893.00/2–1249: Telegram
The Consul at Tsingtao (Strong) to the Secretary of State
[Received 11:04 p. m.]
78. Appears to be increasing feeling here Communists not attempt take over civil administration for 2 or 3 months despite Nationalist withdrawal. Mayor, other leaders, feel Communists not wish extend control large cities until Peiping–Tientsin digested. Thus expect interim regime and later quiet turnover.
Mayor informed me he plans remain here until relieved; has told friends he will not leave for at least 1 month. Promise keep civil administration intact; says although some subordinates will leave with him, many are remaining. Believes only portion Nationalist troops being withdrawn.
Nationalist troops are key to future developments. If all withdrawn, believe negotiated turnover will occur shortly thereafter. If portion remain, Communists not strong enough take over. If portion of Nationalist troops which may remain join Communists, latter may be strong enough force negotiate take over. In any event, violence not expected.
Sent Nanking 70; repeated Office Embassy Canton 4, Department 78.