File No. 763.72/1415

The Ambassador in Great Britain ( Page ) to the Secretary of State

[Telegram]

1538. Unofficial information privately given to Colonel Squier to-day by the Italian naval attaché suggests again the probability that Italy may go to war about March 1. By that date she will have fully equipped three million men and eighteen hundred rounds of ammunition for every field gun and her navy in good form. I learn from another source that any movement by Turkey against Egypt would influence Italy. If Italy goes in she will probably enter by declaring war against Turkey. The quickest way to peace as most persons view it here would be the entrance of Italy and Roumania on the Allies’ side, which to say the least does not seem improbable.

American Ambassador