166. Memorandum From the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Poindexter) to President Reagan1

SUBJECT

  • 131st Bomber Game Plan

Issue

To approve the details of deploying the 131st ALCM-carrying B–52 bomber, thus passing out of technical observance of SALT II.

Facts

On May 27 you decided that, in the future, the United States would base decisions regarding its strategic force structure on the nature and magnitude of the threat posed by Soviet strategic forces, and not on the flawed SALT II Treaty which was never ratified, would have expired if it had been ratified, and has been violated by the Soviet Union. At that time you noted that, in late 1986, the United States would equip its 131st heavy bomber (a B–52) for cruise missile carriage, without undertaking compensating dismantlements under SALT II. At that time we would no longer be technically in observance of the SALT II sublimits.

Ambassador Abshire, United States ambassador to NATO, has urged the 131st bomber be deployed as soon as possible, well before scheduled NATO meetings of Defense Ministers (4–5 December) and Foreign Ministers (11–12 December).

Discussion

Two Poseidon submarines, identical to the two you elected for cost effectiveness reasons, to dismantle in May, are due for overhaul this fiscal year. At yesterday’s NSPG it was the unanimous opinion of your national security advisors that these overhauls should proceed as scheduled and that the 131st bomber should be deployed without further delay and without any compensatory retirements.

When we treat the bomber as becoming operational is somewhat arbitrary. It will make its first flight on Friday, 27 November but will still have several days of testing before it returns to its operational base. To avoid conflict with impending NATO meetings, we believe Friday 27 [Page 571] November is the appropriate date to consider the bomber’s conversion complete. Prior to that date we believe it is essential to notify the Congressional leadership and our allies and to have pre-positioned press guidance. We recommend this not be portrayed as a major new decision. Instead we should suggest that: (1) you made a decision in May, (2) the logical consequences of that decision have now occurred, and (3) you and your top advisors conducted one final review and were unanimous in seeing no reason to alter your previous decision.

Once you have given your approval, we will take the following steps:

NSC and White House Legislative Affairs will notify key Congressional leaders on Wednesday 26 November, using the talking points at Tab A.
A message to our allies will be sent as soon as possible but no later than Thursday 27 November.
The Department of Defense will make an announcement similar to that at Tab B on Friday 28 November.

Making the announcement from Defense rather than the White House reinforces the position that this is not a new decision but simply the implementation of the decision you made in May.

Recommendation

OK NO

____ ____ That you approve the above approach to the deployment of the 131st bomber.2

Tab A

Talking Points Prepared in the National Security Council3

Talking Points With Congressional Leaders

The 131st B–52 bomber to be equipped to carry air-launched cruise missiles will complete its conversion on Friday. By this action the United States will pass out of technical observance of SALT II.
On May 27, 1986 the President decided that current and future decisions reflecting our strategic forces must be based on overall U.S. military requirements and the threat we face, rather than on the flawed SALT II Treaty which was never ratified, would have expired if it had been ratified, and has been violated by the Soviet Union.
He also noted at that time that, in late 1986, the United States would equip its 131st heavy bomber (a B–52) for cruise missile carriage, without undertaking compensating dismantlements under SALT II.
The bomber has now completed conversion.
The President and his senior national security advisors reviewed the situation on Tuesday.
It was the unanimous view of the participants in that review that nothing has occurred since May to warrant reversing the President’s decision.
Thus the bomber will complete modifications on schedule this Friday. A brief DOD announcement will be made at that time.
After a few days of additional testing, the bomber involved will return to its operational base at Carswell Air Force Base, in Texas.

Tab B

Draft Press Statement Prepared in the National Security Council4

Draft Press Statement

“The 131st B–52 bomber to be equipped to carry air-launched cruise missiles completed its conversion today. By this action the United States passed out of technical observance of SALT II. This step reflects the President’s May 27, 1986 decision that current and future decisions reflecting our strategic forces must be based on overall U.S. military requirements and the threat we face.

“After a few days of additional testing, the bomber involved will return to its operational base at Carswell Air Force Base, Texas.”

[Page 573]

Attachment

Paper Prepared in the Department of Defense5

On June 17, 1982, I addressed the United Nations Special Session on Disarmament.6 I told this gathering a fundamental truth:

Simply collecting agreements will not bring peace. Agreements genuinely reinforce peace when they are kept. Otherwise, we are building a paper castle that will be blown away by the winds of war.

I have formally reported to the Congress several times on Soviet non-compliance with arms control agreements. In my most recent report to Congress of December 23, 1985, I noted the scope of Soviet noncompliance with existing agreements:

The Administration’s most recent studies support its conclusion that there is a pattern of Soviet non-compliance. As documented in this and previous reports, the Soviet Union had violated its legal obligation under or political commitment to the SALT I ABM Treaty and Interim Agreement, the SALT II agreement, the Limited Test Ban Treaty of 1963, the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention, the Geneva Protocol on Chemical Weapons, and the Helsinki Final Act. In addition, the USSR has likely violated provisions of the Threshold Test Ban Treaty.

I have made abundantly clear the seriousness of Soviet noncompliance:

It calls into question important security benefits from arms control, and could create new security risks. It undermines the confidence essential to an effective arms control process in the future.

The United States has attempted to resolve our compliance concerns with the Soviet Union for many years through both the Standing Consultative Commission and senior diplomatic channels—but to no avail.

[Page 574]

I have even expressed my personal concerns directly to General Secretary Gorbachev during my meetings with him last year in Geneva and again in October of this year in Reykjavik.

Despite these intensive efforts, the Soviet Union has failed to correct its non-compliance and has not provided explanations sufficient to alleviate our concerns on other compliance issues.

Thus, on May 27th, 1986, I announced that the United States would no longer unilaterally observe the SALT structure. This decision should not have taken anyone by surprise. In June 1985 I announced that we could not accept a double standard in which we observe arms control agreements and the Soviets do not. At that time I decided to go the extra mile by dismantling a Poseidon submarine in an effort to give the Soviets more time to correct their non-compliance and resolve our other compliance concerns and reverse their military buildup. Unfortunately, their violations and military buildup continued.

Of particular concern to me was the pattern of Soviet noncompliance with SALT and the ABM Treaty. These violations have involved some of the most important provisions of SALT II which were cited by proponents of SALT II as the principal reasons for supporting the agreement.

the development and deployment of the SS–25 missile, a prohibited second new type of intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM);
extensive encryption of telemetry during test flights of strategic ballistic missiles;
concealment of the association between missiles and their launchers during testing;
exceeding the permitted number of strategic nuclear delivery vehicles (SNDVs); and
an issue related to the throw-weight of a certain SLBM.

It is important to note that prior to my May 27th decision, the Soviets tested what was probably a new follow-on heavy ICBM. Such a new heavy ICBM would be prohibited by SALT II.

Soviet SALT violations have been compounded by the construction of the Krasnoyarsk radar in violation of the ABM Treaty and other ABM-related activities suggesting that the Soviet Union might be preparing an ABM defense of their national territory, which is prohibited by the Treaty. Such an action, if left without a U.S. response, would have serious adverse consequences for the East-West balance that has kept the peace.

On May 27th, I announced a new policy for the United States concerning interim restraint:

Given this situation, I have determined that, in the future, the United States must base decisions regarding its strategic force structure on the nature and magnitude of the threat posted by Soviet strategic forces and not on standards contained in the SALT structure which has [Page 575] been undermined by Soviet noncompliance and especially in a flawed SALT II treaty which was never ratified, would have expired if it had been ratified, and has been violated by the Soviet Union.

I went on to note that, since the United States would retire and dismantle two Poseidon submarines last summer, the United States would remain technically in observance of the terms of the SALT II Treaty until the United States deployed its 131st heavy bomber equipped for cruise missile carriage late in the year. I noted my intent to deploy that and future ALCM-carrying heavy bombers as an appropriate response to Soviet violations without dismantling additional systems as compensation to remain within SALT II limits. My decision is effective November 28 in that regard. I have given instructions for the aircraft to deploy to its operational base.

Since May 27th—during the period of U.S. technical observance of SALT II—the Soviet Union has failed to take any constructive steps. The activities which constituted violations of SALT have continued. The Soviets have also continued to violate the ABM Treaty and to increase their capability to deploy a prohibited nationwide ABM defense. Recent developments include the construction of additional radars which are capable of supporting an ABM system and the deployment of a surface-to-air missile which has tactical ABM capability and may have significant ABM capability. The continuation of the massive Soviet offensive and defensive programs, some of which clearly violate existing arms control treaties, create a significant threat which we must meet. In view of the foregoing, I have determined that our cruise missile deployment programs must continue and that we cannot dismantle additional missile submarines at this time.

The integration of the Air Launched Cruise Missile (ALCM) into the B–52 weapon system is one key element of our full modernization program. The program began for 99 B–52G models in 1981 and will conclude when the last B–52H model is modified in 1990.

You may recall that last May I chose to dismantle two of our older Poseidon submarines when their reactor cores were exhausted rather than overhaul and refuel them. This decision had long been planned and was based on military and economic circumstances at that time. Had I been convinced that refueling and retaining these two Poseidon submarines would have contributed significantly and to the national security, I would have directed that these two Poseidon submarines not be dismantled but overhauled and retained.

During the fiscal year ahead, we will be overhauling three Poseidon submarines. Funds for these overhauls were appropriated by Congress in the Contingency Resolution for Fiscal Year 1987. The U.S. can no longer afford to reduce its future nuclear deterrent force structure. Our SLBM submarines at sea have the least day-to-day vulnerability of our TRIAD forces. The weapons they carry are critical to our [Page 576] national security as the Soviet target base continues to grow and ABM potential continues to grow. These prompt arriving weapons—which pose a threat against a wide variety of less hardened targets—are a key element of our deterrent force. For example, they are highly effective against the Soviet ABM threat. In addition, they represent a sizeable portion of the U.S. reserve force. For these militarily sound reasons, I have directed that these Poseidon submarines be overhauled, refueled and retained. Once overhauled, they will remain in the operational deterrent force until the mid to late 1990s.

The Future

As I noted in my May 27th statement, “The United States seeks to meet its strategic needs, given the Soviet buildup, by means that minimize incentives for continued Soviet offensive force growth.” We intend to continue the measured, yet absolutely vital, strategic modernization program we adopted in 1981. Full funding for this and for the SDI is essential if we are to protect our national security and to make progress in arms control agreements. I also announced in my May 27th statement—and affirm once again—that:

Assuming no significant change in the threat we face, as we implement the strategic modernization program, the United States will not deploy more strategic nuclear delivery vehicles than does the Soviet Union. Furthermore, the United States will not deploy more strategic ballistic missile warheads than does the Soviet Union.

Noting this unilateral U.S. action, I called upon the Soviet Union to seize the opportunity to join the United States in establishing an interim framework of truly mutual restraint. Yet, no policy of interim restraint can be a substitute for the negotiation of meaningful, new agreements involving substantial reductions in strategic and intermediate range nuclear forces. At Reykjavik I put forward the most far-reaching, realistic arms control proposal in history. I proposed the 50% reduction of strategic nuclear forces and the total eliminating ballistic missiles of all ranges.

Those who argued that the Soviets could never be brought even to consider the concept of deep reductions have been proven wrong. Those who argued that we had to accept or rationalize Soviet SALT violations to improve the climate for arms control have also been proven wrong.

The United States intends to press for the realization of the agreements in principle achieved at Reykjavik. We cannot promise that this will be a speedy or easy process. Things of real value are not easily obtained. We will not accept a bad agreement or Soviet noncompliance. We will continue our SDI program and will not agree to limits proposed by the Soviet Union which are designed to cripple and kill our effort to find a more stable way to maintain deterrence. Our intent, quite simply, is to build a safer, more secure—and most fundamentally a free—world.

  1. Source: National Security Council, National Security Council Institutional Files, Box SR–111, NSPG 0140, 11/25/1986. Secret. Sent for action. Prepared by Brooks. Copies were sent to Bush and Regan. Prepared by Brooks. Keel crossed out “John M. Poindexter” in the sender line and wrote “Al Keel.”
  2. Reagan approved the recommendation. Keel wrote at the bottom of the memorandum: “Mr. President, Cap has suggested extensive (four page) announcement by White House in your name (see attached). We recommend a shorter, matter-of-fact statement by DOD (Tab B), with DOD backgrounding detail in Cap’s statement. Al.”
  3. Unclassified.
  4. Unclassified.
  5. Unclassified. Attached but not printed is a November 26 covering memorandum from Weinberger to Reagan: “To follow up on our meeting yesterday, I have enclosed a paper for your use in making a public statement associated with the deployment of the 131st ALCM bomber. On page 3 of the statement (1st paragraph) reference is made to a deployment date. I have given instructions for the aircraft to deploy to its operational base, effective November 28. There are also contingency questions and answers provided.” The questions and answers were not attached. At the bottom of Weinberger’s memorandum, Keel wrote: “Mr. President, Longer announcement statement recommended by Cap for White House release in your name. Al.”
  6. Printed in Foreign Relations, 1981–1988, vol. I, Foundations of Foreign Policy, Document 106.