1. Memorandum From the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs
(Allen) to Secretary of the
Treasury Regan1
Washington, February 16, 1981
SUBJECT
- The Ottawa Economic Summit (U)
I have spoken briefly with Al Haig
about the Ottawa Economic Summit in July.2 It is essential that we begin now to reorient
the agenda of the Ottawa Economic Summit (July 19–21) so as to assure that
the President will be able to advance his own strategic objectives there. We
will know better how to proceed after Mike
Rashish and his delegation have participated in the
preparatory meeting in London next week.3 I suggest that we meet shortly thereafter with
Ed Meese and Murray Weidenbaum, prior to seeking the
President’s views. (C)
The present intention of Prime Minister Trudeau—encouraged by former President Carter—to focus this Summit on
North/South issues and pledges of increased development aid is out of line
with our priorities. In order to change this focus in time to permit
thorough preparatory negotiations, we need to put forward new concepts and
proposals, starting next week.4 (C)
I know that Mike and his team share this viewpoint and have initiated a broad
canvassing of ideas. I also have asked my staff for conceptual papers on key
topics. Three preliminary drafts are attached:
- 1.
- Strategy for International Energy
Cooperation (Tab A)—defines a broader framework for
discussing energy issues, with greater emphasis on energy
security.5 It suggests possible trade-offs
between our commitments on nuclear energy and European/Japanese
commitments on oil
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stockpile
coordination and between our commitments toward defense of the
Persian Gulf oil sources and their support of US diplomacy on Arab–Israeli issues.
(C)
- 2.
- Strategy for East/West Trade and Technology
Cooperation (Tab B)—seeks to capitalize on contingency
planning for Poland to generate greater commitments among the Allies
to consider the requirements of strategic and economic security in
trade with the East, in particular, the need to protect against
vulnerability that results from excessive levels of dependence on
Soviet resources (e.g., natural gas from Siberia) or markets.6 (C)
- 3.
- Strategy for Relations With Developing
Countries (Tab C)—seeks to shift the emphasis of past
Summits and the Carter
Administration from multilateral aid initiatives to coordinated
bilateral initiatives which gives the Summit countries more direct
credit for aid (something the British and French strongly desire)
and will be more in line with the emphasis of our own foreign aid
budget on bilateral programs. (C)
Other subjects will need to be developed: macroeconomic policy harmonization,
monetary coordination, trade policy, etc. Traditionally, the Chairman of the
US Council of Economic Advisers has
taken the lead in developing a joint position paper on macroeconomic issues.
(C)
I believe President Reagan will want
to use this annual meeting of the main industrial allies to concert broad
political and security strategies that bear on our common economic
interests. I have been encouraged by a review of the history of economic
summitry (briefly summarized at Tab D) to believe that this evolution of the
summit process is feasible and would be welcomed by most of the other heads
of government.7 (C)
Tab C
Paper Prepared in the National Security Council8
Washington, February 5, 1981
OVERALL STRATEGY FOR RELATIONS WITH DEVELOPING
COUNTRIES
1. Conceptual Framework
US relations with developing countries
occur at several levels:
- —
- The base of these relations is bilateral security and economic relations
with key countries in the developing world. These relations
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are the most important
means of defending and expressing American values: political
democracy, economic entrepreneurship and individual human
rights.
- —
- A more inclusive level is US
responses to change in the developing
world. Change creates new stakes for US security and economic interests. Thus the United
States has a political interest in
ensuring both that change occurs in a manner consistent with our
values (hence a strong US
opposition in terrorism) and that it results in governments and
societies that are not hostile to fundamental US values.
- —
- The peak of US relations with
developing countries is cooperation through global and regional institutions and rules. This
cooperation seeks to include developing countries in a healthy
world economy, adapting rules to benefit these countries (e.g., GSP) and imposing mutual obligations on them (e.g., urging membership in GATT). It supports development
objectives and institutions (e.g., the
Multilateral banks) and addresses common global issues (food,
energy, population, etc.); it embraces a pluralism of social
mores and customs (e.g., recognizing the
rich and historic culture of Islam); and it acknowledges the
need to enhance the participation and role of developing
countries in post-war international institutions.
The North/South nomenclature does more to confuse than illuminate these
various levels of US relations with
developing countries. Indeed, it tends to focus attention on issues at
the peak of US relations with developing
countries, which have been defined primarily by spokesmen for the LDC bloc, rather than at the base of these
relations which involve US security and
economic interests. It diverts attention from support of basic US security, economic and political
interests, and it distorts our foreign aid budget so that is
increasingly unsustainable in the Congress.
By concentrating policy and resources now on building a strong bilateral
base of security and economic ties with key countries of the developing
world, we will be in a better position later to justify Congressional
support for multilateral cooperation to address global problems.
In recent years, the base has been seriously eroded. US bilateral aid programs cannot work with
many of the developing countries that are most critical for US security and economic interests.
Meanwhile, multilateral institutions are being attacked increasingly by
radical forces in the third world and risk losing their greater
acceptability and legitimacy, which have made them preferred instruments
of aid over the past decade.
2. New Policy
Directions
The formulation of US policy toward
developing countries must be grounded in the new domestic and foreign
policy directions of the Reagan
Administration. These include:
- —
- overriding priority for enhancing national security and
strengthening the national economy;
- —
- restraint on the foreign aid budget with priority given to
bilateral accounts that offer flexible resources to implement
new directions in US foreign
policy (e.g., in Central America and
Middle East);
- —
- cultivating special ties with key developing countries (often
the more advanced developing countries), utilizing small aid
programs and bilateral commodities to promote much larger flows
of private trade and investment (e.g.,
expanding the Trade and Development Program),
- —
- coordinating bilateral foreign assistance with industrialized
country allies as alternative to new multilateral
institutions;
- —
- as the base of US relations
with developing countries is rebuilt, continuing support for
multilateral development institutions and programs;
- —
- positive expression of US
values and interests in all international institutions,
negotiations, and economic arrangements;
3. Action Events
A. Rebuilding the base of US relations
with developing countries:
- a.
- restructuring the foreign aid program;
- (1)
- budget revisions—February 1–15;
- (2)
- FY–82 budget
submissions—February 17;
- (3)
- reorganization of IDCA/AID—April–June;
- (4)
- rationalizing legislation restrictions on foreign
assistance—FY–83
budget preparations.
- b.
- follow-up on key bilateral visits:
- (1)
- Jamaica;9
- (2)
- South Korea;10
- (3)
- Others.
- c.
- identifying key countries for intensified relations
B. Advancing US values and interests in
international institutions and global political discussions:
- a.
- North/South Summit-Planning Group Meeting
(March 13–15)11
Action: Explore prior to March 1 with
Canada, Austria and Germany the feasibility of inducing the
co-sponsors (Austria and Mexico) of the proposed North/South
Summit meeting, tentatively scheduled for Mexico City in
mid-June, to fix the procedures of the meeting so that risks of
President Reagan’s
attendance would be minimal and the prospect of realistic,
constructive discussion is enhanced; if this is not assured,
advise key allies that the United States will not participate
and request that they
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either decline to attend or, at least, insist on postponing the
meeting until after the Ottawa Summit when they would concert
with us the substantive positions they intend to take at Mexico
City. - b.
- PLO
Observer in World Bank IMF
Annual Meeting (March 1 and following)
Action: Seek extension of the March 1
deadline for the World Bank and IMF Boards of Directors’ reports to their Governors
on how to resolve the postponed issue of seating PLO observers; resist any urgency
to find compromise solution until US Middle East policy is set; determine future
policy on this issue in the context of our overall Middle East
policy. - c.
- UN Global
Negotiations—(May–June)
Action: Coordinate with British and Germans to
forestall Global Negotiations at least until after Ottawa Summit
and opportunity for new Administration to influence perceptions
and agenda of allied countries on developing country issues;
seek wider adherence by industrial countries to the position
that Global Negotiations should be rejected so long as the
G–77 insists that policies
adopted there bind the specialized international agencies such
as IMF and IBRD.
C. Reshaping the agenda of global economic discussions.
- a.
- London Preparatory Meeting for Ottawa
Summit—February 17–18)12
Generally, discourage Canadian emphasis on global
institutions and issues, and seek solutions to key development
problems primarily through coordinated bilateral action.
Specifically, with regard to the
North/South portion of the Summit: - (1)
- energy—idea of a consortium of
Summit countries coordinating bilateral energy programs
with World Bank participation, as possible substitute
for converting World Bank program into a new
affiliate.
- (2)
- technical assistance,
particularly manpower training—idea of coordinated
bilateral action among donors, including multilateral
institutions, to enhance and improve technical
collaboration on key problems among industrialized and
developing countries (perhaps asking Canadian IDRC to
take lead on designing modes of R&D
collaboration).
- (3)
- food—idea of coordinated
bilateral action among allies to enhance food production
and food security in poor countries starting with fresh
approach to the international grain reserve scheme at
IWC meetings in
March and June (below).
- (4)
- external
imbalances—consideration of coordinated bilateral
action in support of IMF emergency borrowing to assist LDCs with
acute payments problems.
- b.
- International Wheat Council (IWC) (March 3–6 and June)
- (1)
- consult with IWC
staff and EC Commission
and seek simplified approach to goal of international
emergency wheat reserve;
- (2)
- convey to Trudeau our intention to get this issue
on the Summit agenda, if necessary to overcome Canadian
Wheat Board’s continuing opposition to a food security
system for food-short nations.
- c.
- All Occasions
Maintain the GATT/MTN
gains and further open international markets to competition,
subject to limited exceptions; offer to negotiate further trade
concessions to those developing nations that offer reciprocal
advantages in trade or other fields to the United States. Specifically, in negotiating extension of
the Multifiber Agreement (textile import restraints), seek to
maintain the present level of LDC access to US
textile markets and negotiate with allies to enlarge LDC access to more protected
OECD markets.