No. 28.
Mr. Williamson to Mr. Fish.
Central America,
Guatemala, September 3, 1876. (Received Sept. 28.)
Sir: I have the honor to make the following report of the present political condition of Central America:
The constituent assembly (convention) of Guatemala has met to frame a constitution, and has elected its officers. It is composed of the friends of the president and his prime minister, Mr. Samayoa. The several interests and aspirations of these personages are not likely to disturb the harmony of the assembly, it being well understood that the President is to have his own way in all measures. It is believed the constitution which the convention will adopt has been prepared by the government. My information is that it is to be short, and that its principal feature will be to fix the term of the presidential office so that the present incumbent will continue to hold his office for six years longer. He has now been President for more than three years. No one except the government people and the members seems to take the smallest interest in the convention. Nominally it has been called for the purpose of embodying in the organic law what are called the principles of the revolution of 1871.
The accompanying proclamation of General Medina states that no resistance to Mr. Soto assuming the presidency of Honduras will be made by the Medina party. General Medina and his friends, it was apprehended at one time, might give Mr. Soto trouble. Public allegations are made that the government of Guatemala quieted Medina’s opposition by the use of money, which I must say is not at all improbable. There was no danger of resistance from any of the other various claimants to the presidency of Honduras.
[Page 38]Mr. Soto is at Amapala, preparing to go to the capital, where he expects to arrive about the middle of this month. His proclamation, to be issued when he assumed the executive office, was prepared before he left here. It has probably been issued at Amapala before this time.
President Zaldivar has restored order and maintained the peace in Salvador. He seems to be succeeding well, so far, in satisfying the politicians and keeping the people quiet. No apprehension of any disturbance in that country for some time is now entertained.
Nicaragua is still under arms without any well-founded reason. The revolutionists, Jarez and Selva, have neither resources nor men at present. The enemies of the government of Nicaragua say it is doing exactly what they wish by expending large sums in useless military displays.
They expect that government to create so much dissatisfaction by these heavy expenses that a revolution in the heart of the country will be successfully initiated. I should not be greatly surprised at that event, but my latest information from reliable sources says the government of Chamorro is both strong and popular.
Ex-President Guardia has returned to Costa Rica. The provisional government of Herrera is still in power there, but it is presumed that Guardia will either assume the presidency himself or have his son-in-law, a Mr. Sisano, elected to that office. The vexatious question of boundary with Nicaragua will then again be brought forward and war threatened. I do not apprehend there is any danger of hostilities beginning (if they begin at all) until, perhaps, about the first of January.
* * * * * * *
You will see from the foregoing report that there is, in my judgment, a prospect of Central America remaining at peace for several months. Here coming political events do not cast their shadows before, and no one can venture to say what a day may bring forth.
I have, &c.,