the signing of
Armistice Agreements. The continuance of the dispute will be
increasingly a major detriment to vital US interests. The strategic
Near East has been economically and politically weakened and
divided; the situation contains possibilities of renewed open
warfare which might involve states outside the area; and measures
for strengthening the area to resist Soviet aggression are greatly
hampered.
There is no indication that time alone or the efforts of the parties
themselves will resolve the smoldering conflict. The bitterness
between the parties has thus far resisted efforts by the United
Nations and the Western Powers to bring about a settlement of
issues. Prospects for the success of a renewed effort are none too
bright but a number of considerations lead us to the view that an
effort by the US and the UK should be
made: (1) two other major issues which troubled the area—the
Anglo-Egyptian dispute and the Iranian oil controversy9—have
been resolved; (2) US influence in the area has increased
considerably as a result of our policy of sympathetic and impartial
friendship towards both Arabs and Israelis; (3) UK influence has been on the increase
since the conclusion of the Suez agreement with Egypt; (4) if the
effort is not made in 1955, we will probably lose more than just a
year, since 1956, a Presidential election year, would not be
propitious for such an effort.
II. Timing and Method of
Approach
The proposed settlement would involve the solution of the principal
issues between Israel and her Arab neighbors, including a cessation
of acts of belligerency. It is not proposed, however, to aim
immediately at formal and comprehensive peace treaties and the
establishment of normal diplomatic relations. It would be hoped that
the removal of the principal causes of tension and the passage of
time would lead to an ultimate formal peace.
It is planned to sound out Nasser to see whether Egypt would take the
initiative. Egypt has indicated in the past a willingness to
[Page 202]
cooperate in taking
measures to reduce tension with Israel. The next stage would be a
carefully planned disclosure of the suggested elements of a general
settlement to Jordan and Israel. Assuming progress, other Arab
states as well as other friendly Western powers will be approached
shortly after.
If this method of approach to the problem should prove unproductive,
the proposed terms of settlement might be urged upon the parties
publicly by the US and the UK,
possibly in the UN.
In view of the inflammability and suspicion in public opinion in the
area, the utmost secrecy is essential during the initial stages of
the program.
III. Elements of a
Settlement
The following are the principal issues on which it is hoped that
settlement can be reached:
- A.
- Territorial: It is proposed that
Israel and the neighboring Arab states agree to a definitive
border which would include the following adjustments:
- 1.
- A division of the present “demilitarized zones”
and “no man’s lands” created by the Armistice
Agreements;
- 2.
- Returning to border Arab villages, almost entirely
in Jordan, a portion of the adjoining farm lands
upon which they are dependent for a livelihood and
from which they were cut off by the existing
Armistice Line. The net total of these cessions by
Israel would be 77.5 square miles;
- 3.
- Giving to Israel a portion of the Latrun salient,
making possible the resumption of use of the most
direct road from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem;
- 4.
-
Allocating to Egypt and to Jordan triangles of
land in the Negev which would make possible land
communication between Egypt and the rest of the
Arab states, with over- and underpasses connecting
the two triangles and the two Israel sections of
the Negev;
. . . . . . .
(The area presently occupied by Israel, excluding
demilitarized zones, is 7,805 square
miles.)
- B.
-
Refugees: The approximately
800,000 Arab refugees who fled and were subsequently
debarred from their homes in what is now Israel
constitute probably the greatest cause of friction
between Israel and her Arab neighbors. This problem must
be dealt with by a program that calls for the
repatriation of a comparatively small proportion of the
refugees, the eventual resettlement of the remainder,
and compensation for expropriated land.
It is proposed that Israel would repatriate up to 75,000
Arab refugees at a rate of 15,000 yearly, with priority
being given to those presently living in the Gaza
Strip.
[Page 203]
Israel would assume a liability of £100 million ($280
million) for the payment for real property left by Arabs
who fled Palestine. Israel would also renounce
counter-claims which it has against the Arab states, and
the Arab refugees would renounce claims for movable
personal property and community property. Israel, with
assistance from world Jewry, would be asked to raise
some 30% of the compensation fund. The balance would be
loaned to Israel on a long-term, low-interest basis,
primarily by the US and the UK. Payments to individual Arabs would be
made through the UN under
conditions designed to achieve the greatest amelioration
of present bitterness, to encourage work-creating
investment in the area, and to prevent inflation.
The great bulk of the refugees will have to be resettled,
largely in Arab countries where, as a result of
expanding economies and projects such as the Jordan
Valley Development Plan and the Sinai Project, they
could be gradually integrated.
- C.
- . . .
- D.
- The Boycott: The Arab states would
remove restrictions on Israel commerce and vessels
transiting the Suez Canal; cease their attempts to prevent
trade between Israel and non-Arab countries; and repeal all
legislation and multilateral boycott arrangements based on
the existence of a state of belligerency. The Arab states
would not be pressed at this time to engage in direct trade
with Israel.
- E.
- Jordan Waters: It is hoped that
this issue can be resolved within the next few months
through the negotiations of Ambassador Johnston.
- F.
- Free Port at Haifa and Transit
Rights: Israel would agree to establish a free port
at Haifa. She would grant Jordan transit rights to Haifa
across Israel territory, and Egypt and Jordan transit rights
across the northern Negev. Arrangements would also be made
for travel of commercial aircraft and for telecommunication
facilities by each side across the territory of the
other.
- G.
- Border-Guarantee Treaties: In the
event that agreement is achieved on the above elements of a
settlement, the US and the UK
would agree to enter into treaties with Israel and each of
the neighboring Arab countries guaranteeing the agreed
borders against change by armed force. The treaties would
provide for consultation in the event of a threat of armed
attack by any of the parties and for joint measures to
maintain or, if necessary, restore the agreed boundaries.
The guaranteeing states would not be bound to intervene in
the case of boundary incidents or raids. These would remain
the responsibility of the United Nations Truce Supervisory
Organization. The treaty of guarantee would relate only to
borders; it would not underwrite other elements of the
settlement.
IV Inducements to Parties to Reach
a Settlement
Since the border guarantee and the benefits to the parties inherent
in the settlement will in all probability not be sufficient to
secure their cooperation, it is contemplated that additional
inducements to cooperate might be offered in the form of economic
and military assistance, possibly of the following magnitude, shown
in
[Page 204]
terms of expenditures
presently contemplated regardless of the projected settlement, and
those which would be additionally required:
(1) Funds probably required during the next five years
under a continuation of the present situation: |
(millions of $) |
Funds appropriated and presently being held in US Treasury
for UNRWA Sinai and Syrian
resettlement projects |
$44 |
US commitment as supporter of UNRWA five-year plan for Arab refugee
relief |
80 |
Unified Jordan Valley Plan (if agreement is reached by
Ambassador Johnston) |
112 |
Probable regular economic aid to Israel and Arab states
over next five years on basis of present programs |
250 |
|
$486 |
(2) Additional funds probably needed for Israel-Arab
settlement: |
|
US loan to Israel for payment of compensation to Arab
refugees(repayment to US doubtful) |
$150 |
Additional economic aid to Egypt (including portion of
funds needed for High Aswan Dam), Jordan, Syria, and
Lebanon |
145 |
Military aid to Israel and neighboring Arab states
conditional upon settlement |
25010 |
|
$545 |
Tab B
Memorandum From Francis H. Russell to the Secretary of State11
SUBJ
- Inducements to Egypt; High Aswan Dam
The Alpha project assumes that economic inducements to Egypt will be
required in order to secure her cooperation. One of the most
effective forms which this could take would be assistance in
financing the construction of the High Aswan Dam. Ambassador
Byroade
[Page 205]
may soon, if he is to be
persuasive, have to make his proposals to Nasser in definite terms.
The cost of the High Aswan Dam (dam, civil works, turbines and
generators) is estimated at from $500 to $550 million, spread over a
10-year period, of which roughly 50% would be foreign exchange. The
Government of Egypt itself should be able to finance most or all
local costs and, by drawing upon its gold reserves, about $85
million of the foreign exchange cost. The IBRD might be expected to loan $85 million. Thus, a gap
of some $80 million would remain which the US might undertake to
provide.
Additional auxiliary works (power transmission lines, indemnities to
the Sudan, and land reclamation) would add costs of possibly another
$500 million, of which about one-fourth would be foreign exchange.
The US might well contribute some $20 million of this.
Any US assistance in the High Aswan Dam project and auxiliary works
should be in the form of grants, since Egypt’s entire ability to
finance foreign loans would be committed.
Recommendation: That the US state to Nasser that if (a) there is a
settlement of the major Arab-Israel issues, and (b) the High Aswan
Dam proves otherwise feasible, the President will request a
Congressional authorization and appropriation of $100 million toward
the foreign exchange costs of the High Aswan Dam and the auxiliary
works.
(All figures used above are based on current estimates and are
tentative.)