26. Memorandum From the President’s Assistant for National Security
Affairs (Scowcroft) to President
Bush1
MEETING WITH THE NATIONAL SECURITY
COUNCIL
I. PURPOSE
To review major START and Defense &
Space issues in preparation for the resumption of the Nuclear and Space
Talks (NST) on June 19, 1989.
II. BACKGROUND
Before turning to discussion of specific START and Defense & Space issues, we will pick up on the 25
May NSC meeting discussion of
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our fundamental NST objectives. Before the negotiations
resume, you need to consider the fundamental questions: Is our current
approach to a START Treaty, with its
inherent verification uncertainties, well-suited to advance our interests?
Is our Defense & Space position of facilitating deployment of defenses
sound? Several promising ideas in addition to those for discussion at this
meeting were identified, but will require further study.
1. Defense & Space. In essence, our current
Defense & Space position trades a commitment not to withdraw from the
ABM Treaty for a specified period of
time, in return for freedom to deploy defenses at the end of that period.
During the non-withdrawal period, the U.S. claims the right to conduct
ABM tests in space, under the broad
interpretation of the ABM Treaty.
Two Defense & Space papers (at Tab D) are on the agenda. DST 001 discusses options for ensuring U.S.
ABM testing rights during a period of non-withdrawal from the ABM Treaty. DST 002 discusses options for protecting a right to deploy
defenses after a non-withdrawal period.
DST 001—Testing rights
during a non-withdrawal period. Our current position (option 1)
provides a unilateral U.S. assurance that the number of ABM test satellites orbited at any one time
would not exceed 15. Further, the Parties would agree to specific
notification procedures regarding those satellites. These steps are intended
to address stated Soviet concerns that U.S. ABM testing in space could become de
facto deployment. It would also, if the Soviets agree, obtain
implicit Soviet acceptance of testing under the broad interpretation of the
ABM Treaty, without subjecting the
broad interpretation to negotiation. This position is designed to be fully
consistent with the ABM Treaty but, as you
know, there is controversy about the proper interpretation of the
Treaty.
Option 2 would negotiate an explicit agreement based on the terms of what is
now the U.S. unilateral assurance. Moreover, it would go beyond the ABM Treaty, inasmuch as it would permit
testing in space of all ABM weapons,
whether or not they are based on “other physical principles.” If successful,
the option could provide better protection for U.S. testing rights,
constrain Soviet as well as U.S. activities, and counter congressional
efforts to legislate the restrictive interpretation of the ABM Treaty. On the other hand, it could also
put on the negotiating table what we already believe to be our right.
Also during the non-withdrawal period, all agencies agree we should retain
our proposal to allow unlimited development, testing, and deployment of
space-based sensors. This proposal is an attempt to reconcile the increasing
needs and capabilities of both sides for warning and attack assessment, with
the fact that there will be no way to distinguish with NTM whether or not certain sensor satellites
violate ABM Treaty provisions.
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DST 002—Deployment rights
after a non-withdrawal period. Our current position (option 1),
would explicitly give the sides the right to deploy defenses after a
non-withdrawal period, upon giving six months notice. The rationale behind
this position is that we are trading our non-withdrawal pledge for freedom
to deploy defenses after the non-withdrawal period. This quid pro quo was
worked out between President Reagan and General Secretary Gorbachev at the Washington Summit.
Option 2 is to reevaluate our Defense & Space objectives at the Cabinet
level, and not to resume negotiations until we have done so. This option
reflects the concern of some that the current U.S. position could imply to
the Soviets that the U.S. will go beyond the ABM Treaty on a certain date, and push them to do the same,
when in fact the U.S. may not then be prepared to deploy ABM defenses for political, technical, or
budgetary reasons. In that event, we could find ourselves in a situation in
which the Soviets deploy defenses but we do not. Others believe that the
only practical effect of our current position would be to relieve the U.S.
of the political burden of withdrawing from the ABM Treaty, which does not apply to the Soviet Union. The
Soviets now could withdraw from the ABM
Treaty on 6 months notice.
2. START Reductions and
Stability. Our goal in START
should be stability and reduced risk of war, not reductions per se, but our
shift in emphasis from “reductions” to “stability” needs to be handled in a
way that recognizes the political risks of appearing to abandon “deep
reductions.” The discussion paper2
concludes that present START reductions
(to 1600 missiles and heavy bombers; 4900 ballistic missile warheads; 6000
total accountable warheads) are acceptable. There are two issues in the
discussion paper:
ICBM Warhead
Sublimit. Should we retain the 3000–3300 ICBM warhead sublimit, which the Soviets have not accepted? At
issue is whether the negotiator should indicate flexibility to the Soviets
and seek a trade. On the one hand, this limit probably would not impose
additional constraints on Soviet forces as long as we get the other warhead
and throwweight reductions the Soviets seem prepared to accept. Others
believe, however, that such a subceiling may limit future Soviet options to
field a first strike ICBM force.
Heavy ICBMs. We will
discuss this in greater detail at a subsequent NSC meeting. The Soviets already have agreed to reduce their
“heavy” SS-18 ICBM by 50 percent. At issue
is whether to satisfy our political and legal requirement for U.S.-Soviet
equality, originally articulated in the SALT I Jackson amendment, by seeking the elimination of all
heavy
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ICBMS, or by giving the U.S. a de jure right to deploy heavy ICBMs, even though—as a practical matter—we
would never exercise that right.
III. PARTICIPANTS
List at Tab C.3
IV. PRESS PLAN
White House photographer only.
V. SEQUENCE
The agenda for the meeting is at Tab B.4
Tab A
Paper Prepared in the National Security Council5
POINTS TO BE MADE ON START AND DEFENSE &
SPACE
- —
- I know your staffs have worked hard to complete a thorough review
of our START and Defense &
Space positions before talks resume in Geneva a week from
Monday.
- —
- I want to stress how important that work is, if we are to
successfully conclude the Nuclear and Space negotiations that
reduces the risks of war and strengthens stability. We need to
ensure that our current approach will achieve that objective.
- —
- I also know we can’t beat Gorbachev with an empty hand. I want to build on the
considerable progress we already have made, but also inject fresh
thinking and new ideas that will advance us toward our goal.
- —
- Today we will focus on the policy issues underlying our approaches
to START and the Defense and
Space Talks. On that basis, we can decide our specific negotiating
positions.
[Page 141]
Tab D1
Paper Prepared by the Policy Coordinating Committee6
DST
001 (U)
Purpose. To review U.S. policy options regarding
the means of assuring U.S. testing rights during a specified period of
non-withdrawal from the ABM Treaty, in
the context of a Defense & Space Treaty. (S)
Current Status. The United States and the Soviet
Union disagree about the activities that would be permitted during a
period of non-withdrawal from the ABM
Treaty. The U.S. seeks to preserve its full ABM Treaty (broad interpretation) rights to research,
development, and testing, while the Soviets have consistently rejected
this position and have sought restrictions on ABM research, development, and testing beyond those agreed
in 1972. (U)
In December 1987, the United States and the Soviet Union in the
Washington Summit Joint Statement committed to seek an agreement, inter
alia, “to observe the ABM Treaty, as
signed in 1972, while conducting research, development, and testing as
required, which are permitted by the ABM Treaty, and not to withdraw from the ABM Treaty, for a specified period of
time.” The sides disagree over the interpretation of that language. The
U.S. asserts the broad interpretation and seeks an indication of Soviet
acceptance of that interpretation. The Soviets have rejected the broad
interpretation, but have not made clear what interpretation they believe
is reflected by the WSJS. Soviet views have ranged at times between an
interpretation more restrictive than the narrow interpretation, and the
narrow interpretation. Hence, U.S. initiatives in Defense & Space
have sought to obtain an indication that the Soviets accept our
interpretation of the WSJS before a Defense & Space Treaty is
signed. (S)
U.S. Position: Space-based Testing Initiative. To
clarify testing permitted during the non-withdrawal period and to
address stated Soviet concerns that U.S. testing in space could become
de facto deployment, the U.S. stated on 28 October 1988 in an
authoritative unilateral assurance that:
“In order to demonstrate that the testing of space based components
capable of substituting for ABM
interceptor missiles, which is permitted by the ABM Treaty, does not represent the deployment of
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such components, the United
States is prepared to carry out such permitted testing only from
designated ABM test satellites. Any
space object in earth orbit from which a component of an ABM system capable of substituting for an
ABM interceptor missile is tested
to counter a strategic ballistic missile or its elements in flight
trajectory shall be designated as an ABM Test satellite. Further, it is the view of the United
States that the number of U.S. designated ABM test satellites in orbit simultaneously shall not
exceed a number well short of that associated with any realistic
deployed capability. The United States believes the number 15 falls well
below that threshold.” (S)
To help clarify ABM testing permitted
during the non-withdrawal period and to provide for greater
predictability, the U.S. also proposed in the draft Predictability
Protocol that the Parties shall provide each other with the following
data:
- 1.
- Identification, no more than 12 hours after launch of each
space object in earth orbit from which a component of an ABM system capable of substituting
for an ABM interceptor missile
is to be tested to counter a strategic ballistic missile or its
elements in flight trajectory;
- 2.
- Notification within 12 hours after the re-entry of an ABM Test Satellite from its orbit
or after a change in orbit; and,
- 3.
- Notification of a test using such a space object in earth
orbit to counter a strategic ballistic missile or its elements
in flight trajectory no less than two hours prior to the conduct
of any such test.
Thus, should the Soviets accept the current U.S. draft predictability
protocol, they would necessarily accept certain ABM testing in space, thereby implicitly accepting some
aspects of the broad interpretation. (S)
U.S. Position: Space-based Sensors. The U.S. has
also proposed that the sides agree not to object, “on the basis of the
ABM Treaty, to the development,
testing, and deployment . . . of space-based sensors.” In explaining
this initiative to the Soviets, the U.S. noted that satellite sensor
programs are vitally important to both sides in providing warning of an
attack, and thus are also vitally important to stability. Furthermore,
it is very difficult and, as both sides improve their systems, becoming
increasingly more difficult to distinguish independently between
space-based sensors capable of substituting for ABM radars and those that are not. Thus, limitations on the
capability of deployed space-based sensors are neither desirable nor
verifiable. The U.S. has presented to the Soviets a definition of
“space-based sensors” in the context of this proposal; but it has not
been agreed to by the Soviets. (S)
Soviet Position. The Soviets have criticized the
sensor proposal as undermining the ABM
Treaty and they have responded negatively to the additions to the
Predictability Protocol proposed by the U.S. in
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association with our assurance on testing of
space-based components capable of substituting for ABM interceptor missiles.
As a means of identifying testing activities in space that would be
permitted during the non-withdrawal period, the Soviets proposed in
April 1987 that the sides negotiate a “list” of criteria for devices to
be banned from launch into space, using as a starting point their
proposed “list” of performance parameters. Under the Soviet concept,
everything below the specifications or thresholds for devices banned
from being tested or stationed in space would be allowed for testing or
stationing in space. In October, 1987, the Soviets clarified the “list”
proposal: devices below the list thresholds could be put into space for
any purpose, whether ABM-related or
not. Production and ground-based test range activities involving devices
not on the list and those with critical parameters above the thresholds
would be permitted. The Soviets also proposed at this time, that,
alternatively, the sides could agree to “observe the ABM Treaty as signed and ratified in
1972.” (S)
Since the Washington Summit, the Soviets have alluded to the “list”
proposal only in the context of discussing “data sensors” and have
emphasized the WSJS language, without defining what that language means.
We do not know whether or not the Soviets have abandoned the broader
scope of the “list” proposal. (S)
The U.S. responded that the “list” proposal was too complex, inherently
unverifiable, and imposed restrictions on SDI beyond those of the ABM Treaty agreed to in 1972, and in many cases the values
proposed were in effect more restrictive than even the narrow
interpretation. (S)
Soviet negotiating tactics (including a refusal to work a joint draft
treaty text) are consistent with what appears to be their strategy in
the Defense & Space talks: to defer issues and serious discussion in
the hope that a change in U.S. administration or Congressional pressure
might cause the U.S. to pull back from its SDI program, and failing that to defer the issue until a
START Treaty is closer at hand,
when greater pressure may be brought to bear on the U.S. (S)
SDI Testing
Requirements. The President decided on the basis of NSR-12 that
the goals of the SDI program will
remain unchanged, and that the program presented to Congress will focus
on evaluating the potential of the most rapidly advancing technologies
such as Brilliant Pebbles. In light of this guidance, a proposed test
program for evaluation of the Brilliant Pebbles concept is being
developed and reviewed for compliance with the ABM Treaty. This program consists of 12 flight tests to be
completed by mid-FY92. While the compliance certification process has
not yet been completed for these tests, we expect to conduct them
consistent with the “restrictive” interpretation of the ABM Treaty. This test program would also
be compatible with the U.S. unilateral
[Page 144]
assurance on testing in space and proposed
Predictability Protocol notification measures. (S)
It is not clear at this time how long and to what extent additional,
useful Brilliant Pebbles testing can be carried out after mid-FY92
consistent with the restrictive interpretation, or for that matter the
broad interpretation. However, development and testing of Brilliant
Pebbles, if they are regarded as “based on other physical principles,”
would probably proceed more usefully under the broad interpretation
after mid-FY92. If the broad interpretation applies to Brilliant
Pebbles, system development and testing could proceed unrestricted to
the point where an ABM system is
“created,” resulting in a faster rate of growth in confidence in
technical feasibility than a program conducted under the restrictive
interpretation. (S)
If the concept for a Brilliant Pebbles system is not determined to be
“based on other physical principles,” it could not be developed and
tested under the broad interpretation. We would then have to test under
the restrictive interpretation. While this would still permit us to
increase confidence in the feasibility of the technology, the rate of
increase, and perhaps its absolute value would be less than could be
achieved under a broad interpretation program. (S)
N.B. No determination has yet been made as to whether an ABM system incorporating the Brilliant
Pebbles concept would be an ABM system
“based on other physical principles.” This issue includes considerations
beyond those associated with the issue of whether kinetic energy ABM weapons are based on OPP. (S)
Options. Options for assuring U.S. testing rights
during a period of non-withdrawal from the ABM Treaty are intended to insure U.S. legal rights and
political support to conduct testing necessary to establish the
feasibility of effective strategic defenses and to avoid the need to
withdraw from the ABM Treaty in order
to complete such testing. (S)
1. Affirm the current position. This option would
entail continuing to use the current U.S. working paper when we return
to negotiations in Geneva. (S)
Those who favor this option believe that the U.S. unilateral assurance
and predictability protocol proposal would gain implicit Soviet
acknowledgment of certain ABM Treaty
testing rights during the non-withdrawal period, reduce treaty
interpretation debates during and after ratification, provide a
militarily meaningful distinction between permitted testing and
prohibited deployment of OPP ABM
systems in space, and satisfy stated Soviet concerns regarding that
distinction. They argue further that the U.S. completed its Defense
& Space position only late in Round X, and that we have not yet even
had an opportunity to explain fully the position to the Soviets. (S)
[Page 145]
Option 1. is supported by: State, ACDA,
OSD, Amb. Rowny and the Defense
& Space Negotiator. (S)
2. Negotiate a new space-testing proposal. This
would entail negotiating an agreement with the
Soviets based on the space testing initiative described above. However,
it would apply to testing of all space-based
weapons systems whether or not they are OPP:
In order to ensure that the testing of space-based ABM interceptor missiles or
components capable of substituting for ABM interceptor missiles does not represent the
deployment of such components, the United States proposes that
the Parties confine such testing to designated ABM test satellites. Any platform
based in space from which an ABM interceptor missile or a component capable of
substituting for an ABM
interceptor missile is tested to counter a strategic ballistic
missile or its elements in flight trajectory, shall be
designated an an ABM test
satellite. Further, the number of designated ABM test satellites orbited
simultaneously by either side shall not exceed X. (S)
Those who support this option argue that despite some progress on the
Predictability Protocol and hints of maneuver room on the sensor
proposal, a unilateral testing assurance does not provide a common
U.S.-Soviet understanding of what is and is not allowed during the
non-withdrawal period, and would constrain the U.S. without constraining
the Soviets. They argue that this lack of understanding is a product of
the still ambiguous Washington Summit Joint Statement phrase “. . .
while conducting their research, development, and testing as required,
which are permitted by the ABM Treaty.”
They believe that negotiating reciprocal space-based testing constraints
and allowances is the best mechanism for clarifying that ambiguity. They
also argue that reaching agreement on the text of the current Defense
& Space Treaty including the testing assurance would merely
constitute Soviet recognition of unilateral U.S. space testing
constraints and would in no way impose similar constraints on the
Soviets. Without a negotiated space-based testing limit, they argue, the
Soviets could abide by the proposed reciprocal notification provisions
while conducting unconstrained testing and still perhaps deploy under
the guise of that testing. Finally, they argue that such an approach
would obviate the OPP vs. non-OPP dilemma, likely enhance the
probability for Congressional ratification and allay Allied concerns
about potential strategic imbalances. (S)
This option is supported by the JCS
(S)
Future Work. Additional options for assuring U.S.
testing rights during a specified period of non-withdrawal (e.g.
differentiated periods of testing restrictions during the non-withdrawal
period under restrictive, broad, or broader-than-broad interpretations
of the ABM Treaty or pursuit of the
Soviet “list” proposal) were considered, but not included in the paper
because no agency believes that such options would be possible to
analyze thoroughly before we return to the negotiations
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in Geneva. These options, plus a more
detailed analysis of SDI testing
requirements, will be embodied in the D&S work program. Moreover, additional consideration
must be given to the issue of whether or not the U.S. should now
establish policy on what systems are or are not based on other physical
principles. (S)
Sensor Proposal. The U.S. initiative on sensors is
separable from the options and issues discussed above. Nonetheless, it
would affect what activities occur during the non-withdrawal period. All
agencies support the current position on space-based sensors because
restrictions on testing and deployment of space-based sensors are
neither desirable nor verifiable. They argue that both the United States
and the Soviet Union will be improving their space-based early warning
and attack assessment capabilities and that these improvements will make
it increasingly difficult for the sides to verify compliance with the
ABM Treaty. Finally they note that
the Soviets expressed interest in discussing this proposal further in
their last plenary statement, albeit in the context of their “list”
proposal. (S)
Tab D2
Paper Prepared by the Policy Coordinating Committee7
DST
002 (U)
Purpose. To review U.S. policy options with
respect to rights of the parties after a period of non-withdrawal from
the ABM Treaty in the context of a
Defense & Space Treaty. (S)
Current Status. The sides have not resolved to
U.S. satisfaction what happens at the end of the non-withdrawal period.
At the Washington Summit, President Reagan and General Secretary
Gorbachev agreed that each
side would have the right to choose its course of action. This was
codified in the Washington Summit Joint Statement that, “intensive
discussions of strategic stability shall begin not later than three
years before the end of the specified period, after which, in the event
the sides have not agreed otherwise, each side would be free to decide
its own course of action.” (S)
The U.S. made clear at the time its view that this right included the
right to deploy strategic defenses without further reference to the
ABM Treaty, and that the Defense
& Space Treaty must reflect this. (S)
[Page 147]
Gorbachev said that while he did
not like the idea of a right to deploy, he “could accept it” if there
were a specified non-withdrawal period, and in this context, after the
specified period, “each side would be free to choose its own course of
action.” This formulation was embodied in the Washington Summit Joint
Statement and the U.S. draft Defense & Space Treaty. (S)
The Soviets refused, however, to acknowledge that the Washington Summit
Joint Statement language provided this right, arguing that a side would
have to withdraw from the ABM Treaty at
that time in order to deploy defenses. The Soviets continue to assert
that at the end of the non-withdrawal period, a side merely recovers its
Article XV withdrawal rights under the ABM Treaty. Thus, the Soviets believe that the Defense
& Space agreement should terminate at the end of the non-withdrawal
period. (S)
U.S. Position. The U.S. seeks agreement to a
Defense & Space Treaty of unlimited duration which would have the
sides retain certain ABM Treaty
constraints after the non-withdrawal period “until a Party chooses a
different course of action.” The U.S. draft treaty text also provides
(as a condition for agreeing to a non-withdrawal period) that “if, after
the specified period, either Party decides to deploy strategic ballistic
missile defenses that are prohibited by the ABM Treaty, then that Party shall give six months written
notice to the other Party of its intention to deploy such defenses. In
this event, this notice requirement shall supersede the notice provision
of Article XV of the ABM Treaty.
Following the six month notification period, all remaining ABM Treaty provisions shall be considered
terminated unless the Parties agree otherwise.” This position is
embodied in Article III, paragraph 2. of the U.S. draft treaty text.
(S)
Soviet Position. The Soviets seek a Defense &
Space agreement of a duration limited to that of the non-withdrawal
period, after which, unless agreed otherwise, the sides would return to
the ABM Treaty regime and recover their
Article XV withdrawal rights. That is, the Soviets would make the “right
to deploy without further reference to the ABM Treaty” one of the subjects for negotiations prior to
the end of the non-withdrawal period. If the sides fail to reach
agreement on this, or other issues, the sides would return to the ABM Treaty after the non-withdrawal
period.
Options. Options for dealing with what rights the
parties have after the period of non-withdrawal from the ABM Treaty should diminish political
barriers to deployment of effective strategic defenses while maintaining
ABM Treaty constraints on Soviet
ballistic missile defenses until the United States is ready to commit
itself to deployment of defenses. (S)
[Page 148]
1. Affirm the current position. This would entail
making explicit a right to deploy defenses after the non-withdrawal
period by maintaining Article III, paragraph 2. of the U.S. draft treaty
text, detailed above. (S)
Those who support this option believe the provisions are consistent with
what President Reagan and General Secretary Gorbachev agreed to. They argue the provisions are
necessary to guarantee the quid pro quo of the Defense & Space
Treaty; trading agreement not to withdraw from the ABM Treaty in order to deploy defenses for
a specified period of time, in return for freedom to deploy strategic
defenses afterwards, without further reference to the ABM Treaty. They also argue that
clarifying WSJS language will avoid interpretation debates after
ratification. Finally, they argue that this provision is necessary to
facilitate deployment of strategic defenses because withdrawing from the
ABM Treaty could be a difficult
political barrier. (S)
This option is supported by State, OSD,
ACDA, Amb. Rowny and the Defense
& Space Negotiator.
2. Reevaluate U.S. Defense & Space Objectives.
This option would entail not resuming the Defense & Space talks
until the fundamental U.S. objectives in D & S have been reaffirmed
at the Cabinet level.
Those who support this option believe that one of the basic intents of
the National Security Review, to identify the objectives of DST, has not yet been accomplished. They
argue that the President’s objectives for DST should be clearly stated before proceeding further with
discussion of negotiating positions. They also believe that to simply
reaffirm previously held positions—that were based on a different set of
national security parameters—could prove to be a serious mistake and
result in a lost opportunity for the USG. Those who hold this view believe that Article III
would have the effect of specifying a date certain when the U.S. would
withdraw from the ABM Treaty and that
this could provide the Soviet Union with an opportunity/right to deploy
a territorial defense that the United States may be unable or unwilling
to exercise. (S)
3. Non-withdrawal X years, non-deployment Y years.
This option would entail seeking agreement to a non-withdrawal period of
x years; followed by a non-deployment period of [2] [y] years, during
which the sides would have intensive discussions on a cooperative
transition and have unlimited testing rights; after which, unless the
Parties agree otherwise, each would be free to deploy strategic defenses
without further reference to the ABM
Treaty. (This option could be implemented in conjunction with options
for differentiated periods of permitted testing activities discussed in
DST 001.) (S)
Those who would support this option believe it would help overcome the
political barrier of withdrawing from the ABM Treaty in
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order to deploy strategic defenses by logically connecting the right to
deploy without further reference to the ABM Treaty to the outcome of discussions on a cooperative
transition, rather than to a non-withdrawal pledge. The onus for failure
of the discussions (should it occur) would fall on the Soviets,
providing the U.S. with a stronger political argument for deployment.
Also, in conjunction with proposals for differentiated periods of
permitted testing activities, it could shorten the time under the
restrictive interpretation of the ABM
Treaty. (S)
This option is not now supported by any agency. (S)
4. Drop the right to deploy in exchange for unlimited
testing rights during the non-withdrawal period as a quid pro quo for a non-withdrawal
period. This option would instead entail making explicit a
right to test all space-based weapons, regardless of physical principle,
as the quid pro quo for a non-withdrawal period.
At the end of the non-withdrawal period, the sides would simply regain
their right to withdraw from the ABM
Treaty. Or, this option could be implemented in conjunction with Option
2. in DST 001, which would make
explicit such a right. (S)
Those who would support this option believe that the most important U.S.
interest is to demonstrate the feasibility of strategic defenses through
realistic testing, and that if this can be done, it will naturally
diminish the political barriers to deployment of defenses. They also
would argue that there is little practical difference between the
political difficulty in providing six months notice of an intention to
deploy defenses and six months notice of withdrawal from the ABM Treaty. (S)
This option is not now supported by any agency. (S)
Future Work. Options considered in this paper were
limited to those that could conceivably be implemented as we return to
the negotiations in Geneva in June. Moreover, options 3 and 4 are
included in the paper despite the fact that no agency now supports them.
Some agencies believe that these are promising options, which merit
further consideration, but would not be appropriate to table now.
Moreover, other options must and will be considered. In this work,
thorough analysis of our negotiating position in light of SDI deployment objectives stemming from
the President’s decision on the course and funding of the SDI program will also be considered.
(S)