244. Memorandum From the Executive Secretary (Lay) to the National Security Council Planning Board1

SUBJECT

  • U.S. Policy in the Event of a Renewal of Aggression in Vietnam

REFERENCES

  • A. NSC 5429/5, para. 5–d2
  • B. NSC 55193
  • C. NSC Action No. 14154
  • D. Record of Planning Board Meeting, August 15, 1955, Item 15

At its meeting on August 15, 1955, the NSC Planning Board adopted the enclosed report calling for various studies on the subject, required to carry out NSC Action No. 1415–c.

The enclosure is accordingly transmitted to the Planning Board for information and to the State, Defense and ODM Members and the JCS and CIA Advisers for implementation as indicated in paras. 4 and 5 thereof.

James S. Lay, Jr.
[Page 515]

[Enclosure]

Report by the National Security Council Planning Board6

U.S. POLICY IN THE EVENT OF A RENEWAL OF AGGRESSION IN VIETNAM

1.
NSC Action 1415, June 9, 1955 noted that U.S. policy in the event of a renewal of hostilities by the Communists in Vietnam would be governed by the provisions of paragraph 5–d of NSC 5429/5 pending a review of that paragraph by the Planning Board. Paragraph 5–d of NSC 5429/5 reads:

“In the event of Communist overt armed attack in the area covered by the Manila Pact prior to the entering into effect of the Pact, take actions necessary to meet the situation, including a request for authority from Congress to use U.S. armed forces, if appropriate and feasible. When the Pact is in effect, be prepared to oppose any Communist attack in the Treaty area with U.S. armed forces if necessary and feasible, consulting the Congress in advance if the emergency permits.”

2.
There is a possibility that the Vietminh, possibly in connection with the election issue, may embark on a course of more forceful action against South Vietnam. While such action might take the form of infiltration and insurrection within South Vietnam, it could also take the form of overt aggression across the armistice line. In the light of this possibility, and in connection with the review of paragraph 5–d of NSC 5429/5, it is necessary to consider what action the U.S. should take in the specific case of such overt aggression. Key factors bearing on this decision include U.S. capabilities for action in relation to the aggressor’s capabilities, as well as the implications and effects of such action at home and abroad, including the deterrent effect of a U.S. decision to intervene against the aggressor. These key factors should be the subjects of special studies as outlined in greater detail below.
3.
The studies should be based on the following assumptions, which are for planning purposes only:
a.
It is the objective of the U.S. to deter possible Vietminh aggression against Vietnam or, in the event such aggression takes place, to intervene swiftly and decisively, in a manner and on a scale best calculated to avoid the hostilities broadening into general war.
b.
The Vietminh attack is by overt armed forces across the armistice line, of such a character that it can clearly be labeled as aggression and is generally regarded as such by free world opinion.
c.
South Vietnam is developing and can continue to develop the necessary strength referred to in paragraph 2 of NSC 5519, i.e., strength “to deter or defeat Vietminh insurrections in its territory, to impose and sustain order in its territory, and to win a free election limited to its own zone and held under its own auspices and control.”
d.
Although the Manila Pact is invoked, the French Expeditionary Corps takes no part in the fighting aside from such action as may be necessary for its own protection, and other signatories of the Pact provide only minor military contributions, thus leaving the main burden on the forces of South Vietnam and the U.S.
e.
South Vietnam forces are of the same strength as at present.
f.
Vietminh capabilities are as estimated in NIE 63.1–55.7
g.
Communist China does not intervene with military forces, except possibly in the event of para. 4–a(2) below, but provides aid to the Vietminh in the form of supplies.
4.
The following specific but brief studies should be prepared as promptly as possible:
a.
By Defense and JCS, a study (to be completed by September 15 or as soon thereafter as practicable) of U.S. military operations required—with the use of nuclear weapons and alternatively without such use—(1) to repulse the aggression and punish the aggressor or (2) to destroy the Vietminh forces and take control of North Vietnam. This study should indicate the nature and duration of operations, the forces and logistic support required and their availability, and the effects upon other U.S. military commitments. Preparatory military steps which might be taken, both as preparation for action and as a deterrent through manifestation of U.S. capability and resolve to intervene swiftly and effectively, should also be indicated.
b.
By State, a study of the political and economic measures which would be required in support of the operations in a above, including preparatory steps which might have a deterrent effect.
c.
By CIA, an estimate of the deterrent effect on the Communists of a known U.S. decision to intervene against Vietminh aggression.
d.
By ODM, a study of the mobilization requirements for support of the actions in a above.
5.
In addition, CIA should review and consolidate estimates of the effects of U.S. failure to intervene in the event of overt, armed attack by the Vietminh across the armistice line.
  1. Source: Department of State, S/PNSC Files: Lot 62 D 1, NSC 5519 Series. Top Secret.
  2. For text of NSC 5429/5, “Current U.S. Policy in the Far East”, December 22, 1954, see Foreign Relations, 1952–1954, vol. xii, Part 1, p. 1062. Paragraph 5–d is printed in the enclosure below.
  3. Document 190.
  4. See footnote 3, Document 206.
  5. Not printed. (Department of State, S/PNSC Files: Lot 62 D 1, NSC Planning Board, Record of Meetings)
  6. This report was initially prepared in S/P in consultation with Young and then revised by the NSC Staff and Board Assistants for submission to the Planning Board. The drafts as prepared in S/P and submitted to the Planning Board, August 2 and 10, respectively, are ibid., NSC 5519.
  7. See Document 237.