Mr. Wright to Mr. Seward.
Sir: * * * * * * * *
The war excitement during the past week absorbs every other subject; business of all kinds has felt its influence; manufacturers and traders seem to be seized with a panic; and, losing thousands, many of them will become bankrupt. The best Prussian stocks have depreciated from twenty to fifty per cent. Many large meetings are being held throughout the country and delegates appointed to visit the King, urging peace and protesting against war. Some two thousand workingmen met a few days since in Berlin, and while resolving for the maintenance of the constitutional rights of the country, they strongly protested against giving a dollar of money, under the present ministry, for the war, until the national prerogatives of the Prussian Parliament, and the rights of the people, [Page 23] are restored. There is nothing of importance in the further correspondence between Prussia and Austria. Prussia adheres strictly to the letter of the Gastein convention for the settlement of the Schleswig-Holstein question; Austria will present the subject to the German confederation. They will evade it, or most likely determine that they will not take the subject under consideration until both parties disarm. The policy of the smaller states (except Bavaria) is to remain neutral, decide nothing, as they are well aware, if the war becomes general, it will sweep their states and dynasties overboard. It is believed today that Austria will evacuate Holstein, place her troops in Hanover, and leave the duke of Augustenborg to take possession of Holstein. In that event, he would undoubtedly be driven out by the Prussian troops. There is to be a mass meeting next week at Frankfort, of the members of the various German parliaments. If they decide anything on the Schleswig-Holstein question, it will undoubtedly be favorable to the claims of the duke of Augustenborg. The question is often asked “What is Count Bismarck aiming at ?” I answer, his grand object is to make a great northern German nation, including Frankfort, making the Main the southern line. To accomplish this, he is endeavoring to disconnect Prussia from the German confederation.
The evidence in support of this view is to be seen in his strong note to Saxony and his threatening letter to occupy the military roads of Hanover, in connection with the conduct of Prussia as a member of the German confederation. Prussia once free from the German confederation, Prussian troops will soon be found located in Hanover, Brunswick, Hesse-Cassel, and the other small northern states. This can be brought about without fighting, as none of these states would attack Prussia. It is conceded, if we have a general war in Europe, great efforts will be made to form one German nationality. But I doubt not Count Bismarck believes, if Prussia was disconnected from the German confederation, he could make such alliances with southern Germany as will bring about the formation of two German nationalities, one northern, the other southern, and accomplish it without hostilities.
There is no treaty of alliance yet concluded between Prussia and Italy. The diplomatic corps generally believe that war is inevitable. I still believe the five great powers will unite on some plan by which peace will be preserved; most likely, so far as the Schleswig-Holstein question is concerned, by submitting it to the people. If so, Count Bismarck will unquestionably lose his power. I send you an article from The France, published two days since in Paris.
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I have the honor to be, most respectfully, your obedient servant,
Hon. William H. Seward, Secretary of State, Washington, D. C.