105. Memorandum From the Secretary of State’s Special Assistant (Russell) to the Secretary of State1
SUBJECT
- Alternative Courses of Action to Achieve Israel-Arab Settlement
Mr. Anderson, on his next trip to the area, will make every effort to work out a direct meeting between Nasser and Ben Gurion (or some other Israel representative). I am listing in a separate memorandum2 some of the points which I suggest for Mr. Anderson’s use in his discussions with Nasser and Ben Gurion to bring about a meeting. The prospects of achieving a direct meeting, however, are less than fifty-fifty. I believe that before he leaves alternative course of action should be agreed upon in the event it is not possible to obtain a meeting and in the event it appears that the time within which a settlement can be worked out is sharply limited so that it would not be desirable for Mr. Anderson to take time to return here and then go back again to the area. This is likely to be the case. The tension in Israel will increase as long as they receive no arms. On the other hand, the granting of arms to Israel would seriously lessen the possibility of a settlement at this time. In Egypt and elsewhere in the Arab world an attitude of cockiness and over-confidence is already showing itself and will probably soon reach a point where it will make it even more difficult than at present for us to obtain cooperation from them in a settlement. The Israel Government [Page 190] may commence work on Banat Yaacov any time after March 1, thereby touching off hostilities.
I suggest that a tentative decision be made now between one of the following alternatives as a “last shot” effort in the event a direct meeting cannot be arranged and it appears the time within which a settlement is possible is limited:
- 1.
- Mr. Anderson would say to both sides that we have failed in our effort to work out a settlement by the Trieste approach or by a direct meeting and that, as a final means of attempting to bring about a settlement, we would be willing, if desired by both sides, to present a suggested plan of settlement which we would hope both sides would earnestly consider. He should make it plain that the U.S. is not attempting to impose a settlement nor is it itself adopting a rigid position on the terms of what a settlement should be. It would be willing, however, to set forth what it believes, after listening to both sides, offers the best possibility of achieving a settlement that takes into account the vital interests of both sides.
- 2.
- An alternative method of putting forth a set of specific proposals would be to have some internationally prominent and objective person, such as Nehru or Hammarskjold, make specific proposals for a settlement. We could then put our support behind them and urge other governments to.
A proposed plan of settlement is attached. It provides for alternative positions on the Negev—one for cession and the other for internationalization of a portion of it.
There would, of course, be difficulties in either of the two proposals. In the case of (1) it would be difficult for us thereafter to serve as a mere intermediary. If the assumption that we only have a short while in which to work out a settlement is true, however, the loss of our ability to play this role is not too serious. It could, in any event, be minimized by Mr. Anderson putting forth the suggestions as his own rather than as a U.S. official position. Another objection is that if we suggest cession of a portion of the Negev, Israel might be resentful. In effect, however, such a suggestion would be going little further than you already have in your statements to Sharett. Finally, such a suggested solution might touch off a decision by the Israel Government to resort to preventive action. We are, however, likely in any event to be faced with such a possibility if no settlement is reached.
The advantages of pursuing one of the two courses of action are: (a) it would, to a greater extent than has been done up to the present time, give focus and concreteness to what is required in obtaining a settlement and the advantages that will flow from one; (b) if alternative No. 2 is taken, it will make it possible to marshall behind concrete proposals the very great U.S. and world public opinion that currently, in an amorphous way, supports the idea of a [Page 191] settlement; (c) there is substantial opinion that neither side will be able to bring itself on its own steam to make the necessary concessions for a settlement but that each side might decide to undertake to justify concessions to its nationals in the context of (1) or (2) above.
- Source: Department of State, NEA Files: Lot 59 D 518, Cost of Arab-Israel Settlement: FHR’s memo to S, with Spec. Assistant’s reply (Feb 14 and 15). Top Secret; Alpha. Russell furnished copies of this memorandum to Robert B. Anderson, Hoover, Allen, and Director of Central Intelligence Dulles.↩
- Not printed.↩
- Top Secret; Alpha.↩