868.00/75½

The Ambassador in Italy (Page) to the Secretary of State

My Dear Mr. Secretary: By this same pouch you will receive a letter from me written two days ago in which, among other things, I spoke of the situation in Greece.50

Although that situation has changed so unexpectedly and apparently so radically since that letter was written, I am letting it go, as it at least shows what were the views here at that time held, not only by myself; but by the English and Russian Ambassadors here.

The bouleversement in Greece was a complete surprise to everyone here. Unless it is intended simply as a means to secure better terms from the Allies than Greece had yet been able to obtain, it undoubtedly creates an even more serious situation in the Balkans and consequently in the general conduct of the war, than previously existed, and might almost be said to have brought the war to a crisis. I cannot help thinking, however, from what I know of the efforts which Greece has been making to secure from the Allies terms greatly beyond anything they have been willing hitherto to concede, that her real aim is to wring from their necessities concessions that may include a considerable part of the twelve islands now held by Italy; as much of Macedonia as possible and even possibly Constantinople.

This looks fanciful; but it certainly has been in the Greek mind. Of course the action of the King and of those with him may be based on their apprehension of the Central Empires and Bulgaria in alliance, and their belief that the latter are the prevailing power in the Balkans. I cannot help thinking, however, that no matter what happens, Greece’s interest is with the Allies, inasmuch as should the others win, Bulgaria must become the dominant Balkan State and Greece must inevitably become subordinate to her, if not subject to her.

There is a rumor in circulation that the three Kings in the Balkan States have got together in a sort of personal league with a view to increasing the influence and power of the Royal houses in those States. This if proved would of course indicate that they are doing so under the protection of Germany. If the story be true, and if true it would explain a good deal,—they might be commended to read [Page 730] some of the Chronicles in the Old Testament, which are among the most vivid histories of what happens to Kings who enter into such leagues.

In any event, I cannot but think that the only chance that Greece has to carry out her aspirations is to side with the Allies, either openly or secretly.

Believe me [etc.]

Thos. Nelson Page
  1. Supra.