20. Memorandum From Helmut
Sonnenfeldt of the National Security Council Staff to the
President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Kissinger)1
2
Washington, May 1, 1969
FROM:
SUBJECT:
- Under Secretaries Meeting on NPT
You are scheduled to attend an Under Secretaries Committee meeting this
afternoon at 4:00 to review the options paper prepared by ACDA on ratification of the NPT.
The paper (Tab A) includes the following options:
- 1.
- No Action: This would lose momentum and
provide opportunities for opponents in various countries to
create additional problems;
- 2.
- Representations to Selected Countries:
to contribute to momentum by obtaining additional
signatures;
- 3.
- Presidential Signature to Complete Domestic
Ratification Process: add to momentum and strengthen
representations to other governments, but deposit still to be
withheld;
- 4.
- Further Efforts to Achieve Simultaneous
Deposits of Ratification with the USSR:
- 5.
-
US Deposit
Prior to Soviet Deposit: we would consider this if we
received a formal negative reply from the USSR.
Not explicitly mentioned is a variant of option 4 that is worth looking
at; namely, that we add a declaratory aspect to our efforts with the
USSR by publicly stating our
ratification and deposit is dependent on their simultaneous action.
You will also recall that your memorandum to Secretary Rogers of March 24 advised him of the
President’s desire to make an effort to obtain simultaneous action with
the USSR and that if this proved not
feasible, to explore the possibility of completing the US process after the Soviets had done
so.
[Page 2]
A related side issue may come up (Tab B). This concerns the German offset
negotiations, in which the Germans are offering to buy enriched uranium
for peaceful uses to contribute to balance of payments. ACDA believes this sale would violate the
spirit if not the letter of the NPT.
Others disagree. The issue is being debated and needs resolution at both
the legal and political levels. My own view is that ACDA’s interpretation is questionable on
legal grounds and potentially damaging on political ones as regards our
relations with the FRG.
[Page 3]
Tab A
Memorandum From the Director of the Arms Control and
Disarmament Agency (Smith) to the Under Secretary of State
(Richardson)
Washington, undated
Subject: NPT Review for Under
Secretaries Committee
Since receiving the Senate’s advice and consent to ratification of
the NPT, we have asked the Soviets
to join in a joint deposit of our instruments of ratification. The
treaty enters into force upon the deposit of instruments of
ratification by the US, the USSR, the United Kingdom and 40 other
states. The United Kingdom and 10 other states have already
deposited their instruments of ratification, and 78 additional
states have taken the preliminary step of signing the treaty.*
Although we have not yet had a formal reply to our approach to the
Soviets, there have been numerous informal indications that the
Soviets are reluctant to ratify the treaty until the FRG has at least signed it.
It has, however, become increasingly apparent that Germany is not
likely to sign the NPT until after
its fall elections. There has not yet been any firm decision, but
the failure of the German cabinet to reach a decision
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at its April 23–24 meeting
indicates that we should not anticipate German signature prior to
elections.
This presents the following dilemma:
- (a)
- If we defer deposit of our ratification until after the
Germans sign the treaty, we run the risk of losing the
treaty’s momentum and giving time for opposition to the
treaty to grow in a number of key countries. For example,
such inaction could well jeopardize or slow down adherence
to the treaty by Japan and Israel, as well as Germany
itself. We also may have to face domestic criticism for not
acting to promote the treaty after having stressed its
urgency to the Senate.
- (b)
- On the other hand, simultaneous deposit with the Soviets
has the following advantages: it avoids giving the Soviets
control over when the treaty comes into force, which they
might use to bring undue pressure on the Germans and others;
it avoids the risk that the Soviets will accompany their
ratification by unacceptable interpretations of the treaty
at a time when we will no longer have such control
ourselves; and it is in accord with the opinion expressed by
the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, that the
Administration should endeavor to arrange for
contemporaneous deposit.
In light of the foregoing, the US has
the following options for dealing with the present NPT situation:
- 1.
-
No Action—The US might take no further action
until we are able to deposit our instrument of ratification
simultaneously with the Soviet Union. We would thereby
accept the fact that there would be no significant momentum
imparted to the treaty until that time, which possibly would
be in late 1969. This would provide opponents of the treaty
in several key non-signatory countries an opportunity over a
substantial period of time to attempt to create further
difficulties for the treaty, and we would again be
vulnerable at the UNGA to
procedural and other efforts to complicate the treaty’s
entry into force.
- 2.
-
Representations to Selected
Governments—Although approaches to non-signatories
would be more effective after the deposits of ratification
by the US and the USSR, discussions with
selected governments at this time would demonstrate
continued US interest in the
progress of the treaty and would thereby strengthen the hand
of supporters of the treaty in the various countries.
Mention can be made in our representations of the
overwhelming support given to the treaty by the Senate. The
instructions to be sent to our embassies in key countries
would follow in general along the lines of the
recommendations in the NSSM
13 study. In the present circumstances, additional
signatures by relatively less significant countries not
covered by the NSSM 13
study would also contribute to the treaty’s momentum,
especially on a regional basis. The exact timing of these
approaches would necessarily take into account relevant
factors in our bilateral relations; in the majority of
cases, however, they can and should be undertaken in the
near future.
- 3.
-
Presidential Signature to Complete
Domestic Ratification Process—The President’s
signature of our instrument of ratification, which would
complete our own constitutional process, could itself add to
the treaty’s momentum and would strengthen the approaches
made by US representatives to foreign governments. The
reasons underlying our desire for simultaneous US and Soviet deposits of
ratification do not apply to the completion of our domestic
ratification process. Absence of signature by the President
has and will continue to create question as to the reasons
for delay, with speculation that there may be some new
reluctance on the part of the US. If the President does sign the
ratification, this would not, however, constitute US adherence and would thus not
bind the US to the treaty
since deposit of the instrument would still be required.
There are precedents for withholding deposit for a
considerable time after signature. Accordingly,
consideration should be given to having the President sign
the US instrument at an early
date.
- 4.
-
Further Effort to Achieve Early
Simultaneous US/USSR Deposits of
Ratification—The reasons for which the decision was
made to seek simultaneous US
and Soviet deposits continue to apply. There is still some
small possibility that the Soviet Union will agree to
simultaneous deposit, even prior to German signature; now
that it seems more likely that that signature will be
delayed until after the FRG
elections. We might therefore make an additional effort to
persuade the Soviets that early simultaneous deposit is in
their interest, since it would greatly increase the
prospects for adherence by several of the most significant
non-signatories. Ambassador Beam has suggested this type of
approach.
- 5.
-
US Deposit Prior to
Soviet Deposit—We might review our position on the
question of early simultaneous deposits of ratification if
we receive a formal negative response from the Soviet Union.
Until that time, we do not believe reconsideration is
warranted.