No. 81.
Mr. Partridge to Mr. Fish.
Rio de Janeiro, August 7, 1875. (Received Sept. 20.)
Sir: In my Nos. 218 and 225, I offered some facts and statistics in regard to the export hence to, and consumption in, the United States, of Brazilian coffee, and the effect here of demand and prices there, and especially in regard to what had been, and probably would again be, the effect on prices here of a duty thereon in the United States, in support of the recommendation then (December, 1874) made by the President, of its re-establishment.
Although Congress adjourned without imposing a duty on coffee, yet, as it appears not improbable that the necessity therefor still exists, perhaps some additional facts and statistics in relation thereto, based upon subsequent prices here, amount of export to the United States, I prospect for the prices of crop just gathered, (up to 1st of July,) and which constitutes the supply up to 1st of July, 1876, may be acceptable to the Department.
I have, therefore, annexed hereto (1) a “comparative table of the clearances of coffee from the ports of Rio and Santos during the crop-years 1872–’75,” issued by Messrs. J. M. Wright & Co., on the margin of which are some annotations respecting weights, &c., and further explanations.
From the figures there given, and from those of the Bureau of Statistics (United States) of imports and exports, it will appear that from 53 to 64 per centum of the whole Rio coffee-crop goes to the United States. This will serve to explain the fact that the price here depends upon the demand in the United States for Rio coffee. That coffee (the coffee from Santos is of a higher grade and price, better prepared, and goes chiefly to the north of Europe) is, generally, of a lower quality and price than that of other countries. Its peculiar taste, which is strong, and even rank, compared with that of Venezuelan, Costa Rican, and other origin, is due, in some measure, to its being gathered before it is strictly ripe, as well as to soil and less careful preparation. It is this peculiarity, however, which makes it acceptable to consumers in [Page 118] the Western and Southwestern States; and it is there (for it is on this account not acceptable in Europe) that its chief market is found, especially for the lower grades. The highest grade of Rio coffee, (washed,) as well as that known as superior, or “first good” goes chiefly to Europe, and that, of those grades, sent to the United States is sold under a different name and for a higher price.
The great consumption of coffee in the United States, (greater per head than in any other country, except, possibly, Holland) and especially of Rio coffee, which constitutes from 72 to 77 per centum of the whole import into the United States, will also appear from those figures.
Also the further fact that in ordinary crop-years, when this is not “short,” any apprehended falling off in consumption in the United States—whether from lessened prosperity there, or from any other cause, including the imposition of a duty—is followed here by an immediate lessened demand, and a correspondingly lowered price. This was shown especially at the time of the first imposition (1861) of duty, (3 cents,) and when it was afterward increased to 5 cents; at both times the price fell here almost to the extent of the duty.. It might have been expected, then, that when the duty was first reduced again to 3 cents, and afterwards abolished, the price in the United States, to consumers there, would be lessened by the amount of the duty so abolished. This, however, was not the case; and in July, 1872, the taking off the duty inured to the benefit of Brazilian coffee-growers. These received even more for their crop, in consequence partly of the expected increase of consumption in the United States in consequence of the abolition of the duty, as well as from rumors of a short crop, and a speculative demand founded thereon. The price of coffee at that time went up in Rio; and while the Treasury of the United States gave up a revenue of some eight or nine millions of dollars on this one article alone, the consumer in the West had actually to pay a higher price after the abolition than during the continuance of the duty.
The consumption of coffee in the United States is steadily and almost regularly increasing, and does not appear to be at all affected by the recurrence of financial distress. Thus, in the twelve months preceding June 30, 1873, there were imported into the United States 293,000,000 pounds of coffee; and in the next ensuing twelve months, up to 30th June, 1874, including the nine months following the September (1873) “panic,” there were imported over 295,000,000 pounds; showing an increase of over 2,000,000 pounds, notwithstanding the lessened commercial activity and prosperity of the country during that year. And the difference in the price paid therefor is still more striking. During the year first named, (up to June 30, 1873,) the declared (custom-house) value of the (293,000,000 pounds of) coffee then imported, was $44,000,000; while during the following year, (including the effects of the panic,) the 295,000,000 pounds of coffee was valued at $55,0000!* Thus during a year of distress the people of the United States consumed 2,000,000 pounds of coffee more, and paid therefor a sum greater by $11,000,000 (25 per cent. more) than they had done during the year preceding, which is, now at least, thought to have been a time of inflation and wild speculation. During that year (1873–’74) the shipments from Brazil to the United States were only about 188,000,000 pounds, (against 215,000,000 in 1872–’73; 236,500,000 in 1874–’75,) and making only about 64 per cent. of that whole import, instead of the usual proportion of from 70 to 77 [Page 119] per cent. This falling-off, however, in coffee from Brazil during that year (while the whole import from other countries was much greater) was due to the fact of the very high price of coffee in Rio in that year for shipment to Europe, where prices had much risen in consequence of short crops in those countries (Ceylon, Java, &c.,) from which supplies for Europe came.
Experience here shows that whenever, in Rio, the price of coffee goes above 16 or 18 cents (U. S.) gold, so that to the consumer in the United States Rio coffee cannot be retailed for less than 23 or 25 cents the pound, other coffee than Rio, of a better quality, and, then, of no higher price, is used instead by a large class of consumers, while by the still larger class a compound bearing the name of Rio, or, in some cases, more aptly called “French,” (since none grows there,) takes its place. This preparation can, of course, be sold at a much lower price than that at which even the lowest grade of Rio coffee could then be imported.
The crop now (since July 1) gathered and coming to market is acknowledged to be a short one. It is variously estimated at from one-half to two-thirds the usual crop, which is about 200,000 tons; probably it is not less than 130,000; and there still remain at least 55,000 tons of the preceding crop, detained by bad roads last year or withheld in the interior. Thus it will not, probably, be far wrong to say that from July 1, 1875, to July 1, 1876, there will be, or can be, brought to market 185,000 tons of Brazil coffee. This is a great falling off from last year, when (up to July 1, 1875) 233,000 tons were exported; but it is a larger amount than was exported during 1873–’74, when only 156,738 tons were sent abroad. The price of Brazil coffee, therefore, supposing there is no short crop in other countries, will probably be lower than in 1873–’74, nor can it be expected to be higher than at present, since prices have now reached the point at which consumption falls off and imitations begin in the United States.
I do not know if it be still the intention of the President or of the honorable Secretary of the Treasury again to recommend the re establishment of the duty on coffee; but if it be, I respectfully submit the foregoing facts and figures in support of such recommendation, and in proof—
- First, that by reason of the United States being the chief for all grades, and almost the exclusive consumer of the lower grades of Brazil coffee, the price of this last, in Rio, depends on the demand in the United States alone.
- Secondly, the effect of any duty on coffee in the United States is not to lessen consumption there, and is felt in the price here, and not in the cost to the consumer in the United States; and that, therefore,
- Thirdly, the effect of such duty now would be to give a large sum ($10,000,000, at 3 cents per pound) to the Treasury, without any burden or increase of price to the consumer at home.
I believe that the United States is the only country (unless Holland be excepted) which admits coffee and tea free of duty. I have appended a table, (2,) showing the duty on coffee in various countries (14) named, stating this from the heavy imposition (about 14 cents per pound) in France to the moderate tax (1⅓ cents) in Belgium. It will be-seen that the medium rate would be over 3 cents per pound. A duty of 3 cents per pound on coffee, and a (corresponding) duty of 15 cents per pound on tea, in the United States, would give a revenue of twenty millions of dollars, without any burden to the consumer; and would, probably, be more cheerfully paid than any other by those who use those articles.
I have, &c.,
- This statement is from the monthly report of the chief of the Bureau of Statistics, (Treasury Department,) for June, 1874, and for the twelve months preceding included therein.↩
- The small shipment from Rio de Janeiro to United States in October, 1873, was in consequence of apprehension here (Rio de Janeiro) that the September panic (September, 1873) in the United States would lessen consumption, and sales be at a loss. These passed, and note the increase in November; the shipments were less in the following months (until January, 1874) because of the high prices in Rio de Janeiro, demand for Europe, and heavy shipments there. The price in Rio was very high in December, 1873, January and February, 1874—higher than known before—and there was a sudden fall in prices in Europe and the United States in March, and many houses suffered heavy losses. To all this succeeded the financial difficulties in Rio de Janeiro in May, 1875.↩
- During January, 1874, the price of coffee in the United States was higher than has been known for a long time; and this notwithstanding the September previous (1873) panic. Note the large exportation from Santos to United States (larger than before or since) in the month of January, 1874, in consequence and in hope of securing the very high price then in New York. It fell suddenly in February and March.↩