321. Memorandum From the Department of State Executive Secretary
(Read) to the President’s Special
Assistant for National Security Affairs (Bundy)0
Washington, September 6,
1963.
SUBJECT
- The Next Stage in the US-UAR
Relationship
We expect the UAR to take advantage of the
presence of Minister of Planning Kaissouni in Washington for the IMF and IBRD meetings to
pursue current UAR requests for economic
aid. The United States reply should be framed in the light of the present
status of the overall US-UAR
relationship.
A topical survey of how that relationship stands today is enclosed. Some of
the topics in this enclosure might be used as a basis for discussion in the
meeting of Ambassador Badeau and
Assistant Secretary Talbot with the
President at 4:00 P.M., September 10.1
Enclosure3
THE US-UAR
RELATIONSHIP—SEPTEMBER, 1963
1. Basis
Broad spectrum of common objectives: Anti-communism; continued flow of
Arab oil to the West; expansion of trade between UAR and
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West;
economic development; UARG stability
(Nasser regime at least as
good for USG as any likely successor); Western access to Near East sea
and air routes (Suez Canal and tourism are big foreign exchange earners
for UARG); cultural exchange (UARG appreciates advantages of Western
education); Arab nationalism (regarded as best defense against communist
penetration); UAR involvement in Free
World system; constructive US-UAR
dialogue.
2. Areas of Disagreement
- a.
- USG and UARG have reached
temporary working compromises on:
- 1)
- Israel—UARG preserves state of war, including boycott
and Suez blockade. However, in response to USG
representations, and at some cost to its prestige, UARG has eschewed extreme
propaganda, has tolerated Israeli use of Tiran Straits, and
has kept border quiet.
- 2)
- Cold War—USG has accepted UARG neutrality in principle.
UARG has assumed more
neutral stance in practice. It conducted constructive
economic conference in Cairo, abandoned pro-Soviet stands on
Cuba and Congo, favored Indian side against China. (UARG will continue to take
actions we may construe as unneutral, both to strengthen its
hand against Israel and to remind USG of countervailing
force.)
- b.
- Following areas of disagreement are now uppermost in US-UAR dialogue:
- 1)
- Pan-Arab Militancy—UAR revolutionary activity
against rival Arab regimes conflicts with USG desire for
orderly political change.
- 2)
- Payments Problem—Because of extreme
statism, top-heavy development and military expenditures,
and over-ambitious consumer-goods programs, UARG does not make best
possible use of own resources or foreign aid.
- 3)
- Arms Race—UAR-Israeli weapons competition threatens peace
of area.
3. US Aid
- a.
- Rationale—US-UAR economic cooperation advances common objectives and
is essential basis for maintaining our capacity for diplomatic
action.
- b.
- Current Levels—FY 1963: Technical Assistance—$2.3 million; Supporting
Assistance Loan—$10 million; Development Loans—$36.3 million; PL-480, Title I—$105.5 million; PL-480, Title III—$20 million; Ex-Im Bank—$12.5 million.
- c.
- UAR Requests for
1964—Faced with impending payments gap, UARG has requested $30 million
commodity loan.
d. US Response for 1964
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- 1)
- Already Projected—Multi-year PL-480 Agreement commits USG to Title I
sales of approximately $150 million in each of FY-64 and FY-65. A planning figure of $15–25 million for
Development Loans was presented to Congress for FY-64. Technical Assistance and PL-480, Title III are projected roughly
at FY-63 rates.
- 2)
- Pre-conditions—USG should make clear in
non-provocative and non-censorious way that it must condition
favorable response on satisfactory UAR economic performance: UAR should respect US commercial interests and claims
and reduce unproductive drains on foreign exchange (Yemen).
- 3)
- Commodity Loan—Department preparing
recommendations for at least partial compliance with $30 million
request. Turn-down would jeopardize present relationship. These
proposals not yet presented for AID
consideration.
- 4)
- IBRD—Department recommends USG support IBRD as major source UAR development finance.
4. USG Political Objectives
Attachment of explicit political conditions to US aid program would
defeat its purpose. However, present US-UAR relationship is based on compromise.
- a.
- UARG should be expected to
demonstrate receptivity to USG representations on following
outstanding issues:
- 1)
- Cease air attacks on Saudi territory.
- 2)
- Accelerate disengagement from Yemen.
- 3)
- Encourage YARG to keep
Aden border quiet.
- 4)
- Help expand base of YARG.
- 5)
- Moderate propaganda against Saudi Arabia and other area
states.
- 6)
- Take constructive steps prevent area arms escalation and
curtail ventures in missilry and other sophisticated
military programs that drain resources needed for economic
development and give UAR
unfavorable image.
- b.
- For its part, USG might:
- 1)
- Continue press SAG to cut
off aid to Yemen royalists.
- 2)
- Work for eventual UK
recognition of YARG.
- 3)
- Back UN effort to
strengthen UNTSO.
- 4)
- Continue correspondence between the President and
Nasser. Last
communication in this series was message from President.
Ambassador Badeau
might carry back to Cairo oral or written message from the
President about Yemen and arms limitation.
- 5)
- Let UARG know that, if
Nasser should attend GA,
President would be pleased to see him in Washington or in
New York for an informal working meeting.