304. Memorandum From the Secretary of State’s Deputy Special Assistant for Intelligence (Howe) to the Special Assistant for Intelligence (Armstrong)1

SUBJECT

  • Wednesday Secretary’s Meeting2

Among other items, I reported on the Pathet Lao situation and specifically that the USARMA had reported that no Viet Minh units had apparently participated in the recent incident and that the incident had apparently been blown up by the press. When Robertson’s turn came, he referred to the item and, in a fashion which could hardly be termed friendly, said that “his intelligence” disagreed with my report and that there were some thousand Viet Minh involved. The Secretary inquired what was “his intelligence” as distinct from mine. Robertson said that Wisner, a principal officer in his brother’s intelligence agency, had told him this. In the confused discussion on the substance which followed, it did not come out as clearly as it should have that my report dealt with participation of Viet Minh units whereas Robertson’s report probably referred to Viet Minh characters in the Pathet Lao provinces and involved in the whole movement. The Secretary asked that we prepare before his departure this afternoon a roundup on this situation coordinating with CIA, Army and FE. This we did per the attached.

I called Wisner who denied that he could have talked to Robertson on this subject as he had no information on it. He said his conversation with Robertson had been very brief and had referred principally to his, Wisner/s, concern about the Peiping reference to the incident which Robertson said he was already aware of (presumably by your report).

F.H.
[Page 667]

[Attachment]

Paper Prepared in the Office of the Secretary of State’s Special Assistant for Intelligence2

SITUATION IN NORTHERN LAOS

Summary Statement

The July 7 incident at Muong Peun has been exaggerated in reports issued by the Lao Government and reported in the Press. These reports represent a continuation of Laotian effort to persuade world opinion of Pathet Lao violation of the Geneva Agreement by preventing restoration of Royal authority in the two northern provinces. If the action was initiated in [by?] the Pathet Lao, as seems probable, it represented a continuation of probing pressure tactics to weaken the resistance of the Lao Government to Communist political pressures for the formation of a coalition government. There is no evidence of direct participation in the incident by Viet Minh army units as claimed by the Laotians, although the Viet Minh controls the Pathet Lao movement and has advisers and political organizers within its ranks.

The Action at Muong Peun

The July 7 incident at Muong Peun in Sam Neua province of northern Laos was a continuation of the pressure maintained since Geneva by the Pathet Lao against the Royal Government of Laos. There are no indications that a major military campaign against Laos is imminent, but it is probable that sporadic fighting will recur in the two northern provinces of Phong Saly and Sam Neua.

Pathet Lao objectives appear to be to secure firm control of these two provinces and to maintain sufficient pressure on the Lao Government so that political and military talks between the two sides will result in (a) expulsion of all Laotian military and civil officials from the two provinces and (b) eventual participation in a coalition cabinet.

The US Army Attaché reports, probably from official Lao sources, that the Pathet Lao forces involved are estimated from 1500 to 1800. …

[Page 668]

Pathet Lao-DRV Relations

The rebel Pathet Lao movement and its guerrilla forces represent virtually a creation of the Viet Minh and are believed immediately responsive to its direction. The DRV has provided instructors and other specialists to the Pathet Lao, whose total forces in the two provinces are estimated at 6290. A G–2 report estimates that there are at least 250 cadres serving as organizers and advisers with the Pathet Lao, and that there may be as many as 1000 Viet Minh scattered throughout Laos.

The Lao Government has claimed that 3 DRV battalions are supporting the attack on Muong Peun, but US officials in Vientiane report on indications to support this charge. …

International Response

Responsive to Canadian initiative, the ICC for Laos has reportedly called on both sides to stop sending reinforcements, halt patrol activity and observe a cease-fire, and provide facilities for an ICC investigation. Both sides are said, in press reports, to have agreed. The military clash has interrupted the intermittent military and political talks between the Lao Government and the Pathet Lao, which had been resumed late in June in an effort to demonstrate to the Indian Chairman of the ICC the intractability of the Pathet Lao.

DRV propaganda has given consistently heavy play to Laos in recent weeks, charging Lao Government and US efforts to sabotage the Geneva Agreements. Peiping has supported, with equal vehemence, but in less volume, the DRV attacks, charging (as of July 12) that the US is responsible for the “strained situation” by (1) inclusion of Laos in the Manila Pact’s “area of protection,” (2) intending to sign a military agreement with Laos similar to the recent Cambodian MAAG agreement, (3) airdropping “bandits” into Pathet Lao regrouping areas (a probable reference to reinforcement by air of the Muong Peun garrison which began on July 8), and (4) seeking “to drag the SEATO countries into the fighting.”

  1. Source: Department of State, INR Files: Lot 58 D 776, Indochina. Secret.
  2. On July 13, from 9:17 to 9:50 a.m. (Dulles’ Appointment Book; Princeton University, Dulles Papers)
  3. Secret. Prepared by OIR/DFR in consultation with the CIA and G–2 and submitted to Hoover (Dulles left for Paris at 3:45 p.m. for tripartite talks preparatory to the Four-Power Geneva Summit Conference, July 18–25; Dulles’ Appointment Book; Princeton University, Dulles Papers). According to a marginal note on a covering memorandum by Howe, Hoover did not see this paper.