File No. 763.72/3157
The Ambassador in Germany ( Gerard) to the Secretary of State
[Received January 30, 5.30 p.m.]
4939. Undoubtedly Ludendorff is ruler of Germany to-day. What his sentiments towards America are, you may know from what Major Nicolai said to Colonel House.
I get from many quarters fairly reliable information that orders have been given for reckless submarine warfare, probably to commence with a blockade of all English ports and sinking of all ships approaching them with possible exception passenger ships carrying no contraband.
Germans firmly believe American people are not behind President and articles to that effect are published. I could better judge situation if you would send me summaries of notes and memorandum lately sent you by Bernstorff.
Foreign Office does not answer my notes inquiring if Americans among prisoners on Yarrowdale.
You know I handled Sussex crisis, breaking usual diplomatic rules, and I might be of use at this time in this situation, which is apparently being handled exclusively in America, if you kept me informed as to Bernstorff’s moves and your policy.
Possibly Germans may propose certified American ships carrying no contraband. At one time Zimmermann showed me several drafts of such proposals which I translated for him.
It is possible that Socialist and Liberal parties may issue an appeal to American people on armed merchantmen question. Have [Page 96] also heard that no definite submarine action will be taken until Tarnowski’s report arrives here.
Probably Germany will refuse to release Americans brought in on Yarrowdale on ground that they were on armed merchant ships.