146. Memorandum From the Chairman of the Council on International
Economic Policy Operations Group (Samuels) to the President’s Assistant for
International Economic Affairs (Flanigan)1
Washington, March 3, 1972.
SUBJECT
-
CIEP Study Memorandum 16 UNCTAD III
The third United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD III) is scheduled for April
13-May 19 in Santiago, Chile. It will be an important event in the
evolution of DC-LDC relations.
[Page 372]
Attached is the general strategy and position paper for that Conference
requested in CIEP Study Memorandum No.
16. There is general inter-agency agreement on U.S. positions to be
taken on all major UNCTAD III issues
except debt relief and an interest equalization fund where Treasury has
expressed opposition.2 The dissenting Treasury positions on these
two issues are spelled out in the paper.
The study calls for a generally forthcoming but low key approach to the
Conference. We are not proposing major new initiatives on behalf of the
LDCs, but plan to support LDC requests when these are reasonable and
consistent with U.S. economic and political objectives. The proposed
position is designed to make the best of a difficult situation in which
demands of the LDCs are excessive and
the prospects for new DC measures are not
promising. Our general approach appears to be consistent with the
strategy which other developed countries will follow at the
Conference.
At UNCTAD III, we can expect the
LDCs to press the U.S. hard on a
number of issues: aid volumes, LDC
participation in monetary reform, the SDR link, negotiation of a cocoa agreement, improved market
access for LDC exports, investment
problems, etc. What the U.S. does or does not do on GSP will have a particularly important
impact on our posture and image at the Conference.
Significant U.S. positions contained in the attached paper are as
follows:
- 1.
-
SDR
Link—In parallel with other DCs, the U.S. should indicate at
UNCTAD III support for a
study in the IMF of the
relevance and desirability of a link between the creation of new
reserve assets and development finance within the context of
international monetary reform.
- 2.
-
Debt Relief—The U.S. should be prepared
to support further IBRD work on
general guidelines for debt relief so as to make it as
consistent as possible with development needs if this is sought
by the developing countries, it being understood that such
guidelines are not intended to indicate a broad policy of debt
rescheduling. (Treasury does not support this position.)
- 3.
-
Adjustment Assistance—The U.S. can accept
recommendations at UNCTAD
III, couched in general terms, that developed countries should
seek to develop programs for adjustments to deal with the
problems caused by increasing imports from the developing
countries.
- 4.
-
Export Development—As part of our
planning for the Conference, the U.S. is exploring opportunities
for expanding technical and financial assistance for export
development. However, the U.S. would oppose recommendations
which call on DC Governments to
develop domestic programs designed specifically to encourage and
promote the sale of imports from developing countries.
- 5.
-
Foreign Private Investment—Without
highlighting private investment as an issue in the UNCTAD forum, we should make
clear the contribution of private investment to the development
process.
- 6.
-
AID Untying—We have
indicated the current international trade and monetary situation
must be clarified before negotiating a final untying agreement.
Under present circumstances we cannot be forthcoming on this
issue at the Conference.
- 7.
-
Multilateral Interest Equalization
Fund—The U.S. should oppose resolutions calling for the
establishment of a multilateral Interest Equalization Scheme.
However the U.S. could support an LDC initiated and supported resolution calling for
the IBRD to study the
feasibility of establishing a modest fund to subsidize
interest-cost differentials. (Treasury supports the first but
not the second position.)
- 8.
-
Institutional—The U.S. should continue to
recognize and support UNCTAD
as an institution for discussion and consultation on problems
and policies connected with trade and development. We should
firmly resist pressures to make it more operational and a forum
for negotiations.
- 9.
-
Least developed—The U.S. should be
willing to assist the least developed countries in terms of
program proposals and to consider financial contributions
possibly through the UNDP, the
regional banks, or through bilateral programs
Attachment
CIEP STUDY MEMORANDUM 16—UNCTAD III
I. Situation
- 1)
-
UNCTAD III (April 13-May 19
in Santiago, Chile) will be one of the longest and largest
international economic Conferences of recent years. Like UNCTAD I in 1964 and UNCTAD II in 1968, it will be a
major event in the evolving dialogue between developed and
developing countries. The LDCs
have a long list of grievances and demands to
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present which were agreed to in
November, 1971 at the LDC
Ministerial level preparatory meeting in Lima.3 They have prepared carefully
for UNCTAD III, attach great
importance to it, and will press hard for new DC actions.
- 2)
- We do not expect major new agreements to be reached at the
Conference to relieve the economic frustrations which now exist
in the developing world. The developed countries generally do
not appear prepared to undertake important new development
commitments at this time of uncertainty and transition—over
future aid levels, trade arrangements, the new monetary system,
etc. Many LDCs understand the
situation and have adopted realistic expectations for the
Conference. However, some LDCs
will adopt a very hard line with many of their sharpest attacks
directed against the United States. There is a possibility that
the Conference will be marked by confrontation between rich and
poor along the lines proposed by the radical LDCs. We hope this situation can be
avoided. With appropriate co-operation by all members, the
Conference can make a constructive contribution to the
development process.
- 3)
- The developed countries have been co-ordinating their
positions for the Conference in the OECD and at Geneva. It is clear that they are not
prepared to take major new initiatives for the LDCs, although certain DCs could propose surprise
concessions at Santiago. Most DCs
are prepared to be forthcoming on a number of relatively less
important issues (least developed, export development) where
they can demonstrate good will at little cost, but this clearly
will not be enough to satisfy the LDCs. Cooperation among developed countries has
been good. In contrast, the Group of 77 is widely split over
issues such as special measures for the least developed, tactics
for the Conference, and influence in international organizations
such as UNCTAD. In general,
US preparations and proposed positions are in step with those or
other major developed countries. However, we can expect some
criticism from other developed countries over our failure to
implement GSP and our role in
cocoa negotiations. We also can expect sharply divergent views
on commodity issues; the US favors a commodity by commodity
approach emphasizing market access whereas the Europeans, and
particularly the French, support commodity arrangements to
stabilize and raise prices.
- 4)
- The August 15 action by the President imposing the import
surcharge and the ten percent aid cut drew criticism from the
LDCs. The negotiations in
the Group of Ten leading up the December 18 currency
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realignment decision
brought forth LDC demands for
greater participation in the decision making process affecting
the international monetary order. The lifting of the surcharge
and Secretary Rogers’
announcement of our intention to submit GSP legislation to Congress early in 1972 have
improved the atmosphere somewhat.4 What the US does or does not do on
GSP will have a particularly
important impact on our posture and image at the Conference. In
any event, we expect the LDCs
will press the US hard on a number of difficult issues: aid
volumes, GSP, cocoa, investment
problems, the SDR-link,
participation in monetary reform, etc.
- 5)
- Although currency realignment is a positive development, the
mood of the country and Congress is not favorable to new trade
and aid measures for the developing countries at this time. This
general climate, together with the timing and site of the
Conference and other economic policy considerations, will make
it especially difficult for the United States to adopt, and
later defend, forthcoming positions in response to LDC requests. We believe our
participation at the Conference will have a significant, if
short term, impact on our relations with the developing world.
We should keep in mind that UNCTAD III is partly a Latin American event, and
consequently the nature of our participation will have
repercussions on our hemispheric economic and political
relations.
II. General Strategy
The US should adopt a generally forthcoming but low key approach to
UNCTAD III. We should
carefully examine the issues and support new initiatives that have
merit and are consistent with US political and economic interests.
We should continue to seek a unified Group B position on major
conference issues and cooperate in the OECD to achieve this objective.
At the Conference, the US should avoid confrontation with radical
LDCs where possible and seek to
win the cooperation and support of moderate elements. US statements
at UNCTAD should be low keyed,
emphasizing the economic merits of issues, and avoiding political
polemics. Where there are reasonable grounds for LDC requests, we
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should support these. We should not
highlight the private foreign investment issue in this forum, but
should make clear the contribution of private investment to the
development process.
In addition to responding to LDC
initiatives, we should be prepared to offer sound initiatives of our
own and to encourage other DCs to be
forthcoming. An important US objective should be increased UNCTAD and LDC attention to LDC
trade and development policies to promote their trade and
development. This would be in accord with the self-help principle
and their recognition in the Lima Declaration that the primary
responsibility for the economic development of the developing
countries rests upon themselves. Other important objectives should
be to keep political attacks against the US out of the UNCTAD forum when possible, and to
appropriately underscore our many past contributions to the welfare
of the LDCs. To the extent possible,
we should continue to recognize and support UNCTAD as an institution for
discussion and consultation on problems and policies connected with
LDC trade and development, while
at the same time firmly resisting pressures to make it more
operational and a forum for negotiations.
The proposed US position is designed to face the realities of a
difficult situation since it is neither politically nor economically
feasible to satisfy most of the LDC
demands. However, if we demonstrate we are prepared to consider and
discuss reasonable proposals and where possible to take action to
support these, our posture will be defensible and in addition will
make some contribution to development. Such an approach may
discourage some polemics and acrimony; it should at least encourage
constructive discussion of the issues and possibly even some
atmosphere of good will.
As part of our preparation for the Conference, we believe the
Administration should press for prompt and favorable Congressional
action on International Financial Institutions (IFI) legislation including the IDA replenishment, Special Funds for
the ADB and ordinary capital as well
as the Fund for Special Operations (FSO) of the IDB.
Approval of these requests would fulfill past and current US
commitments to IFIs and reduce
LDC criticism of US assistance
levels.
[Omitted here are Section III, “Conference Issues,” and three
attachments: an 8-page “Item by Item Review of UNCTAD III Agenda,” an 11-page paper
entitled “UNCTAD III—Group of
77—Declaracion de Lima,” and a 3-page paper summarizing UNCTAD I (Geneva, 1964) and UNCTAD II (New Delhi, 1968).]