S/SNSC files, lot 63 D 351, NSC 5440

Draft Statement of Policy Prepared by the National Security Council Planning Board1

top secret
NSC 5440

Note by the Executive Secretary to the National Security Council on Basic National Security Policy

References:

A.
NSC 162/22
B.
NSC 5422/23
C.
Memo for NSC from Executive Secretary, subject “Summary Statement of Existing Basic National Security Policy”, dated October 11, 19544
D.
NSC Actions No. 1251, 1272, 1279 and 12865
E.
NIE 11–4–54, NIE 11–6–546
[Page 807]

The enclosed tentative draft statement of policy on the subject, prepared by the NSC Planning Board, pursuant to NSC Action No. 1272–b, is transmitted herewith for preliminary discussion by the National Security Council at its meeting on December 21, 1954.7

It is the President’s desire that this preliminary Council discussion of the enclosed tentative draft take place before delivery to the Congress of the State-of-the-Union Message. It is recognized that, particularly because of the absence of certain Council members at the NATO meetings in Europe during the week preceding December 21, there may not be sufficient opportunity before that Council meeting for thorough departmental review of the enclosed tentative draft. Accordingly, the President has approved that final Council action on the enclosed draft may be deferred to the first Council meeting in January 1955. The President, however, wishes the Council members and advisers, including the Joint Chiefs of Staff, to be prepared with their tentative views on the enclosed draft at the December 21 meeting, reserving final expression of their views if desired until the January meeting.

The enclosed draft statement of policy, in the form finally adopted and approved, is intended to supersede NSC 162/2 and NSC 5422/2, and to constitute the basic guide in the implementation of all other National Security policies, superseding any provisions in such other policies as may be in conflict with this basic policy.

James S. Lay, Jr.

[Here follows a one-page table of contents.]

[Page 808]

[Enclosure]

Draft Statement Prepared by the National Security Council Planning Board

top secret

Basic National Security Policy

section a

estimate of the situation

The Soviet-Communist challenge, including the approach of the USSR to nuclear plenty, constitutes a peril greater than any the United States has ever before faced.*

I. Relative Communist Bloc and Free World Capabilities

1. Soviet air-atomic capabilities are rapidly increasing. Already the USSR has the capacity to inflict widespread devastation on major free world countries allied to the U.S. and serious damage to the U.S. itself. Over approximately the next five years the USSR will almost certainly develop the net capability to strike a crippling blow at the United States.

2. At present the U.S. can inflict massive damage on the Communist bloc by nuclear striking power. Even when the USSR arrives at the point where it can strike a crippling blow at the U.S., the U.S. will still be able to inflict equal or greater damage on the USSR, provided that it takes adequate measures to protect its effective retaliatory power.

3. The Soviet guided missile program, over the next few years will bring increasingly longer-range missiles into production. Assuming an intensive effort, the USSR may develop roughly by 1963 (1960 at the earliest) operational intercontinental ballistic missiles. The U.S. program for missiles of this type should approximate this timetable, provided that intensive effort continues. There is no known defense against such missiles at this time.

4. Thus a situation is approaching in which a total war involving use by both sides of available weapons would bring about such extensive destruction as to threaten the survival of both Western civilization [Page 809] and the Soviet system. This situation could create a condition of mutual deterrence, in which each side would be strongly inhibited from deliberately initiating general war or taking actions which it regarded as materially increasing the risk of general war. In any case, war would remain a possibility, if only because of the element of miscalculation by either side or because of a technological break-through by the Soviets leading them to believe they could destroy the U.S. without effective retaliation.

5. The Communist bloc will maintain and further develop formidable conventional forces, with improved combat effectiveness and a large increase in submarines. The principal limitations will be logistic problems and deficiencies in specialized experience, training and equipment.

6. The free world can make substantial progress in building military strength through the continued improvement of NATO forces, the introduction of West German units, some Japanese rearmament, and the progressive development of new weapons systems and of production facilities. Introduction of nuclear weapons into the NATO defense system on the basis of agreed policy will be of crucial importance. Provided that it has the will to do so, the free world coalition has the capacity to maintain sufficient armed strength, along with U.S. strategic nuclear striking power, to constitute a major deterrent to Communist military aggression and to maximize the chances of dealing effectively with such aggression if it should occur.

7. The stability of the USSR and its hold over the European satellites are unlikely to be seriously shaken over the next few years, despite measures which the U.S. may find it feasible to take to weaken Soviet control. However, the control system of the USSR will continue to be faced with important problems (such as discontent in the satellites, agricultural difficulties, and pressures for satisfying consumer wants), some of which may be susceptible to a limited degree of exploitation from outside.

8. Communist China is likely to continue vigorous and cohesive, but will face internal problems much greater than those of the USSR. The Sino-Soviet tie probably will remain strong for the next few years not only for ideological reasons but also because it furthers the purposes of both parties.

9. In absolute terms, the growth of the U.S. economy should be greater than that of the USSR, and U.S. productive capacity in 1959 will still be more than twice that of the USSR. Nevertheless, the economic growth of the USSR can be expected to continue at a rate considerably higher than that of the U.S. or of other major free world countries. The difference in growth rates will probably be even greater in the industrial sector, despite some increased [Page 810] Soviet emphasis on agriculture and consumer goods. Moreover, the USSR will be devoting to capital investment, and to uses contributing to war potential, a much greater proportion of its resources.

10. Soviet economic progress will be for many peoples with lower living standards an impressive example, and will probably constitute an important element in spreading Soviet influence, especially in Asia. Communist China, if its industrialization continues as expected at a rate relatively rapid as compared with that of other Asian countries, will also exert considerable attractive forces on Asian peoples, especially if economic improvement in free Asia is slow or non-existent.

11. The existing structure of U.S. alliances can probably be maintained, and may possibly be extended, particularly in the Middle East. However, there will be serious strains on these alliances, especially the ties between the U.S. and its major allies, resulting from growing fears of atomic war on the part of the allies, differing attitudes on China, and greater receptivity by the allies to Soviet overtures. Our allies will probably be more reluctant than the U.S. to participate in actions which appear to them to involve appreciable risks of war in order to prevent further Communist advances in areas which do not directly involve their vital interests.

12. Underdeveloped countries will continue to be a major source of weakness in the position of the free world, owing to such factors as political instability, economic backwardness, extreme nationalism, and the colonial issue. The dangers of subversion will be great, especially in countries under the shadow of Communist power and subject to direct Communist pressures and intervention. In Southeast Asia the present situation is extremely precarious. Failure of the free world to deal more effectively with the problems of underdeveloped areas will weaken the free world and benefit international communism, even in countries where actual Communist take-over is not imminent.

13. As the lines between the Communist bloc and the Western coalition have come to be more clearly drawn over the last few years, a situation has arisen in which any further Communist territorial gain would have an unfavorable impact within the free world that might be out of all proportion to the strategic or economic significance of the territory lost.

II. Probable Soviet and Chinese Communist Intentions and Strategy

14. The USSR has not modified its basic hostility toward the non-Communist world, and especially toward the U.S. as the power center of that world, or its belief in the ultimate triumph of Communism. The Soviet leaders can be expected to seek constantly, by every means they find advantageous, to extend Communist power [Page 811] and to weaken those forces, especially U.S. power and influence, which they regard as inexorable enemies of their system. However, they will almost certainly avoid pursuing their long-term goals in ways which jeopardize the security of the regime or their control of the Communist bloc. Soviet objectives can be listed as follows, in descending order of importance:

a.
The security of the regime and of the USSR.
b.
Maintaining the Soviet hold on the European satellites, and keeping China within the Communist bloc.
c.
Elimination of U.S. influence from Eurasia, and the isolation of the U.S.
d.
Expansion of Soviet Communist power throughout Eurasia.
e.
Elimination of the U.S. as a competing power center.
f.
The spread of Communism throughout the world.

15. Communist China remains bitterly hostile to the U.S., and ostensibly committed to the conquest of Formosa. It will attempt to expand its power on the mainland of Asia and to expel U.S. power and influence therefrom. In pursuit of this end, it probably will place primary emphasis on penetration and support of subversion in neighboring countries.

16. Provided that the U.S. and free world have at all times an adequate military posture and the necessary determination, it appears unlikely that, within the next five years, the USSR or Communist China will deliberately initiate war, or engage in overt military aggression if in its judgement such aggression would involve appreciable risk of war with the U.S. They will try to avoid courses of action which in their judgment will clearly involve such risk. However, they probably would not be deterred by the risk of general war from taking military counteraction against Western actions considered to be an imminent threat to their security. Moreover, general war might occur as the climax of a series of actions and counteractions which neither side originally intended to lead to that result.

17. The Soviet switch to a “soft” line, since the death of Stalin and increasingly in recent months, is a significant new factor in the situation. The Soviet leaders almost certainly regard this “peace offensive” as their most effective present tactic for dividing the free world and isolating the U.S. from its allies. A principal aim is to prevent the rearmament of West Germany in association [Page 812] with the Western powers. If this attempt fails, the Soviets may revert to a more uncompromising and menacing posture. The current “soft” line may also be motivated, however, by domestic preoccupations and fear of general war, and the Soviets may therefore desire an extended period of reduced tensions. Even should that be the case, Soviet policy will mainly seek tacit understanding not to resort to force to change the present territorial division between the Communist bloc and the free world. In any event, whatever Soviet concessions are made will, for some time, almost certainly be confined to relatively minor issues. Although it appears very unlikely, the Soviet leaders might be led by the fear of nuclear destruction to accept an effective system of armaments control, with whatever changes would thereby be required in their present practices and concepts.

18. If the Soviet “soft” line is not reversed, our allies will be eager to explore it seriously, and will probably wish, in seeking a basis of “coexistence”, to go to further lengths than the U.S. will find prudent. Even if the USSR offers no real concessions, these tendencies will probably persist, supported by large segments of public opinion. It will be a major task, therefore, to maintain the necessary unity and resolution in the free world coalition if the Soviet “peace offensive” continues.

19. Despite the talk of “coexistence”, the Communist powers will continue strenuous efforts to weaken and disrupt free-world strength and unity and to expand the area of their control, principally by subversion (including the support of insurrection), while avoiding involvement of the main sources of Communist power. This strategy will probably present the free world with its most serious challenge and greatest danger in the next few years.

20. Attainment by the USSR of the capacity to inflict crippling damage on the U.S. almost certainly would not tempt the Soviets to initiate general war, unless they believed that they could neutralize, or by initial surprise could destroy, U.S. retaliatory power before it could be used. They will continue to be extremely reluctant to precipitate a contest in which the USSR would be likely to be subjected even to limited nuclear attack. After attaining atomic plenty, however, the Communist powers probably will increase the pace of their attempts at progressive local expansion, supported by force or threat of force, provided they estimate that such action can succeed and will not provoke U.S. counteraction involving appreciable risk of general war.§

[Page 813]

section b

outline of u.s. national strategy

21. The basic objective of U.S. national security policy is to preserve the security of the United States, and its fundamental values and institutions [without seriously weakening the U.S. economy.]

22. The basic threat to U.S. security is posed by the hostile policies and power, including growing nuclear power, of the Soviet-Communist bloc, with its international Communist apparatus.

23. The basic problem confronting the U.S. is how, without undermining fundamental U.S. values and institutions or seriously weakening the U.S. economy to meet [and for the future to keep within] [and ultimately to diminish to]** acceptable proportions this threat to U.S. security.

24. The Soviet bloc–free world conflict can be resolved in accordance with U.S. security interests only through either (a) overthrow of the Soviet regime and its replacement by a government with no expansionist or other objectives inconsistent with U.S. security; or (b) modification of the Soviet system so that its leaders for practical purposes abandon expansionist policies and accept either formal or de facto arrangements consistent with U.S. security interests.

25. The U.S. and its allies have no foreseeable prospect of stopping the growth of Soviet nuclear capabilities and of reducing Soviet armed strength—the core of Communist power—[or of significantly reducing other basic Communist military strength,]‡‡ except by mutually acceptable agreements with the Soviets or by large-scale military action. The initiation by the U.S. of such action for this purpose is not an acceptable course either to the U.S. or its major allies.

26. Hence, U.S. policies must be designed to affect the conduct of the Communist regimes, especially that of the USSR, in ways that further U.S. security interests and to encourage tendencies that lead them to abandon expansionist policies. In pursuing this general strategy, our effort should be directed to: [Page 814]

a.
Deterring further Communist aggression, and preventing the occurrence of total war so far as compatible with U.S. security.
b.
Maintaining and developing in the free world the mutuality of interest and common purpose, and the necessary will, strength and stability to face the Soviet-Communist threat and to provide constructive and attractive alternatives to Communism, which sustain the hope and confidence of free peoples.
c.
Fostering changes in the character and policies of the Communist regimes by making clear to them available alternatives which are in their basic interests and do not conflict with those of the U.S. and by exploiting differences between such regimes in ways consistent with this strategy.

27. To carry out effectively this general strategy will require a flexible combination of military, political, economic, propaganda, and covert actions which enables the full exercise of U.S. initiative. These actions must be so coordinated as to reinforce one another.

28. Provided that it is resolutely pursued, this general strategy offers the best hope of bringing about at least a prolonged period of armed truce, and ultimately a peaceful resolution of the Soviet bloc-free world conflict and a peaceful and orderly world environment. Failure resolutely to pursue this general strategy could, within a relatively short span of years, place the U.S. in great jeopardy.

section c

elements of national strategy

I. Military Problem

29. A central aim of U.S. policy must be to deter the Communists from use of their military power [while remaining prepared to fight general war should one be forced upon the U.S.].‡‡ This stress on deterrence is dictated by the disastrous character of total nuclear war, the possibility of local conflicts developing into total war, and the serious effect of further Communist aggression. Hence the Communist rulers must be convinced that aggression will not serve their interests: that it will not pay.

30. If this purpose is to be achieved, the U.S. and its allies in the aggregate will have to have, for an indefinite period, military forces with sufficient strength, flexibility and mobility to enable them to deal swiftly and severely with Communist overt aggression in its various forms and to cope successfully with general war should it develop. In addition, the U.S. and its major allies must show that they are united in their determination to use military force against such aggression.

[Page 815]

31. As part of its military forces, the U.S. must develop and maintain its effective nuclear-air retaliatory power, and must keep that power secure from neutralization or from a Soviet knockout blow, even by surprise. So long as the Soviets are uncertain of their ability to neutralize this power, there is little reason to expect them to initiate general war or actions which they believe would carry appreciable risk of general war, and thereby endanger the regime and the security of the USSR.

32. In addition to its nuclear-air retaliatory power, the United States will have to have other ready forces. These forces, together with those of its allies, must be sufficient (a) to help deter any resort to local aggression, or (b) to punish swiftly and severely any such local aggression, in a manner and on a scale best calculated to avoid the hostilities broadening into total nuclear war. Such ready forces will be in addition to those assigned to NATO; must be suitably deployed, highly mobile, and equipped as appropriate with atomic capability; and must also, along with those assigned to NATO, be capable of discharging initial tasks in the event of general war.

33. Such a policy is predicated upon the support and cooperation of appropriate major allies and certain other free world countries, in furnishing bases for U.S. military power, especially strategic air, and in providing their share of military forces. To succeed, the basic strategy and policy of the U.S. must be believed by our appropriate major allies generally to serve their security as well as ours. Thus, it is important for the United States to take the necessary steps to convince them that such is the case.

34. The ability to apply force selectively and flexibly will become increasingly important in maintaining the morale and will of the free world to resist aggression. As the fear of nuclear war grows, the United States and its allies must never allow themselves to get into the position where they must choose between (a) not responding to local aggression and (b) applying force in a way which our own people or our allies would consider entails undue risk of nuclear devastation. However, the United States cannot afford to preclude itself from using nuclear weapons even in a local situation, if such use will bring the aggression to a swift and positive cessation, and if, on a balance of political and military consideration, such use will best advance U.S. security interests. In the last analysis, if confronted by the choice of (a) acquiescing in Communist aggression or (b) taking measures risking either general war or loss of allied support, the United States must be prepared to take these risks if necessary for its security.

35. The United States and its allies must reject the concept of preventive war or acts intended to provoke war. [The United States [Page 816] and its allies will also have to forego actions regarded as provocative, if such actions would foreclose the requisite domestic political support for the use of force should this become necessary. Moreover, if the Communist rulers should conclude that the United States is bent on aggressive war, they may feel that they have no choice but to initiate war themselves at their own time. Hence, the United States should attempt to make clear, by word and conduct, that it is not our intention to provoke war.]§§ At the same time the United States and its major allies must make clear their determination to oppose aggression despite risk of general war, and the United States must make clear its determination to prevail if general war eventuates.

II. Strengthening the Free World

36. The United States should place more stress than heretofore on building the strength and cohesion of the free world, and take adequate actions for the purpose of: (a) creating cohesion within and among all the free nations, remedying their weaknesses, and steadily improving the relative position of the free world; and (b) destroying the effectiveness of the Communist apparatus in the free world. Success in these endeavors will depend heavily on the degree to which the U.S. and its major allies can attain agreement on basic political objectives and actions to achieve them.

37. Direct action against the Communist apparatus must rest largely with the local governments concerned, although the US. should be able to help significantly, chiefly through covert means. In countries vulnerable to subversion, the U.S. should, as one of its objectives, assist in the development of adequate internal security forces. In case of an imminent or actual Communist seizure of control, the U.S. should take all feasible political, economic, and covert measures to thwart it, and, if necessary and appropriate, should take military action.

38. The existence of conditions in the free world which the Communists can exploit makes it very difficult for the free world to overcome its divisions, fears, and weaknesses. In many cases, the U.S. faces the choice of (a) taking timely action to help remedy such conditions, or of (b) allowing the situation to deteriorate with the prospect of later trying to prevent Communist gains by more costly and less certain measures, or even military action. The ability of the free world, over the long pull, to meet the challenge and competition of the Communist world will depend in large measure on the capacity to demonstrate progress toward meeting the basic needs and aspirations of its peoples.

[Page 817]

39. In the economic field, there are two basic problems: (a) the industrialized areas require expanding markets and (b) the underdeveloped areas seek to develop and modernize their economies. It should be within the capacity of the free world, with U.S. initiative and leadership, to turn these two problems into mutually supporting assets for the promotion of appropriate economic strength and growth.

40. A necessary condition for such strength and growth is a high level of international trade within the free world. In order to foster this, the U.S.: (a) should continue to press strongly for a general reduction of trade barriers; (b) must take the lead by reducing further its own tariff level over the next few years; and (c) should also support sound moves to widen the convertibility of currencies.

41. The dangers of free world stability are particularly acute in the underdeveloped areas. The task of speeding up their economic growth and promoting stability presents a multitude of problems, political and social as well as economic. For example, it calls for some changes in traditional habits and attitudes and for greatly expanded training in administrative and technical skills. In any case, new capital investment is a prerequisite to growth. Local capital will have to be supplemented by the provision of capital from abroad. In addition to external public and private investment and IBRD loans, substantial financing from U.S. public funds (including the Export-Import Bank) will be necessary, in some cases over an extended period, to help achieve the economic progress essential to U.S. interests. U.S. financial assistance alone cannot produce satisfactory economic growth in these areas, and external assistance should be used in a way to promote and not decrease local incentives and self-help.

42. In order to promote conditions of sound development in underdeveloped areas the United States should be prepared to use economic means available to it where (a) such action serves U.S. objectives, (b) such development cannot be financed by local or other foreign capital, and (c) such assistance will be effectively used; and as part of such assistance the United States should train indigenous leaders, develop skills, and provide competent advisers. Specifically, the U.S. should support a new initiative, in which industrialized free world nations and underdeveloped nations of Asia would both participate, aimed at significant economic improvement in South and Southeast Asia, where the Communist threat is especially dangerous. [The total level of U.S. economic assistance worldwide should, however, be progressively reduced.]║║

[Page 818]

43. U.S. political policies must be adapted to conditions prevailing in each underdeveloped area. The U.S. should not exert pressure to make active allies of those not so inclined. The U.S. should provide assistance on the basis of the willingness and ability of countries to strengthen and defend their independence against Communist expansion rather than on their formal alignment with the U.S. As far as possible, the U.S. should attempt to work with rather than against those forces, such as constructive nationalist and reform movements, which are likely to remain powerful over a long period.

44. Where disputes and tensions between free nations threaten to impair free world strength and cohesion, the U.S. should exert its best efforts to help settle them or at least moderate their effects. In addition to efforts to settle specific current controversies, the U.S. should develop longterm policies to deal with deep-seated problems (such as those involved in the evolution of colonial peoples).

III. Political Strategy Against the Communist Bloc

45. The U.S. should develop a political strategy against the Communist bloc designed: (a) to reduce the likelihood of aggression; (b) to influence, in ways favorable to U.S. and free world interests, decisions and developments within the Communist bloc, such as toward greater emphasis on internal problems; and (c) to foster long-run trends which might lead to basic changes in the outlook or character of Communist regimes.

46. In pursuing this strategy, the U.S. should seek: (a) to convince the Communist regimes that alternatives exist to their present policies which would be acceptable to the U.S., and which they might come to consider compatible with their basic security interests; (b) to give to the Communist regimes a clear conception of the true U.S. and free world purposes and uncompromising determination to resist Communist aggressive moves; (c) to exploit, in ways consistent with this strategy, differences within the Soviet system or between the USSR and other members of the Communist bloc.

47. The U.S. should be ready to negotiate with the USSR whenever it clearly appears that U.S. security interests will be served thereby. The U.S. should continue to take the initiative in advancing proposals for constructive settlements and international cooperation (i.e., atoms for peace) in order to put the Soviets on the defensive and win public support on both sides of the Iron Curtain.

[Page 819]
State JCS
a. Without relaxing its defense posture, the U.S. should actively use negotiation in pursuing its strategy. By doing so, the U.S. would be in a position (1) to expose the Communists’ “conciliatory” line and place on them the onus for the persistence of tension and unsettled problems, or (2) to force them to substantiate “peace” propaganda with action or compromises beneficial to free world interests. a. For the most part, however, the U.S. must realize it will be not only fruitless, but perhaps even hazardous, to continue its efforts to arrive at solutions to world problems through the normal processes of negotiation with the USSR.
b. The U.S. should: (1) seek to settle specific problems, (such as Germany) compatible with U.S. security, (2) seek to achieve a modus vivendi which would reduce world tensions and contribute to free world security; (3) put forward and seek agreement on proposals which, if accepted, would reduce the magnitude of the Soviet-Communist threat (such as an acceptable plan for limitation of armaments with adequate safeguards). b. If the USSR demonstrates a basic change of attitude which would be conducive to achieving lasting settlements, the U.S. should then, and only then, endeavor through stepped-up negotiations to arrive at agreements with the USSR on the subjects of disarmament, atomic energy or other world issues.

48. In applying this strategy to Communist China, the U.S. must take account of non-recognition of the regime and the regime’s recent and continuing aggressive policies. However, the U.S. should be ready to participate in talks including Communist China on specific subjects on an ad hoc basis, where the general objectives mentioned in connection with negotiations with the USSR would be served thereby.

IV. Domestic Strength

49. Sound U.S. Economy

a.
A strong, healthy and expanding U.S. economy is essential to the security and stability of the free world. The level of expenditures for national security programs must take into full account the danger to the U.S. and its allies resulting from impairment, through inflation or the undermining of incentives, of the basic soundness of the U.S. economy or of the continuing expansion of the U.S. economy under a free enterprise system.
b.
The Federal Government should continue to make a determined effort to¶¶ bring its total annual expenditures into balance, or into substantial balance, with its total annual revenues,¶¶ and should maintain overall credit and fiscal policies designed to assist in stabilizing the economy.
c.
Nevertheless, the U.S. must continue to meet the necessary costs of the programs essential for its security.*
d.
[The aggregate of Federal expenditures, not essential to the national security, should be minimized.] [Federal expenditures, especially those not essential for the national security, should be held to a necessary minimum.] Every effort should be made to eliminate waste, duplication, and unnecessary overhead in the Federal Government.
e.
The United States should also seek: (1) to maintain a higher and expanding rate of economic activity at relatively stable price levels, and (2) to maximize the economic potential of private enterprise by minimizing governmental controls and regulations and by encouraging private enterprise to develop natural and technological resources (e.g. nuclear power).

50. Internal Security

Internal security measures should be adequate to meet the threat to U.S. security of covert attack by the Soviet bloc on the United States by means of sabotage, subversion, espionage, and particularly the clandestine introduction and detonation of nuclear weapons.

51. Civil Defense

An essential ingredient of our domestic strength is an improved and strengthened civil defense program which seeks to minimize damage from nuclear attack by both preventive and ameliorative measures.

52. Support by U.S. Citizens

a.
No national strategy to meet the Soviet threat can be successful without the support of the American people. During a time of increasing Soviet atomic power, the determination of U.S. citizens to face the risks involved in carrying out such national strategy will be of increasing importance. Continuing efforts should be made to inform the American people of the demands on their spiritual and material resources necessary to ensure U.S. security during a [Page 821] period of armed truce, which may either continue for many years or be broken by an atomic war.
b.
Eternal vigilance is necessary in carrying out the national strategy, to prevent the intimidation of free criticism. Necessary protective measures should not be used to destroy national unity, which must be based on freedom and not on fear.

V. Other National Security Measures

53. Mobilization Base

a.
Essential to the strong security posture required by the national strategy is a mobilization base adequate to maintain military readiness and to provide the basis for successful prosecution of general war, based on (1) an approved military plan, (2) allowance for estimated bomb damage, and (3) a determination as to U.S. provision of allied material requirements.
b.
The U.S. should continue to seek to achieve [as quickly as possible]§ minimum stockpile objectives for materials the shortage of which would affect critically essential security programs. The stockpiling programs should not normally be used to help stabilize international markets for exports of underdeveloped countries; exceptions being made only on a case-by-case basis where there would be a clear net advantage to the U.S.

54. Intelligence

The United States should develop and maintain an intelligence system capable of:

a.
Collecting and analyzing indications of hostile intentions that would give maximum prior warning of possible aggression or subversion in any area of the world.
b.
Accurately evaluating the capabilities of foreign countries, friendly and neutral as well as enemy, to undertake military, political, economic and subversive courses of action affecting U.S. security.
c.
Forecasting potential foreign developments having a bearing on U.S. national security.

55. Manpower

The United States should develop an adequate manpower program designed to:

a.
Expand scientific and technical training.
b.
Provide an equitable military training system.
c.
Strike a feasible balance between the needs of an expanding peacetime economy and defense requirements.
d.
Provide for an appropriate distribution of services and skills in the event of national emergency.

56. Research and Development

The United States should conduct and foster scientific research and development so as to insure superiority in quantity and quality [Page 822] of weapons systems, with attendant continuing review of the level and composition of forces and of the industrial base required for adequate defense and for successful prosecution of general war.

  1. Copies to the Secretary of the Treasury; the Attorney General; the Directors of the Bureau of the Budget and Central Intelligence; the Chairmen of the Atomic Energy Commission, the Council of Economic Advisers, and the Joint Chiefs of Staff; and the Federal Civil Defense Administrator.
  2. Dated Oct. 30, 1953, p. 577.
  3. Dated Aug. 7, p. 715.
  4. Ante, p. 738.
  5. For information on NSC Action No. 1251, see footnote 3, p. 738. For NSC Action No. 1272, see footnote 12, p. 800; for NSC Action No. 1279, see footnote 4, supra. NSC Action No. 1286, taken at the 228th meeting of the NSC on Dec. 9, noted President Eisenhower’s views that increased emphasis should be given to measures for continental defense, technological advances in guided missiles and other weapons, and increased readiness and combatworthiness of the reserve forces. It also noted the President’s decision to establish a total personnel strength for the armed forces of 2,940,000 by June 30, 1955 and of 2,815,000 by June 30, 1956. (S/SNSC (Miscellaneous) files, lot 66 D 95, “NSC Records of Action”)
  6. Extracts from NIE–11–4–54, “Soviet Capabilities and Probable Courses of Action Through Mid-1954”, are scheduled for publication in volume viii. NIE–11–6–54, “Soviet Capabilities and Probable Programs in the Guided Missile Field” is not printed.
  7. For the memorandum of discussion at the 229th meeting of the NSC, Dec. 21, see p. 832.
  8. The Director of the Bureau of the Budget believes the extent of the present Soviet-Communist challenge is not susceptible to categorical judgments of this nature and recommends deletion of the statement. [Footnote in the source text.]
  9. The Director of the Bureau of the Budget notes that the net capability estimate prepared by the Net Capabilities Evaluation Subcommittee in accordance with NSC 5423 did not cover the period beyond July 1, 1957. [Footnote in the source text. For documentation on the Net Capabilities Evaluation Subcommittee and on NSC 5423, see pp. 845 ff.]
  10. An important possible exception to this estimate is a Chinese Communist attack on Formosa and the Pescadores. The Chinese Communists will almost certainly increase their probing actions against the Nationalist-held off-shore islands and will probably try to seize them, if they believe this can be done without bringing on major hostilities with the U.S. A further possibility of Communist aggression is a Viet Minh attack on South Vietnam in the event the 1956 elections are blocked by Western action. [Footnote in the source text.]
  11. State, Treasury and Budget members believe that the sentence should read: Even after attaining atomic plenty, the Communist powers probably will not attempt progressive local expansion, supported by force or the threat of force, unless they estimate that (1) such methods can succeed and will not provoke U.S. counteraction involving appreciable risk of general war, and (2) fear of atomic war will drive the allies of the U.S. in the direction of neutrality toward or appeasement of the USSR. [Footnote in the source text.]
  12. Proposed by Treasury and Budget. [Footnote and brackets in the source text.]
  13. State, Treasury, CIA and Budget proposal. [Footnote and brackets in the source text.]
  14. Defense, JCS, FOA and ODM proposal. [Footnote and brackets in the source text.]
  15. State, Treasury, CIA and Budget proposal. [Footnote and brackets in the source text.]
  16. Proposed by Defense and JCS; thought by others to be covered in par. 30 et seq. [Footnote and brackets in the source text.]
  17. State proposal. [Footnote and brackets in the source text.]
  18. Proposed by Treasury and Budget. [Footnote and brackets in the source text.]
  19. (1) CEA believes that, in the interest of clarity and precision, this language should read: “… bring its total expenditures into balance with its total revenues …” (2) Defense and FOA believe that this language should read: “… bring its total annual expenditures and its total annual revenues into balance, or into substantial balance, …” [Footnote in the source text.]
  20. (1) CEA believes that, in the interest of clarity and precision, this language should read: “… bring its total expenditures into balance with its total revenues …” (2) Defense and FOA believe that this language should read: “… bring its total annual expenditures and its total annual revenues into balance, or into substantial balance, …” [Footnote in the source text.]
  21. Treasury, Bureau of the Budget, and CEA believe that this sentence should not be a separate paragraph, but should form the third and last sentence under a above. [Footnote in the source text.]
  22. Proposed by CEA. [Footnote and brackets in the source text.]
  23. Proposed by Treasury and Bureau of the Budget. [Footnote and brackets in the source text.]
  24. ODM proposal. [Footnote and brackets in the source text.]