19. Talking Points Prepared by the National Security Council Staff for
Nixon1
Washington, February 19, 1969.
EAST-WEST RELATIONS
Opening
- 1.
- It is particularly timely to discuss this subject:
- —my upcoming European trip.
- —Middle East explorations with the Soviets.
- —the possibility of strategic talks with the
Soviets.
- —possible heating up of the Berlin situation.
- 2.
- We might focus the discussion on:
- —What is the most realistic characterization of the
US-Soviet relationship?
- —What US policy emphases should flow from this
characterization?
- —What should I stress on my European trip?
- —What are the implications of relating strategic talks to
progress on other political issues?
- 3.
- You may wish to highlight your conversation with Ambassador
Dobrynin.
Briefing
If time permits, Dick Helms is ready with a 15-minute briefing on trends
in the Soviet leadership as they affect Soviet foreign policy.
Discussion
- 1.
- Call on Dr. Kissinger to
lead off the discussion.
- 2.
- Secretary Rogers may wish
to give his general views.
Conclusion
You may wish to conclude the meeting by presenting to the NSC your views on East-West relations based
on the talking points on the next page.
Additional Studies
You may wish to direct additional studies on:
- A.
- Policy Toward Eastern Europe.
- B.
- East-West relations as an issue in NATO and in our relations with major allies.
- C.
- Policy guidelines, including difficulties, for implementing
the approach of linking strategic talks to political
matters.
- D.
- The U.S.-Soviet-Chinese triangular relationship.
Attachment2
MASTER TALKING PAPER ON EAST-WEST RELATIONS
(All the leaders you are meeting are interested in your view of
East-West relations and in your plans for dealing with the USSR. Several have asked about our
“conception.” Europeans have conflicting worries: on the one hand
they fear our dealing with the Soviets behind their backs
(“condominium”); on the other, they worry that we might
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draw them into excessive
risks and load on them responsibilities that they are not prepared
to carry. Lately, they have wondered about the significance and
implications of your public statements connecting missile talks with
progress on other issues. Among some, who sense a big US push for
across-the-board settlements with the USSR, these statements have raised the condominium
spectre. The Europeans also want to know how we propose to consult
with them on East-West matters generally, and on missile talks
particularly. The French, especially, would like to engage in
bilateral consultations rather than through NATO. The others want to consult through NATO but maintain bilateral channels
as well. None of them want us to make formal proposals to the
Soviets on arms control without having been consulted. The Germans
and, to a lesser degree, the Italians have painful memories of the
early NPT negotiations in which they
feel, justifiably, that they were confronted with a fait
accompli.)
I. Our Basic Approach.
- A.
- We have said that we are entering an era of negotiation. We
see this as a complex and extended process and recognize that
there will remain substantial elements of confrontation.
- B.
- By negotiation we mean a serious engagement of the issues, not
simply meetings for meetings’ sake. In general, we believe that
high-level or other official conferences with the Soviets should
be well prepared in advance and should offer promise of concrete
progress.
- C.
- We think the allies should attempt to concert their approaches
as much as possible; Soviet incentive to negotiate seriously is
reduced if they think they can maneuver among the allies and
divide them.
- D.
- In negotiating we want to proceed on a basis of a sense of
military security. I have used the word “sufficiency”: in its
broadest sense, this means forces that are strong and varied
enough to deter not only Soviet attack but also gross pressures
which the Soviets might be tempted to try if they calculated
that confidence in our capabilities and resolve was eroding. But
neither in what we say nor what we do, would we want to force
the pace of armaments.
II. Relationship Between Arms Talks and Political
Issues.
- A.
- Wars and crises generally result not from the level of
arms—not, at least, when these levels are in relative
balance—but from clashing interests, ambitions, and purposes.
For this reason I am skeptical about singling out arms as an
exclusive subject for negotiation.
- B.
- Indeed, at various times in Western relations with the East,
the Soviets have tended to use the bait of arms talks, or actual
talks, as a means of regulating crises they themselves created.
(Examples: abortive disarmament talks after Hungary, early
exchanges on non-proliferation in the midst of the Cuban missile
crisis, etc.)
- C.
- Moreover, it is difficult to get public understanding for arms
talks at moments of crisis (e.g., the invasion of Czechoslovakia
had negative impact on NPT and
on feasibility of opening SALT
talks).
- D.
- In addition, the problem of strategic weapons goes to the core
of the security of ourselves and our allies (and, for that
matter of the Soviets); it cannot therefore be isolated from the
other great issues that impinge on security and peace.
- E.
- We are not establishing rigid linkages between arms control
and other issues. But we do believe that there has to be
progress in coping with the volatile issues (notably the Middle
East and Vietnam) before one can get very far on strategic
weapons. We recognize that the Soviets are not controlling
factors in these situations; but they do have influence and we
know that at various times that influence has been exerted in
directions away from, rather than toward, settlements. If that
were to happen again it would not be compatible with progress on
arms control.
III. Consultations with Allies.
- A.
- We seek intimate concert with our allies on anything as
crucial to the interests of all of us as the control of
strategic weapons.
- B.
- We have no rigid feelings about the means and the
forum.
- C.
- We know that different allies may approach the issues from
different vantage points. We want to give these full
weight.
- D.
- We will make no proposal to the Soviets unless we have first
discussed them with the allies.
- E.
- If negotiations should get underway, there will be a practical
problem of consultation. What suggestions do the Europeans
have?
- F.
- We assume the allies will take the same approach to
consultation in connection with their own negotiations with the
USSR.