156. Telegram From the Embassy in Argentina to the Department of State1

356. Deptel 269.2 Whereas, elements in oppostion Peoples’ Radical Party and elements in armed forces (at least in Army) have been and are thinking in terms of over-turning Frondizi Government and, whereas, there seemed to be imminent possibility (though not probability) of effort being made a few weeks ago, situation has quieted down at least for time being. It is probable that majority Army opinion and nearly unanimous Navy opinion favors continued support of Frondizi despite disagreement with certain policies especially toward labor which some armed service elements consider provide opportunities for Peronists or neo-Peronists to gain control of organized labor but present feeling is Frondizi should be given chance and opposition should be expressed democratically. There is little popular [Page 510] support for movement to unseat Frondizi by force and obvious danger of civil war if serious attempt to unseat Frondizi occurs. This danger is probably clear to military whose collaboration would be essential to possible success of any subversive attempt. Present crisis in Air Force not known seriously to affect this picture.

Frondizi’s petroleum program believed to have strengthened his position. Invitation to visit US also has improved his position. Last night’s announcement terms of prospective settlement CADE (electric power) problem should further improve his position. At present time Embassy gives Frondizi better than even chance of continuing in office.

Beaulac
  1. Source: Department of State, Central Files, 735.00/9–958. Secret.
  2. Telegram 269 to Buenos Aires, September 8, reads as follows:

    “In view probable aid request Argentine economic situation and subject US assistance discussed meeting of Treasury and Department officers. Consensus was current and prospective stability Frondizi government significant factor determining timing and manner any assistance. Embassy’s assessment stability requested soonest.” (ibid., 835.10/9–858)