390.1115A/13: Telegram
The Ambassador in Japan (Grew) to the Secretary of State
[Received October 11—11:15 a.m.]
973. Department’s 381, October 6, 2 p.m. My 962, October 9, 7 p.m.1 It is becoming increasingly clear that the news that the American Government is suggesting the withdrawal of some of its nationals from Japan and other Far Eastern areas is having a marked effect upon the Government and people here. The impression cannot be escaped that the Japanese are for the first time shocked into the realization that the initiative as to whether there shall be war or peace between the United States and Japan may no longer rest with them. This is a totally new conception and it is giving them pause to think. One of the major advantages heretofore enjoyed by such countries as Germany, Italy, Soviet Russia and other predatory nations, into which category Japan must now be included, has lain in their knowledge that the decision as to whether and when they shall strike has always been within their control. It has been accepted as axiomatic that non-predatory nations would confine themselves to defense measures until attacked. In such light has been regarded the news concerning our extensive defense program, the rumors of consultative talks between the British, the Australians and ourselves, and other precautionary measures.2 These measures have been followed closely and with respect but they have been regarded here as purely in the light of policy and as constituting per se no special threat to Japan. There is, however, reason to believe that the present move to withdraw American nationals from Japan has shaken the confidence of the Japanese and that their sense of security that the United States will not take the initiative unless first attacked is being undermined.
Sent to the Department. Repeated to Shanghai. Shanghai please air mail code text to Chungking and Peiping.