867.20/9–2947

Memorandum of Conversation, by the Assistant Chief of the Division of Near Eastern Affairs (Jernegan)

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Participants: Donald Maclean, First Secretary, British Embassy
Mr. Jernegan (GTI)

Mr. Maclean called at his request to discuss the Turkish Government’s query regarding the advisability of reducing the size of the Turkish Army from 485,000 men to about 330,000 men. He handed me the attached copy of an aide-mémoire, which he said had been delivered informally to General Schuyler of the Plans and Operations Division of the Army Department by Brigadier Price, Secretary of the British Joint Staff Mission, on September 27. Mr. Maclean said that the aide-mémoire was, strictly speaking, a communication from the British military authorities to the American but that it embodied substantially the views of the Foreign Office as previously communicated to the British Embassy here. Consequently, he thought it could be regarded as representing the joint views of the British civil and military branches. General Morgan, Chief of the British Joint Staff Mission, was going to see General Collins, Deputy to General Eisenhower, to discuss the aide-mémoire.

I gave Mr. Maclean a paraphrase of the draft telegram prepared in GTI, explaining that we were still in process of getting clearance on this and that it must be regarded simply as an indication of the Department’s thinking on a working level. I said it would still have to be cleared by the higher officers of the Department and by the Department of the Army.

I pointed out that the reasoning and views set forth in the British aide-mémoire and our own preliminary draft were substantially identical. The only difference of any importance seemed to be that the British Government wished to give the Turks positive advice to the effect that they should effect the proposed reduction in their army, whereas we wished merely to give the Turks our estimate of the situation without calling it advice in so many words, and leave it to the Turkish Government to make up its mind. Mr. Maclean agreed and felt that even this difference was more apparent than real. He said he would inform London of our views as expressed in the draft, making it clear that this was not yet a final decision by the Department.

Mr. Maclean agreed to my suggestion that we should continue the process of clearing our draft within the Department and with the Department of the Army. If any substantial changes were made or if it were approved substantially as it now stands, we would inform the British Embassy.

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[Annex]

The British Embassy to the Department of State 2

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Aide-Mémoire

The Turkish Government are seeking British and American advice on whether or not to replace the 150,000 men of their 1925 class who are due to be demobilised in November this year. The Turks are deferring this decision, which is urgently needed, in the hope of receiving prompt and definite advice and they will be most discouraged if this is not forthcoming.

2. The Foreign Office has agreed with the State Department that this question should now be discussed informally between the military advisers of our two Governments, after which the political/economic aspects will be considered.

3. From the British point of view the following arguments are considered to be conclusive in favour of advising the Turks to reduce their forces by not calling up the new class:

(a)
Short of war, the Soviet leaders probably appreciate that a most effective means of exerting pressure on Turkey is by the promotion of economic difficulties within the country. It is, therefore, in the Soviet Union’s interest to force the economic burden of sustained mobilisation on Turkey, and to continue the nerve war which results in Turkey keeping forces in readiness;
(b)
Russian pressure upon Turkey has been, and will continue to be, conditioned by their estimate of the probable action of other powers, and not by the size of Turkey’s armed forces. It follows that Russian intentions towards Turkey will not be affected by a reduction in the strength of the Turkish armed forces, provided the present British and American policy is maintained. Moreover, there have been continuous and progressive reductions in the Russian Forces in the Balkans and this process will presumably be accelerated as a result of ratification of the peace treaties.

4. It has been suggested that such a reduction would have an adverse effect on Greek morale. It is our opinion that this effect will be negligible if linked to the promised American aid and announced as a measure designed to increase the efficiency of the Turkish Army. It has also been suggested that the reduction might encourage bandit activities in Greece and present an opportunity for starting them in Turkey. The assistance afforded by the Balkan satellites to bandits in Greece is conditioned by political considerations and is unlikely to be affected by the strength of the Turkish forces. The Balkan satellites have no objectives in Turkish Thrace which should cause them to start trouble there.

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5. We have therefore reached the conclusion that the Turkish forces can now be justifiably reduced and at the same time reorganised. It is hoped that the United States, who have now taken over the primary responsibility for assistance to Turkey, will agree that the advice given by both countries in reply to the Turkish enquiry should be to reduce their forces by not replacing the 1925 class.

  1. Marginal notation by Mr. Jernegan: “Original of this aide-mémoire was left with General Schuyler, P & O, Army Dept. on Sept. 27, 1947 by Brigadier Price of British Joint Staff Mission.”