Mr. Marsh to Mr. Seward.
Sir: I have not, in my previous despatches, discussed the chances of war between Italy and the Austrian empire, because, until since the date of my last [Page 109] communication, the question has seemed to turn wholly upon the relations between that empire and Prussia, and the possibility of an independent conflict between this kingdom and Austria has hardly been contemplated. You will see by the enclosed slips from the Opinione of this morning, that the government of Italy has not thought it necessary to take really efficient measures for prompt military action until within the last eight and forty hours.
It is true that some preparations in the way of accumulating material, and some change in the distribution of troops, had already taken place, with reference to future contingencies growing out of a probable rupture between the great German powers; but I am confident that beyond such measures of precaution as the suggestions of common prudence would dictate, this government has done nothing, either in the way of negotiation or of military preparation, which could justly excite the jealousy of Austria.
After all, many judicious persons are still of opinion that the Austrian movements in Lombardo-Venetia are precautionary only, and that she will not begin a general war by an unprovoked attack on Italy.
The accompanying slips contain, I believe, substantially all the information possessed at this moment by the Italian government on the subject, and I have only to add that, in the expected change of the ministry, there is every reason to believe that Baron Ricasoli, eminently the right man in the right place, will be president of the council and minister of foreign affairs.
I have the honor to be, sir, most respectfully, your obedient servant,
Hon. William H. Seward, Secretary of State, Washington, D. C.