498. Letter 23 from Johnson to McConaughy1
I tremendously appreciated your letter No. 31 transmitting various documents which I have found most useful and helpful, and this letter is primarily for the purpose of replying thereto.
I was greatly disappointed to receive a telegram from Bonn this morning, saying that Miss King could not arrive here until next Monday, so that means we will go through another meeting session without a secretary. Miss Ferguson, who formerly worked for me and is now Mr. Gowen’s secretary, has most generously volunteered to forego her holiday today in order that I could get this reply off to you.
1. We all feel that Lindbeck’s Paper on Treatment of Imprisoned American Civilians is a most admirable piece of work. It strikes an excellent note and, except for the last page where I have fairly substantial suggestions for rewriting conclusions, we only have nit picks. For your convenience in handling, I am enclosing a separate sheet giving our suggestions and I am retaining here the copy of the Paper which you transmitted to us.
[Typeset Page 783]2. The DRF Intelligence Report on the Foreign Ministers’ Conference. This is also an excellent piece of work and except for the following I concur with it.
In the abstract and again on page 3 the paper gives the impression that the United States supports the GRC “legal” closure of the mainland ports. I had always understood, and Dave confirms that it was also his understanding up to the time he left the Department, that we had never taken a position in support of this port closure. In fact it is my recollection that we protested it [Facsimile Page 2] at the time it was imposed and I do not recall that we have ever withdrawn our protest. In any event I feel certain that Chou would never raise with us the question of GRC termination of this measure which he would regard as a “domestic”, that is GRC-PRC matter. He might raise the question of U.S. material aid to the GRC in maintaining this policy and, thus, the U.S. “interference” in a Chinese “domestic” matter.
With respect to the general thesis of Section IV, particularly the bottom of page 7 and page 8, it seems to me most unlikely that the Chinese Communists would attempt an invasion of Taiwan (as opposed to the Offshore Islands) as a means of coercing the United States into a Foreign Ministers’ conference. If the Chicoms had reached the point of being able to mount such an invasion, they would be shooting for the complete elimination of the GRC and the possession of Taiwan. They would certainly not be prepared to suspend any such invasion for a Foreign Ministers’ conference or have any interest in such a conference until the battle had been decided.
While not disagreeing with any of the listed motives under Section III of the Chinese Communists pressing for a Foreign Ministers’ conference, it seems that this Section slights a very major element. One of the reasons Chou made his bid for negotiations at Bandung was his appreciation of the strong world and neutralist sentiment for peaceful negotiations and the avoidance of war. On the positive side, the Chicoms want to enlist this sentiment behind their claims and policies. On the negative side, the Chicoms appreciate that it would be politically most unwise for them to initiate military action, even against the Offshores, without first having established the impression that they had exhausted all avenues of peaceful negotiation. By pressing for a Foreign Ministers’ meeting they are able to capitalize on this sentiment whether or not we agree to such a meeting. If we do not agree, they consider they will be able to reinforce their pose of willingness to negotiate being rebuffed by the United States. If we do agree to such a meeting and no “reduction of tensions in the Taiwan area” is accomplished, they will similarly hope to reinforce their pose of “reasonableness” being frustrated by U.S. “unreasonableness”. In each of these situations they will hope to capitalize on the almost general absence of international support for the GRC position [Typeset Page 784] on the Offshore Islands and the deteriorating international position of the GRC as the de jure government of China, further to isolate the United States in its position with respect to the GRC.
3. Contingent Press Release in Event of Break-Off. I think that the Department’s statement is excellent and it well avoids the danger of slamming doors and accentuating any crisis atmosphere that may be created. I have no suggestions.
[Facsimile Page 3]In this regard I am enclosing a copy of the contingent break-off statement which I drafted prior to the February 9 meeting on the basis of the Department’s 1591. I am keeping this in the brief case for use, if necessary, and would appreciate any comments or suggestions the Department may have. Of course, both of these statements may require some modification to fit them to the situation. As far as my statement is concerned, for maximum effectiveness, it would have to be given out as I left the meeting room and would have to appear largely extemporaneous. In any event I suggest that you keep the text handy on meeting days so that if a break does unexpectedly come, it can be used as a basis for a telephone call from me letting you know exactly what I have said.
4. White Paper Summarizing Talks. Both Dave and I have carefully gone over the Historical Division’s draft paper summarizing the talks to date. Our intention was to transmit our detailed suggestions as with Lindbeck’s paper. However, we both found that this was not practical as, frankly, we feel the paper is in need of complete rewriting. I do not feel that it effectively presents our case, and its shifting back and forth between the chronological and subject approach can only leave the reader very confused. I certainly would not want it to represent the official summary of our talks. Dave is starting to work on an entirely new draft which we will go over together and try to get to you as quickly as possible.
I particularly appreciated the memorandum on the China portion of the discussions with the British as well as Robertson’s conversation with Koo. I especially felt that Robertson’s comments to Koo on Chiang’s recent statements were very well taken and I was glad to see this said.
I will, of course, be glad to go over to Paris if it is thought that it would be useful and I would hope to hear one way or another as soon as possible in order that I nay make my plans. I have made an engagement in Prague for Sunday, March 4, which I would be loath to break but could fit in almost any other time.
I should have previously called your attention to the “question” Wang asked me at the last meeting (paragraph 11 mytel 1513). This is the best and frankest thumbnail summary of their position that he has given to date.
[Typeset Page 785]I expect to go back to Prague Saturday morning and return here on Tuesday.
All the best to everyone.
Sincerely,
American Ambassador
- Source: Department of State, Geneva Talks Files, Lot 72D415. Secret; Official–Informal. Johnson signed the original “Alex.”↩
- Confidential.↩
- No classification marking.↩
- This paragraph to be used and penultimate paragraph deleted if Wang denounces Agreed Announcement. [Footnote in the original.]↩
- This paragraph to be used and second paragraph deleted unless Wang denounces Agreed Announcement. [Footnote in the original.]↩