359. Memorandum From the Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern, South Asian, and African Affairs (Rountree) to the Acting Secretary of State1
SUBJECT
- Progress Report on Iran (NSC 5504)
The attached Progress Report covering the period from January to July 1956, is scheduled for consideration at the July 26 meeting of the OCB.2
Principal developments during the period were:
- 1.
- The USSR apparently failed to weaken the Shah’s attachment to the West during his trip to Moscow. No dramatic offers of aid were made by the USSR. The Shah strongly defended Iran’s adherence to the Pact.
- 2.
- Iran’s confidence in the Pact was increased as were hopes of greater U.S. aid by U.S. adherence to the Pact’s Economic Committee.
- 3.
- Despite a U.S. grant of $20 million in March and a small allocation of oil revenues to the budget, increased expenditures presage continued deficits.
The operations of U.S. programs were generally satisfactory, although hampered by certain unsatisfactory trends in Iran, e.g. continued budgetary deficits, uncoordinated commitments of the country’s financial resources, rivalries between various intelligence services, and increasing criticism of the Shah’s arbitrary and vacillating leadership.
These trends are gradually leading to a loss of the temporary unity and momentum which resulted from the overthrow of Mosadeq and from large infusions of U.S. aid. To compensate for its own weaknesses, Iran periodically needs stimulating injections, such as U.S. affiliation with the Pact’s Economic Committee or new increments of aid. While this is not a new problem in Iran, it is imperative that the West maintain the political initiative in Iran and thereby prevent a reversion to the stagnation which is susceptible to exploitation by irresponsible Iranian elements and by the USSR.
In compliance with a request by the Board Assistants, the Working Group is attempting to prepare suggested courses of action which would help in achieving this result.
[Page 838]Recommendation
I recommend that you approve this Progress Report.
- Source: Department of State, OCB Files: Lot 62 D 430, Iran 1956. Top Secret. Drafted by Hannah and cleared by Baxter.↩
- A draft of the progress report, Tab A, is not attached. A copy of the approved Progress Report on “United States Policy Toward Iran” (NSC 5504), July 25, is Ibid. For a report of the discussion at the OCB meeting on July 26, see Document 361.↩
- Top Secret. Drafted by Hannah on July 20 and cleared by Baxter.↩
- Ellipses in the source text.↩
- As reported in telegrams 82, 83, and 84 from Tehran, all July 18. (Department of State, Central Files, 123–Chapin, Selden; 788.11/7–1856; and 788.11/7–1856, respectively)↩